Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Patrik Schick
0–2 45' Amine Adli

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos

Head-to-Head

1
1
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
16 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
09 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–2 D
01 Feb FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
18 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
15 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–0 D
08 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 0–0 D
05 Feb 1. FC Köln H 3–2 W
02 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
29 Jan AC Sparta Praha H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Holstein Kiel and Bayer 04 Leverkusen get this one started.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 9' GOAL! Patrik Schick fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 12' Magnus Knudsen is having his name booked by the referee on 12.
  • 17' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 22' Holstein Kiel are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 24' The referee has no hesitation. David Zec is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 24.
  • 29' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Marco Komenda is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bayer 04 Leverkusen tonight.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bayer 04 Leverkusen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' What a moment for Amine Adli! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Max Geschwill has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 63' Holstein Kiel make a change. Shuto Machino trudges off to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp on 63 minutes.
  • 68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 547 games and scored 767 goals.
  • 70' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen bench stirs into life. Amine Adli is withdrawn and Emiliano Buendia gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Dominik Javorcek. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 75' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Armin Gigovic has done his job and it is now time for Andu Yobel Kelati to step up.
  • 78' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Dominik Javorcek is withdrawn and Max Geschwill gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Marco Komenda was booked on 82.
  • 83' Bayer 04 Leverkusen make a change. Patrik Schick trudges off to be replaced by Victor Boniface on 83 minutes.
  • 88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw29% Bayer 04 Leverkusen45%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
55%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%
Holstein Kiel or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel19% Draw49% Bayer 04 Leverkusen32%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 23% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.