FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Christian Gittelmann
17 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 4–4 | D |
| 13 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | RB Leipzig | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 29 | Scored | 71 |
| 60 | Conceded | 49 |
| -31 | GD | +22 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 18% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Millerntor-Stadion will turn into a battlefield for FC St. Pauli 1910 and VfB Stuttgart.
- 5' VfB Stuttgart is showing some good football. However, VfB Stuttgart are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and VfB Stuttgart are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 17' It’s a booking for VfB Stuttgart player. Julian Chabot gets a card.
- 22' VfB Stuttgart has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 37' Bosnia-Herzegovina international Ermedin Demirovic has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 38' Poor challenge from Siebe Van der Heyden. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 43' VfB Stuttgart have won 440 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' FC St. Pauli 1910 player sees a card in front of him.
- 53' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a card on 53.
- 57' Siebe Van der Heyden catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
- 62' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfB Stuttgart's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 63' A change in the FC St. Pauli 1910 ranks — Noah Weisshaupt exits the field as Oladapo Afolayan enters on 63.
- 65' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Josha Vagnoman on, Pascal Stenzel off on 65 minutes.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Deniz Undav.
- 72' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 73' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Chris Fuhrich departs to be replaced by Jacob Bruun Larsen.
- 78' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Carlo Boukhalfa is replaced by Robert Wagner on 78 minute.
- 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pascal Stenzel made 493 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Danel Sinani.
- 88' Goal! Nick Woltemade scores his 20 goal in 414 matches.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nikola Vasilj on 90.
- 90' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ramon Hendriks is hanging Maximilian Mittelstadt on the field on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. VfB Stuttgart take all three points.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 29
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Robert Wagner 78'
- 4
- 13
- 2
- 23
Bench
- 11
- 21
- 25
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 63'
-
1
Ben Alexander Voll ↑ 90'
- 18
-
39
Robert Wagner ↑ 78'
- 26
- 20
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
-
24
Julian Chabot ↓ Luca Jaquez 65'
- 7
- 33
-
15
Pascal Stenzel ↓ Josha Vagnoman 65'
- 27
- 18
- 11
- 26
- 6
- 29
Bench
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↑ 73'
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 65'
-
25
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 73'
- 1
- 5
- 32
-
3
Ramon Hendriks ↑ 90'
- 2
-
14
Luca Jaquez ↑ 65'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Johannes Eggestein | 1 |
| Nick Woltemade | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-05-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
VfB Stuttgart
L
2025-04-27
SV Werder Bremen
0–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2025-04-20
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-12
Holstein Kiel
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2025-04-06
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
D
2025-03-29
FC Bayern München
3–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
49%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
77%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfB Stuttgart
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 2
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 3
6.6%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

