Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Sun 18 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 6,601 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 89' Stephen Kingsley

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 1 Francis Connor
  • Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
14 May Motherwell FC A 0–3 L
10 May Dundee FC H 3–2 W
03 May St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W
26 Apr Ross County FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Celtic FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
14 May St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #4
0 Points 3
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
4 Scored 5
9 Conceded 2
-5 GD +3
0.00 PPG 1.50
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.29 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.41 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC15% Draw15% Heart of Midlothian FC70%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 5.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 90%
10%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 63%
37%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
30%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
85%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
85%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC8% Draw23% Heart of Midlothian FC69%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 4
7.1%
1 – 3
6.6%
1 – 5
6.2%
0 – 4
5.7%
0 – 3
5.3%
0 – 5
4.9%
1 – 2
4.7%
1 – 6
4.6%
2 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 5
4%
0 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 4% 94%
-0.5 6% 94%
+0.5 15% 85%
+1 15% 13% 71%
+1.5 29% 71%
+2 29% 17% 54%
+2.5 46% 54%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
2%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.