Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Armin Gigovic

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
22 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–6 L
15 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–2 L
08 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–0 W
01 Feb RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
26 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
16 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
09 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–2 D
01 Feb FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G 1 A
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. 1. FC Union Berlin host Holstein Kiel — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Union Berlin must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' 1. FC Union Berlin are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FC Union Berlin side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' Controversy at the stadium! Tom Rothe argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 43' Brilliant from the ! Armin Gigovic makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 43.
  • 45' Marin Ljubicic is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Marin Ljubicic by Andrej Ilic on 46 minute.
  • 51' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' Lewis Holtby has so much to prove this time. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 59 minute.
  • 64' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marco Komenda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Fresh legs for 1. FC Union Berlin! Laszlo Benes comes on to replace Jeong Wooyeong.
  • 70' Timo Becker makes way for Marko Ivezic at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Phil Harres is replaced by Steven Skrzybski on 71 minute.
  • 75' Time for substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin. Benedict Hollerbach is replaced by Kevin Volland.
  • 77' 1. FC Union Berlin receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 82' Timo Becker is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
  • 83' Marvin Schulz is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Zec at the 83 minute mark.
  • 88' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' 1. FC Union Berlin player sees a card in front of him.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for 1. FC Union Berlin and Holstein Kiel (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.25 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Holstein Kiel 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin35% Draw30% Holstein Kiel35%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
65%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
65%
1. FC Union Berlin or Holstein Kiel
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin26% Draw49% Holstein Kiel25%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.