Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
- Assistant 2 Arno Blos
5 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Feb | 1. FC Köln | H | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Jan | AC Sparta Praha | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 8 G | 2 A |
| Ibrahim Maza | 3 G | 3 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 5' Holstein Kiel are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 4-4-2 shape.
- 9' Goal! Patrik Schick scores his 117 goal in 539 matches.
- 12' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Magnus Knudsen gets a card.
- 17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 553 games and scored 784 goals.
- 22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 24' It’s gonna be a card for David Zec.
- 29' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 34' Piero Hincapie has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Holstein Kiel and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' Goal! Amine Adli scores his 34 goal in 428 matches.
- 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' Bayer 04 Leverkusen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
- 63' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Shuto Machino by Jann-Fiete Arp on 63 minute.
- 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Phil Harres, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 10 goals in the last 8 games.
- 70' The whistle greets Amine Adli as he departs to be replaced by Emiliano Buendia.
- 75' Dominik Javorcek picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Andu Yobel Kelati. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 75 minute.
- 78' The referee has no hesitation. Piero Hincapie is booked for Bayer 04 Leverkusen — card on 78.
- 78' Max Geschwill has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dominik Javorcek on 78 minute.
- 82' Marco Komenda catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 83' It is a substitution in Bayer 04 Leverkusen team. Patrik Schick is replaced by Victor Boniface on 83 minute.
- 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- The points are shared — Holstein Kiel 0-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Honours even.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 63'
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Lewis Holtby 63'
- 3
- 33
- 37
- 22
- 19
- 23
- 6
-
26
David Zec ↓ Timo Becker 63'
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 63'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 63'
- 31
- 15
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 63'
- 21
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 78'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 75'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 8
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Victor Boniface 83'
- 20
- 12
- 30
-
21
Amine Adli ↓ Emiliano Buendia 70'
- 17
- 10
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 70'
- 1
-
23
Nordi Mukiele ↑ 83'
- 7
- 24
- 5
- 25
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 83'
- 13
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Max Geschwill | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 1 |
| Amine Adli | 1 |
| Jonas Hofmann | 1 |
| Victor Boniface | 1 |
| Jann-Fiete Arp | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-02-22
Holstein Kiel
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-15
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
FC Bayern München
D
2025-02-08
VfL Wolfsburg
0–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-02-05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–2
1. FC Köln
W
2025-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
AC Sparta Praha
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
55%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%
Holstein Kiel or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.