Wales vs Croatia, 2017

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League Two 2017/18 · 2017

Wales

1 – 1

Full Time

Croatia

Tue 12 Sep 2017 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wales vs Croatia — Premier League .

Wales 0 games · 0 pts
Croatia 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Wales 1.95

Draw 3.75

Croatia 4.00

Head-to-Head

Wales 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals Croatia

Last 5 meetings

2017-09-12 Wales 1–1 Croatia 2016-11-04 Wales 1–2 Croatia 2016-02-16 Wales 1–1 Croatia 2015-09-11 Croatia 3–3 Wales

Recent Form

Wales

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Sep	Croatia	H	1–1	D
09 Sep	Penistone Church FC	H	3–1	W
02 Sep	Republic of Ireland	A	0–1	L
26 Aug	Sweden	H	5–1	W
19 Aug	Italy	A	0–3	L
12 Aug	Iceland	H	1–1	D

Croatia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Sep	Wales	A	1–1	D
09 Sep	Ukraine	A	1–5	L
02 Sep	Northern Ireland	H	0–0	D
26 Aug	Blyth Town FC	A	1–4	L
19 Aug	Germany	H	2–0	W
12 Aug	Royal Standard de Liege	A	0–2	L

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Wales to score. At the same time, Croatia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Wales Lineups

Croatia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.81 Wales xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 Croatia xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wales49% Draw26% Croatia25%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Wales or Draw

75%

Draw or Croatia

51%

Wales or Croatia

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wales37% Draw44% Croatia19%

Actual: Croatia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

8.4%

2 – 0

8.2%

0 – 0

6.8%

1 – 2

6.1%

3 – 1

5.7%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Wales

Handicap	Wales covers	Push	Croatia covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	22%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Wales keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Croatia keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.