Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Premier League · 2025-26

Kilmarnock FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .

Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee David Dickinson

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 21 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-12-03 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2025-10-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-01-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	1–0	W
28 Feb	Falkirk FC	A	1–5	L
21 Feb	Dundee United FC	A	1–1	D
15 Feb	Celtic FC	H	2–3	L
11 Feb	St. Mirren FC	H	4–3	W
04 Feb	Rangers FC	A	1–5	L

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Kilmarnock FC	A	0–1	L
28 Feb	Aberdeen FC	H	1–0	W
21 Feb	Falkirk FC	H	1–0	W
15 Feb	Rangers FC	A	2–4	L
10 Feb	Hibernian FC	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	St. Mirren FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#11	Position	#1
28	Points	70
33	Played	33
6 / 10 / 17	W / D / L	21 / 7 / 5
37	Scored	58
65	Conceded	28
-28	GD	+30
0.85	PPG	2.12
18%	Win %	64%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Kilmarnock FC gets underway.
With this win, Kilmarnock FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Sean Clare	2
Steven Naismith	1
Jorge Grant	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2026-03-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2026-02-28 Falkirk FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2026-02-21 Dundee United FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2026-02-15 Kilmarnock FC 2–3 Celtic FC L 2026-02-11 Kilmarnock FC 4–3 St. Mirren FC W 2026-02-04 Rangers FC 5–1 Kilmarnock FC L

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2026-03-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2026-02-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Aberdeen FC W 2026-02-21 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Falkirk FC W 2026-02-15 Rangers FC 4–2 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2026-02-10 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Hibernian FC W 2026-02-03 St. Mirren FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.19 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC30% Draw25% Heart of Midlothian FC45%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.08

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

55%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

70%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC19% Draw43% Heart of Midlothian FC38%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.1%

0 – 1

0 – 0

6.2%

2 – 1

5.9%

1 – 3

5.9%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 3

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 3

3.6%

2 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	22%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✗

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.