Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel McFarlane
- Assistant 1 Francis Connor
- Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | St. Mirren FC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell FC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers FC | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk FC | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee United FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 May | Motherwell FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | Dundee FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Ross County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Celtic FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Motherwell FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Ross County FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Dundee FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Motherwell FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 0 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 1 |
| 4 | Scored | 5 |
| 9 | Conceded | 2 |
| -5 | GD | +3 |
| 0.00 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 0% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Kilmarnock FC have kicked off against Heart of Midlothian FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Scotland international Fraser Murray has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 19' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adam Forrester on 19 minutes.
- 22' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Zander Clark trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Fulton on 22 minutes.
- 27' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
- 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yan Dhanda.
- 40' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 40.
- 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 46' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Bruce Anderson comes on to replace Stuart Findlay.
- 51' Zander Clark is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heart of Midlothian FC tonight.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Watson, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 3 goals in the last 2 games.
- 59' Another substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC to replace Harry Milne by Craig Halkett on 59 minute.
- 64' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Danny Armstrong has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 65' Marley Watkins is replacing Bobby Wales for the Kilmarnock FC side.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Sander Kartum. He replaces Calem Nieuwenhof on 68 minute.
- 69' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Wilson is hanging Lawrence Shankland on the field on 69 minute.
- 70' Liam Polworth is replacing Brad Lyons for the Kilmarnock FC side.
- 71' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Danny Armstrong exits the field as Cole Burke enters on 71.
- 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 81' The travelling Heart of Midlothian FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 83' The whistle greets Kyle Vassell as he departs to be replaced by Gary Mackay-Steven.
- 88' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 89' Stephen Kingsley is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
8
Brad Lyons ↓ Liam Polworth 70'
- 9
-
17
Stuart Findlay ↓ Bruce Anderson 46'
- 22
- 15
- 20
- 3
- 5
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Cole Burke 71'
-
24
Bobby Wales ↓ Marley Watkins 65'
- 12
Bench
-
23
Marley Watkins ↑ 65'
-
14
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 83'
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 46'
- 1
-
31
Liam Polworth ↑ 70'
- 18
- 21
- 38
-
37
Cole Burke ↑ 71'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
- 20
- 3
- 2
- 14
-
28
Zander Clark ↓ Ryan Fulton 22'
-
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Elton Kabangu 69'
- 9
- 8
- 35
-
18
Harry Milne ↓ Craig Halkett 59'
Bench
- 10
- 7
-
12
Ryan Fulton ↑ 22'
-
4
Craig Halkett ↑ 59'
-
19
Elton Kabangu ↑ 69'
- 15
-
27
Sander Kartum ↑ 68'
-
21
James Wilson ↑ 69'
- 64
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Marley Watkins | 1 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2025-05-18
Kilmarnock FC
0–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-05-14
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
St. Johnstone FC
W
2025-05-10
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–0
Motherwell FC
W
2025-05-03
Ross County FC
1–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-04-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–1
Dundee FC
L
2025-04-12
Motherwell FC
0–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.29
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.41
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 3.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 4.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
30%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
85%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
85%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
1 – 4
7.1%
1 – 3
6.6%
1 – 5
6.2%
0 – 4
5.7%
0 – 3
5.3%
0 – 5
4.9%
1 – 2
4.7%
1 – 6
4.6%
2 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 5
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -0.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| +0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +1 | 15% | 13% | 71% |
| +1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +2 | 29% | 17% | 54% |
| +2.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

