1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FC Union Berlin

0 – 1

Full Time

Holstein Kiel

Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 43' Armin Gigovic

Tom Rothe 40' Y

Marin Ljubicic 45' Y

Kevin Volland 77' Y

Josip Juranovic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

1. FC Union Berlin 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Reichel
Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

1. FC Union Berlin 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals Holstein Kiel

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-02 1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-10-20 Holstein Kiel 0–2 1. FC Union Berlin 2018-04-21 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-12-09 Holstein Kiel 2–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2017-04-06 Holstein Kiel 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin

Recent Form

1. FC Union Berlin

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Holstein Kiel	H	0–1	L
22 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–6	L
15 Feb	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	1–2	L
08 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	4–0	W
01 Feb	RB Leipzig	H	0–0	D
26 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	0–3	L

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–0	W
22 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–2	L
16 Feb	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	1–3	L
09 Feb	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–2	D
01 Feb	FC Bayern München	A	3–4	L
24 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–2	D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FC Union Berlin welcome Holstein Kiel for this crunch clash at An der Alten Forsterei.
5' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
10' Marin Ljubicic, a Croatia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' 1. FC Union Berlin are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
20' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Union Berlin must find a spark to ignite this game.
25' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Marko Ivezic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
30' 1. FC Union Berlin currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Union Berlin and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
40' Controversy at the stadium! Tom Rothe argues furiously but the card stands.
43' Armin Gigovic puts Holstein Kiel on the lead.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Marin Ljubicic is booked for 1. FC Union Berlin — card on 45.
46' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Marin Ljubicic by Andrej Ilic on 46 minute.
51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FC Union Berlin and Holstein Kiel are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
59' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Holtby is hanging Armin Gigovic on the field on 59 minute.
64' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
65' The whistle greets Jeong Wooyeong as he departs to be replaced by Laszlo Benes.
70' Marko Ivezic is replacing Timo Becker for the Holstein Kiel side.
71' The whistle greets Phil Harres as he departs to be replaced by Steven Skrzybski.
75' Kevin Volland gets the nod from 1. FC Union Berlin. He replaces Benedict Hollerbach and will look to change the dynamic.
77' It’s a booking for 1. FC Union Berlin player. Kevin Volland gets a card.
82' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
83' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. David Zec is replaced by Marvin Schulz.
88' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Josip Juranovic argues furiously but the card stands.
The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

5
Danilho Doekhi
29
Lucas Tousart ↓ Tim Skarke 75'
8
Rani Khedira
1
Frederik Ronnow
4
Diogo Leite
18
Josip Juranovic
11
Jeong Wooyeong ↓ Laszlo Benes 65'
16
Benedict Hollerbach ↓ Kevin Volland 75'
15
Tom Rothe ↓ Jerome Roussillon 65'
14
Leopold Querfeld
27
Marin Ljubicic ↓ Andrej Ilic 46'

Bench

Coach Steffen Baumgart

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Armin Gigovic	1
Tom Rothe	1
Aljoscha Kemlein	1

Head to Head

1. FC Union Berlin Form

2025-03-02 1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 Holstein Kiel L 2025-02-22 Borussia Dortmund 6–0 1. FC Union Berlin L 2025-02-15 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach L 2025-02-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–4 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-02-01 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2025-01-26 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–0 1. FC Union Berlin L

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-03-02 1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 Holstein Kiel W 2025-02-22 Holstein Kiel 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-02-16 Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2025-02-09 Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfL Bochum 1848 D 2025-02-01 FC Bayern München 4–3 Holstein Kiel L 2025-01-24 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Holstein Kiel D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.25 1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Holstein Kiel xG

I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Holstein Kiel 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Union Berlin35% Draw30% Holstein Kiel35%

Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.48

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw

65%

Draw or Holstein Kiel

65%

1. FC Union Berlin or Holstein Kiel

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Union Berlin26% Draw49% Holstein Kiel25%

Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.8%

0 – 0

10.5%

1 – 0

9.3%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

7.6%

2 – 0

6.3%

0 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

3.3%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 0

2.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap	1. FC Union Berlin covers	Push	Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	20%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	19%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.