Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

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Premier League · 2026

Kilmarnock FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sun 18 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 6,601 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 89' Stephen Kingsley

Y 19' Adam Forrester

R 38' Yan Dhanda

Liam Donnelly 40' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel McFarlane
Assistant 1 Francis Connor
Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	0–1	L
14 May	Motherwell FC	A	0–3	L
10 May	Dundee FC	H	3–2	W
03 May	St. Johnstone FC	A	2–0	W
26 Apr	Ross County FC	H	2–0	W
12 Apr	Celtic FC	A	1–5	L

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	Kilmarnock FC	A	1–0	W
14 May	St. Johnstone FC	H	2–1	W
10 May	Motherwell FC	H	3–0	W
03 May	Ross County FC	A	3–1	W
26 Apr	Dundee FC	H	0–1	L
12 Apr	Motherwell FC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#12	Position	#4
9	Points	20
13	Played	12
2 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 2 / 4
13	Scored	26
29	Conceded	22
-16	GD	+4
0.69	PPG	1.67
15%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/4

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

6/4

61-75

3/1

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Greg Kiltie	3 G
Joe Hugill	2 G	2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G

Heart of Midlothian FC

Claudio Braga	6 G	2 A
Calvin Miller	5 G	1 A
James Wilson	3 G
Laurent Mendy	3 G
Joshua McPake	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park that hosts another battle between Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' Heart of Midlothian FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
15' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
19' Adam Forrester picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
22' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Fulton. He replaces Zander Clark on 22 minute.
27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
32' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
37' Heart of Midlothian FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
38' Heart of Midlothian FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
40' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Liam Donnelly will be fuming at that decision.
45' Kilmarnock FC have won 286 goals from 273 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Stuart Findlay departs to be replaced by Bruce Anderson.
51' Ryan Fulton has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
56' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
59' Time for substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC. Harry Milne is replaced by Craig Halkett.
64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
65' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Bobby Wales trudges off to be replaced by Marley Watkins on 65 minutes.
68' Time for substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC. Calem Nieuwenhof is replaced by Sander Kartum.
69' James Wilson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lawrence Shankland at the 69 minute mark.
70' The whistle greets Brad Lyons as he departs to be replaced by Liam Polworth.
71' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cole Burke is hanging Danny Armstrong on the field on 71 minute.
76' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
81' Craig Halkett is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
83' Gary Mackay-Steven has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 83 minute.
88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sander Kartum made 14 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
89' The Scotland Stephen Kingsley breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 0-1!
It finishes all square. Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

23
Marley Watkins ↑ 65'
14
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 83'
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 46'
1
Kieran O'Hara
31
Liam Polworth ↑ 70'
18
Innes Cameron
21
Calvin Ramsay
38
Archie Traynor
37
Cole Burke ↑ 71'

Coach Derek McInnes

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

10
Barrie McKay
7
Jorge Grant
12
Ryan Fulton ↑ 22'
4
Craig Halkett ↑ 59'
19
Elton Kabangu ↑ 69'
15
Michael Steinwender
27
Sander Kartum ↑ 68'
21
James Wilson ↑ 69'
64
Alfie Osborne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Stephen Kingsley	2
Sean Clare	2
Steven Naismith	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2025-05-14 Motherwell FC 3–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC W 2025-05-03 St. Johnstone FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2025-04-26 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Ross County FC W 2025-04-12 Celtic FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-05-14 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–1 St. Johnstone FC W 2025-05-10 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 Motherwell FC W 2025-05-03 Ross County FC 1–3 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-04-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–1 Dundee FC L 2025-04-12 Motherwell FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.22 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.22 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC24% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC52%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.44

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

48%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

76%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC17% Draw39% Heart of Midlothian FC44%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.5%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 2

7.9%

1 – 3

6.8%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 3

5.7%

2 – 2

5.6%

2 – 1

5.1%

0 – 0

4.6%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 4

3.8%

1 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	5%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	11%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	41%	—	59%
+1	41%	21%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	18%	20%
+2.5	80%	—	20%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.