Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Kilmarnock FC

0 – 3

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .

Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	7	18
2	Rangers FC	7	16
3	Heart of Midlothian FC	7	13
4	Dundee FC	7	10
5	St. Mirren FC	7	10
6	St. Johnstone FC	7	8
7	Aberdeen FC	7	8
8	Motherwell FC	7	8
9	Dundee United FC	7	8
10	Hibernian FC	7	7
11	Falkirk FC	7	6
12	Kilmarnock FC	7	5

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	0–3	L
04 Oct	St. Mirren FC	H	2–0	W
27 Sep	Dundee United FC	A	2–0	W
14 Sep	Celtic FC	H	1–2	L
30 Aug	Motherwell FC	A	2–2	D
23 Aug	Dundee FC	H	0–0	D

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Kilmarnock FC	A	3–0	W
04 Oct	Hibernian FC	H	1–0	W
27 Sep	Falkirk FC	H	3–0	W
13 Sep	Rangers FC	A	2–0	W
30 Aug	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
23 Aug	Motherwell FC	H	3–3	D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#12	Position	#3
5	Points	13
7	Played	7
1 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	4 / 1 / 2
6	Scored	14
15	Conceded	8
-9	GD	+6
0.71	PPG	1.86
14%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

–/2

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G
Greg Kiltie	1 G
Joe Hugill	1 G

Heart of Midlothian FC

James Wilson	3 G
Claudio Braga	2 G	2 A
Joshua McPake	1 G	1 A
Calvin Miller	1 G
Tom Renaud	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Kilmarnock FC are looking to make home advantage count against Heart of Midlothian FC.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Heart of Midlothian FC players.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Sean Clare	2
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Stephen Kingsley	2
Fraser Murray	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2025-10-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2025-10-04 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2025-09-27 Dundee United FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2025-09-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–2 Celtic FC L 2025-08-30 Motherwell FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D 2025-08-23 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Dundee FC D

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2025-10-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-10-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Hibernian FC W 2025-09-27 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 Falkirk FC W 2025-09-13 Rangers FC 0–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-08-30 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-08-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–3 Motherwell FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.81 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.56 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC16% Draw20% Heart of Midlothian FC64%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 3.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

36%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

84%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC10% Draw36% Heart of Midlothian FC54%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 2

11.3%

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 1

8.6%

1 – 1

7.8%

1 – 3

7.5%

0 – 4

5.9%

1 – 4

4.9%

0 – 0

4.8%

2 – 2

3.6%

2 – 3

3.1%

0 – 5

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	2%	97%
-1.5	3%	—	97%
-1	3%	6%	91%
-0.5	9%	—	91%
+0.5	26%	—	74%
+1	26%	21%	53%
+1.5	47%	—	53%
+2	47%	21%	31%
+2.5	69%	—	31%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.