Saturday , 24 October 2026

Júbilo Iwata vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 20 Jul 2024 · 10:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Ko Matsubara 57' Y
Y 87' Daiki Kaneko
Y 90' Papagaio

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs Kyoto Sanga FC — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
14 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 0–5 L
06 Jul Kawasaki Frontale H 2–2 D
30 Jun Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
26 Jun Tokyo Verdy H 3–0 W
22 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Júbilo Iwata A 2–1 W
14 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
07 Jul Avispa Fukuoka A 2–1 W
30 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
26 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 2–2 D
22 Jun Sagan Tosu FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/8
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 5 G 3 A
Haruki Arai 3 G
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Yamaha Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Júbilo Iwata and Kyoto Sanga FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' The travelling Kyoto Sanga FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Kyoto Sanga FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 39' Ryo Germain doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Júbilo Iwata and Kyoto Sanga FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' Kyoto Sanga FC make a change. Sora Hiraga trudges off to be replaced by Papagaio on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Takuji Yonemoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kwi-Jea Cho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Ko Matsubara. He receives a card.
  • 62' Yuto Misao has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 458 appearances.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Kyoto Sanga FC — Toichi Suzuki on, Hisashi Appiah Tawiah off on 64 minutes.
  • 65' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Masaya Matsumoto comes on to replace Bruno Jose.
  • 70' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Júbilo Iwata and Kyoto Sanga FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 75' Daiki Kaneko has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 77' Another substitution for Jubilo Iwata to replace Leo Gomes by Shunsuke Nishikubo on 77 minute.
  • 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kaito Suzuki makes it 0-2.
  • 81' GOAL! Papagaio fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 85' Time for substitution for Jubilo Iwata. Shota Kaneko is replaced by Yosuke Furukawa.
  • 87' The referee has no hesitation. Daiki Kaneko is booked for Kyoto Sanga FC — card on 87.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Papagaio is booked for Kyoto Sanga FC — card on 90.
  • 90' Kyoto Sanga FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kyo Sato is hanging Marco Tulio on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Júbilo Iwata.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 Júbilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for: Júbilo Iwata or Kyoto Sanga FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Júbilo Iwata41% Draw29% Kyoto Sanga FC30%
Actual: Kyoto Sanga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw
70%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
59%
Júbilo Iwata or Kyoto Sanga FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Júbilo Iwata31% Draw47% Kyoto Sanga FC22%
Actual: Júbilo Iwata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap Júbilo Iwata covers Push Kyoto Sanga FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.