Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

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Premier League · 2026

Kilmarnock FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sun 18 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 6,601 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 89' Stephen Kingsley

Y 19' Adam Forrester

R 38' Yan Dhanda

Liam Donnelly 40' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel McFarlane
Assistant 1 Francis Connor
Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 21 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	0–1	L
14 May	Motherwell FC	A	0–3	L
10 May	Dundee FC	H	3–2	W
03 May	St. Johnstone FC	A	2–0	W
26 Apr	Ross County FC	H	2–0	W
12 Apr	Celtic FC	A	1–5	L

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	Kilmarnock FC	A	1–0	W
14 May	St. Johnstone FC	H	2–1	W
10 May	Motherwell FC	H	3–0	W
03 May	Ross County FC	A	3–1	W
26 Apr	Dundee FC	H	0–1	L
12 Apr	Motherwell FC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#11	Position	#1
28	Points	70
33	Played	33
6 / 10 / 17	W / D / L	21 / 7 / 5
37	Scored	58
65	Conceded	28
-28	GD	+30
0.85	PPG	2.12
18%	Win %	64%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Kilmarnock FC host Heart of Midlothian FC — let the battle begin!
5' Zander Clark has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
10' It looks surprising Heart of Midlothian FC does not make any changes. Lawrence Shankland has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' Cameron Devlin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
19' The referee calls foul for Adam Forrester. He receives a card.
22' It is a substitution in Heart of Midlothian FC team. Zander Clark is replaced by Ryan Fulton on 22 minute.
27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sander Kartum, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
38' It’s gonna be a card for Yan Dhanda.
40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Liam Donnelly on 40.
45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
46' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Stuart Findlay exits the field as Bruce Anderson enters on 46.
51' The 27-year-old Yan Dhanda has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
56' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
59' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Craig Halkett is hanging Harry Milne on the field on 59 minute.
64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
65' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Marley Watkins on, Bobby Wales off on 65 minutes.
68' Calem Nieuwenhof makes way for Sander Kartum at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
69' Heart of Midlothian FC ring the changes. Lawrence Shankland has done his job and it is now time for James Wilson to step up.
70' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Brad Lyons exits the field as Liam Polworth enters on 70.
71' The crowd applauds Danny Armstrong as he leaves the pitch. Cole Burke steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
76' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Corrie Ndaba made 358 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
83' The supporters are chanting for Gary Mackay-Steven. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 83 minute.
88' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Heart of Midlothian FC's 4-3-3 shape.
89' A stunning finish from Stephen Kingsley — that came from absolutely nowhere!
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Kilmarnock FC.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

23
Marley Watkins ↑ 65'
14
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 83'
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 46'
1
Kieran O'Hara
31
Liam Polworth ↑ 70'
18
Innes Cameron
21
Calvin Ramsay
38
Archie Traynor
37
Cole Burke ↑ 71'

Coach Derek McInnes

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

10
Barrie McKay
7
Jorge Grant
12
Ryan Fulton ↑ 22'
4
Craig Halkett ↑ 59'
19
Elton Kabangu ↑ 69'
15
Michael Steinwender
27
Sander Kartum ↑ 68'
21
James Wilson ↑ 69'
64
Alfie Osborne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Sean Clare	2
Josh Ginnelly	1
Bobby Wales	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2025-05-14 Motherwell FC 3–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC W 2025-05-03 St. Johnstone FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2025-04-26 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Ross County FC W 2025-04-12 Celtic FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-05-14 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–1 St. Johnstone FC W 2025-05-10 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 Motherwell FC W 2025-05-03 Ross County FC 1–3 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-04-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–1 Dundee FC L 2025-04-12 Motherwell FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.88 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.81 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC22% Draw27% Heart of Midlothian FC51%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

49%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

78%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC14% Draw45% Heart of Midlothian FC41%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

10.9%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 3

6.4%

1 – 3

5.7%

1 – 0

5.1%

2 – 1

4.6%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 4

2.9%

1 – 4

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	11%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	42%	—	58%
+1	42%	24%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	18%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.