Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Armin Gigovic

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein KielBundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
22 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–6 L
15 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–2 L
08 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–0 W
01 Feb RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
26 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
16 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
09 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–2 D
01 Feb FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at An der Alten Forsterei. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' It’s high time Steffen Baumgart made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Zec, as he is very good at scoring at An der Alten Forsterei with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Union Berlin needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Tom Rothe. He receives a card.
  • 43' GOAL! Armin Gigovic scores on 43. Assisted by Shuto Machino
  • 45' The referee shows 1. FC Union Berlin player a card on 45.
  • 46' It is a substitution in 1. FC Union Berlin team. Marin Ljubicic is replaced by Andrej Ilic on 46 minute.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Holtby. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 59 minute.
  • 64' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Laszlo Benes. He replaces Jeong Wooyeong on 65 minute.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Timo Becker is replaced by Marko Ivezic.
  • 71' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Phil Harres by Steven Skrzybski on 71 minute.
  • 75' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Volland is hanging Benedict Hollerbach on the field on 75 minute.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Volland on 77.
  • 82' Lasse Rosenboom has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 83' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marvin Schulz is hanging David Zec on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' It looks surprising 1. FC Union Berlin does not make any changes. Lewis Holtby has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' 1. FC Union Berlin player sees a card in front of him.
  • Another three points for Holstein Kiel.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.25 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Holstein Kiel 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin35% Draw30% Holstein Kiel35%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
65%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
65%
1. FC Union Berlin or Holstein Kiel
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin26% Draw49% Holstein Kiel25%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
30%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.