Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Sun 18 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 6,601 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 89' Stephen Kingsley

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 1 Francis Connor
  • Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
14 May Motherwell FC A 0–3 L
10 May Dundee FC H 3–2 W
03 May St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W
26 Apr Ross County FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Celtic FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
14 May St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #3
5 Points 13
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 2
6 Scored 14
15 Conceded 8
-9 GD +6
0.71 PPG 1.86
14% Win % 57%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.92 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC20% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC56%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
80%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC13% Draw40% Heart of Midlothian FC47%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.5%
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
4%
1 – 4
3.9%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% — 86%
+0.5 35% — 65%
+1 35% 23% 43%
+1.5 57% — 43%
+2 57% 20% 23%
+2.5 77% — 23%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.