Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
- Assistant 2 Arno Blos
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Feb | 1. FC Köln | H | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Jan | AC Sparta Praha | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 4 G | 1 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Ibrahim Maza | 1 G | 1 A |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Holstein Kiel and Bayer 04 Leverkusen get this one started.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 9' GOAL! Patrik Schick fires home to make it 0-1!
- 12' Magnus Knudsen is having his name booked by the referee on 12.
- 17' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 22' Holstein Kiel are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 4-4-2 shape.
- 24' The referee has no hesitation. David Zec is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 24.
- 29' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 39' Marco Komenda is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bayer 04 Leverkusen tonight.
- 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bayer 04 Leverkusen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' What a moment for Amine Adli! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 55' Max Geschwill has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 63' Holstein Kiel make a change. Shuto Machino trudges off to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp on 63 minutes.
- 68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 547 games and scored 767 goals.
- 70' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen bench stirs into life. Amine Adli is withdrawn and Emiliano Buendia gets his opportunity.
- 75' Poor challenge from Dominik Javorcek. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 75' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Armin Gigovic has done his job and it is now time for Andu Yobel Kelati to step up.
- 78' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Dominik Javorcek is withdrawn and Max Geschwill gets his opportunity.
- 82' Marco Komenda was booked on 82.
- 83' Bayer 04 Leverkusen make a change. Patrik Schick trudges off to be replaced by Victor Boniface on 83 minutes.
- 88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 63'
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Lewis Holtby 63'
- 3
- 33
- 37
- 22
- 19
- 23
- 6
-
26
David Zec ↓ Timo Becker 63'
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 63'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 63'
- 31
- 15
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 63'
- 21
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 78'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 75'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 8
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Victor Boniface 83'
- 20
- 12
- 30
-
21
Amine Adli ↓ Emiliano Buendia 70'
- 17
- 10
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 70'
- 1
-
23
Nordi Mukiele ↑ 83'
- 7
- 24
- 5
- 25
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 83'
- 13
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jann-Fiete Arp | 1 |
| Max Geschwill | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 1 |
| Amine Adli | 1 |
| Jonas Hofmann | 1 |
| Victor Boniface | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-02-22
Holstein Kiel
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-15
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
FC Bayern München
D
2025-02-08
VfL Wolfsburg
0–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-02-05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–2
1. FC Köln
W
2025-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
AC Sparta Praha
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
55%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%
Holstein Kiel or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

