Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel McFarlane
- Assistant 1 Francis Connor
- Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 May | Motherwell FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | Dundee FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Ross County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Celtic FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Motherwell FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Ross County FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Dundee FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Motherwell FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 2 |
| 6 | Scored | 14 |
| 15 | Conceded | 8 |
| -9 | GD | +6 |
| 0.71 | PPG | 1.86 |
| 14% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Heart of Midlothian FC
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Claudio Braga | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joshua McPake | 1 G | 1 A |
| Calvin Miller | 1 G | |
| Tom Renaud | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 5' Fraser Murray has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Robby McCrorie has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 19' It’s gonna be a card for Adam Forrester.
- 22' The whistle greets Zander Clark as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Fulton.
- 27' Heart of Midlothian FC have won 332 goals from 311 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stephen Kingsley is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kilmarnock FC.
- 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Yan Dhanda.
- 40' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Liam Donnelly will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 46' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Stuart Findlay departs to be replaced by Bruce Anderson.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 59' The Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes a substitution. Harry Milne departs to be replaced by Craig Halkett.
- 64' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Heart of Midlothian FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 65' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Bobby Wales exits the field as Marley Watkins enters on 65.
- 68' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Sander Kartum comes on to replace Calem Nieuwenhof.
- 69' Another change for Heart of Midlothian FC made on 69 minute. Lawrence Shankland leaves to be changed by James Wilson.
- 70' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 70 minute. Brad Lyons leaves to be changed by Liam Polworth.
- 71' Cole Burke has so much to prove this time. He replaces Danny Armstrong on 71 minute.
- 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 81' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 83' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Kyle Vassell departs to be replaced by Gary Mackay-Steven.
- 88' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 89' Stephen Kingsley is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Heart of Midlothian FC players.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
8
Brad Lyons ↓ Liam Polworth 70'
- 9
-
17
Stuart Findlay ↓ Bruce Anderson 46'
- 22
- 15
- 20
- 3
- 5
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Cole Burke 71'
-
24
Bobby Wales ↓ Marley Watkins 65'
- 12
Bench
-
23
Marley Watkins ↑ 65'
-
14
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 83'
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 46'
- 1
-
31
Liam Polworth ↑ 70'
- 18
- 21
- 38
-
37
Cole Burke ↑ 71'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
- 20
- 3
- 2
- 14
-
28
Zander Clark ↓ Ryan Fulton 22'
-
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Elton Kabangu 69'
- 9
- 8
- 35
-
18
Harry Milne ↓ Craig Halkett 59'
Bench
- 10
- 7
-
12
Ryan Fulton ↑ 22'
-
4
Craig Halkett ↑ 59'
-
19
Elton Kabangu ↑ 69'
- 15
-
27
Sander Kartum ↑ 68'
-
21
James Wilson ↑ 69'
- 64
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Josh Ginnelly | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2025-05-18
Kilmarnock FC
0–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-05-14
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
St. Johnstone FC
W
2025-05-10
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–0
Motherwell FC
W
2025-05-03
Ross County FC
1–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-04-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–1
Dundee FC
L
2025-04-12
Motherwell FC
0–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.92
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 59% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
80%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.5%
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
4%
1 – 4
3.9%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 23% | 43% |
| +1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +2 | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| +2.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

