Thursday , 2 July 2026

Italy vs Croatia, 2017

League Two 2017/18 · 2017
Italy
1 – 0
Full Time
Croatia
Sat 23 Sep 2017 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Croatia — Premier League .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Italy 1.53
Draw 4.33
Croatia 7.00

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Italy 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Croatia
Last 5 meetings
2017-09-23 Italy 1–0 Croatia

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Croatia H 1–0 W
16 Sep Slovakia A 2–1 W
12 Sep Germany H 2–0 W
09 Sep Turkey H 0–3 L
02 Sep England A 0–0 D
26 Aug Spain A 2–2 D
Croatia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Italy A 0–1 L
16 Sep Switzerland H 1–2 L
12 Sep Wales A 1–1 D
09 Sep Ukraine A 1–5 L
02 Sep Northern Ireland H 0–0 D
26 Aug Blyth Town FC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Italy and Croatia has kicked off!
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Croatia.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

Croatia Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Croatia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy54% Draw28% Croatia18%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
81%
Draw or Croatia
46%
Italy or Croatia
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Italy34% Draw52% Croatia14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Croatia covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Croatia keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.