1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Reichel
- Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
13 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 4–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | RB Leipzig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at An der Alten Forsterei. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' It’s high time Steffen Baumgart made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Zec, as he is very good at scoring at An der Alten Forsterei with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Union Berlin needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 40' The referee calls foul for Tom Rothe. He receives a card.
- 43' GOAL! Armin Gigovic scores on 43. Assisted by Shuto Machino
- 45' The referee shows 1. FC Union Berlin player a card on 45.
- 46' It is a substitution in 1. FC Union Berlin team. Marin Ljubicic is replaced by Andrej Ilic on 46 minute.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Holtby. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 59 minute.
- 64' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Laszlo Benes. He replaces Jeong Wooyeong on 65 minute.
- 70' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Timo Becker is replaced by Marko Ivezic.
- 71' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Phil Harres by Steven Skrzybski on 71 minute.
- 75' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Volland is hanging Benedict Hollerbach on the field on 75 minute.
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Volland on 77.
- 82' Lasse Rosenboom has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 83' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marvin Schulz is hanging David Zec on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' It looks surprising 1. FC Union Berlin does not make any changes. Lewis Holtby has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' 1. FC Union Berlin player sees a card in front of him.
- Another three points for Holstein Kiel.
Lineups
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
29
Lucas Tousart ↓ Tim Skarke 75'
- 8
- 1
- 4
- 18
-
11
Jeong Wooyeong ↓ Laszlo Benes 65'
- 16
-
15
Tom Rothe ↓ Jerome Roussillon 65'
- 14
-
27
Marin Ljubicic ↓ Andrej Ilic 46'
Bench
-
10
Kevin Volland ↑ 75'
-
26
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 65'
- 37
- 19
-
20
Laszlo Benes ↑ 65'
- 28
-
21
Tim Skarke ↑ 75'
- 13
-
23
Andrej Ilic ↑ 46'
Coach
Steffen Baumgart
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 24
-
17
Timo Becker ↓ Marko Ivezic 70'
- 3
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Lewis Holtby 59'
- 14
- 22
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Steven Skrzybski 71'
- 23
-
26
David Zec ↓ Marvin Schulz 83'
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 59'
- 20
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 71'
- 31
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 83'
- 21
-
33
Dominik Javorcek ↑ 83'
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 70'
- 16
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Aljoscha Kemlein | 1 |
| Armin Gigovic | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2025-03-02
1. FC Union Berlin
0–1
Holstein Kiel
L
2025-02-22
Borussia Dortmund
6–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2025-02-15
1. FC Union Berlin
1–2
Borussia Monchengladbach
L
2025-02-08
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–4
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-02-01
1. FC Union Berlin
0–0
RB Leipzig
D
2025-01-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.25
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Union Berlin or Holstein Kiel 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
65%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
65%
1. FC Union Berlin or Holstein Kiel
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin
| Handicap | 1. FC Union Berlin covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

