Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Kilmarnock FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .

Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee David Dickinson

4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	7	18
2	Rangers FC	7	16
3	Heart of Midlothian FC	7	13
4	Dundee FC	7	10
5	St. Mirren FC	7	10
6	St. Johnstone FC	7	8
7	Aberdeen FC	7	8
8	Motherwell FC	7	8
9	Dundee United FC	7	8
10	Hibernian FC	7	7
11	Falkirk FC	7	6
12	Kilmarnock FC	7	5

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-12-03 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2025-10-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	1–0	W
28 Feb	Falkirk FC	A	1–5	L
21 Feb	Dundee United FC	A	1–1	D
15 Feb	Celtic FC	H	2–3	L
11 Feb	St. Mirren FC	H	4–3	W
04 Feb	Rangers FC	A	1–5	L

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Kilmarnock FC	A	0–1	L
28 Feb	Aberdeen FC	H	1–0	W
21 Feb	Falkirk FC	H	1–0	W
15 Feb	Rangers FC	A	2–4	L
10 Feb	Hibernian FC	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	St. Mirren FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#12	Position	#3
5	Points	13
7	Played	7
1 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	4 / 1 / 2
6	Scored	14
15	Conceded	8
-9	GD	+6
0.71	PPG	1.86
14%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

–/2

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G
Greg Kiltie	1 G
Joe Hugill	1 G

Heart of Midlothian FC

James Wilson	3 G
Claudio Braga	2 G	2 A
Joshua McPake	1 G	1 A
Calvin Miller	1 G
Tom Renaud	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Heart of Midlothian FC.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Sean Clare	2
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Stephen Kingsley	2
Jamie McCart	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2026-03-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2026-02-28 Falkirk FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2026-02-21 Dundee United FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2026-02-15 Kilmarnock FC 2–3 Celtic FC L 2026-02-11 Kilmarnock FC 4–3 St. Mirren FC W 2026-02-04 Rangers FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2026-03-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2026-02-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Aberdeen FC W 2026-02-21 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Falkirk FC W 2026-02-15 Rangers FC 4–2 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2026-02-10 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Hibernian FC W 2026-02-03 St. Mirren FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.24 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.29 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC27% Draw23% Heart of Midlothian FC50%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

50%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

73%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC17% Draw39% Heart of Midlothian FC44%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

9.2%

1 – 1

9.1%

0 – 2

7.7%

1 – 3

0 – 1

6.3%

0 – 3

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

2 – 1

2 – 3

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

1 – 4

0 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	5%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	11%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	21%	39%
+1.5	61%	—	39%
+2	61%	18%	21%
+2.5	79%	—	21%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✗

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.