Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs SSV Ulm 1846, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 18:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Tom Gaal
Ludovit Reis 10' 1–1
Davie Selke 45+4' 3–1
Philipp Strompf og 49' 4–1
Daniel Elfadli 86' 6–1

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SSV Ulm 18462. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Max Burda
  • Assistant 1 Felix Bickel (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Eric Muller
13 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.1 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals SSV Ulm 1846

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SSV Ulm 1846 H 6–1 W
03 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 4–0 W
27 Apr Karlsruher SC H 1–2 L
19 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D
11 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–4 L
05 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Hamburger SV A 1–6 L
03 May Hannover 96 H 1–2 L
25 Apr SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 1–0 W
20 Apr Hertha BSC H 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–0 W
06 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.4 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV61% Draw21% SSV Ulm 184618%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
82%
Draw or SSV Ulm 1846
39%
Hamburger SV or SSV Ulm 1846
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV46% Draw38% SSV Ulm 184616%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SSV Ulm 1846 covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 18% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 21% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
30%
SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.