Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Kilmarnock FC

0 – 3

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .

Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)

3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC 2024-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-10-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	0–3	L
04 Oct	St. Mirren FC	H	2–0	W
27 Sep	Dundee United FC	A	2–0	W
14 Sep	Celtic FC	H	1–2	L
30 Aug	Motherwell FC	A	2–2	D
23 Aug	Dundee FC	H	0–0	D

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Kilmarnock FC	A	3–0	W
04 Oct	Hibernian FC	H	1–0	W
27 Sep	Falkirk FC	H	3–0	W
13 Sep	Rangers FC	A	2–0	W
30 Aug	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
23 Aug	Motherwell FC	H	3–3	D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#12	Position	#4
9	Points	20
13	Played	12
2 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 2 / 4
13	Scored	26
29	Conceded	22
-16	GD	+4
0.69	PPG	1.67
15%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/4

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

6/4

61-75

3/1

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Greg Kiltie	3 G
Joe Hugill	2 G	2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G

Heart of Midlothian FC

Claudio Braga	6 G	2 A
Calvin Miller	5 G	1 A
James Wilson	3 G
Laurent Mendy	3 G
Joshua McPake	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — kilmarnock fc and heart of midlothian fc get this one started.
0-3 the final result. kilmarnock fc will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Sean Clare	2
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Stephen Kingsley	2
Uche Ikpeazu	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2025-10-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2025-10-04 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC W 2025-09-27 Dundee United FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC W 2025-09-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–2 Celtic FC L 2025-08-30 Motherwell FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D 2025-08-23 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Dundee FC D

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2025-10-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-10-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Hibernian FC W 2025-09-27 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 Falkirk FC W 2025-09-13 Rangers FC 0–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-08-30 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-08-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–3 Motherwell FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.11 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.57 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC19% Draw21% Heart of Midlothian FC60%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.68

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

40%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

81%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC14% Draw36% Heart of Midlothian FC50%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

0 – 2

8.4%

1 – 1

1 – 3

7.6%

0 – 3

Actual

0 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 4

4.9%

0 – 4

4.5%

2 – 3

4.2%

2 – 1

3.9%

0 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	9%	86%
-0.5	14%	—	86%
+0.5	33%	—	67%
+1	33%	21%	47%
+1.5	53%	—	47%
+2	53%	19%	27%
+2.5	73%	—	27%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.