Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
- Assistant 2 Arno Blos
20 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Feb | 1. FC Koln | H | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Jan | AC Sparta Praha | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Bayer 04 Leverkusen kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 9' Patrik Schick puts Bayer 04 Leverkusen on the lead.
- 12' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 12.
- 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marco Komenda, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 24' It’s gonna be a card for David Zec.
- 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Magnus Knudsen suffering a number of foals already.
- 34' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 44' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' What a strike from Amine Adli! The score is 0-2.
- 50' Bayer 04 Leverkusen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
- 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 541 games and scored 751 goals.
- 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 63' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Shuto Machino departs to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
- 68' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 70' Time for substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Amine Adli is replaced by Emiliano Buendia.
- 75' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 75.
- 75' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andu Yobel Kelati is hanging Armin Gigovic on the field on 75 minute.
- 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Piero Hincapie.
- 78' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Max Geschwill is hanging Dominik Javorcek on the field on 78 minute.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Marco Komenda. He receives a card.
- 83' The whistle greets Patrik Schick as he departs to be replaced by Victor Boniface.
- 88' It looks surprising Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not make any changes. Alejandro Grimaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Holstein Kiel and Bayer 04 Leverkusen (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 63'
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Lewis Holtby 63'
- 3
- 33
- 37
- 22
- 19
- 23
- 6
-
26
David Zec ↓ Timo Becker 63'
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 63'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 63'
- 31
- 15
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 63'
- 21
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 78'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 75'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 8
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Victor Boniface 83'
- 20
- 12
- 30
-
21
Amine Adli ↓ Emiliano Buendia 70'
- 17
- 10
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 70'
- 1
-
23
Nordi Mukiele ↑ 83'
- 7
- 24
- 5
- 25
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 83'
- 13
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Hofmann | 1 |
| Victor Boniface | 1 |
| Jann-Fiete Arp | 1 |
| Max Geschwill | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 1 |
| Amine Adli | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-02-22
Holstein Kiel
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-15
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
FC Bayern München
D
2025-02-08
VfL Wolfsburg
0–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-02-05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–2
1. FC Koln
W
2025-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
AC Sparta Praha
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
55%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%
Holstein Kiel or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.