England vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Italy get us underway at .
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
England Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
England xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
Italy xG
I would bet for:
England or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.79
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
England or Draw
75%
Draw or Italy
59%
England or Italy
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.2%
Asian Handicap — England
| Handicap | England covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 12% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 24% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
England keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Italy keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.