Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs SSV Ulm 1846, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 18:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Tom Gaal
Ludovit Reis 10' 1–1
Davie Selke 45+4' 3–1
Philipp Strompf og 49' 4–1
Daniel Elfadli 86' 6–1

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SSV Ulm 1846 — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Max Burda
  • Assistant 1 Felix Bickel (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Eric Muller
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 12.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals SSV Ulm 1846

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SSV Ulm 1846 H 6–1 W
03 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 4–0 W
27 Apr Karlsruher SC H 1–2 L
19 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D
11 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–4 L
05 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Hamburger SV A 1–6 L
03 May Hannover 96 H 1–2 L
25 Apr SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 1–0 W
20 Apr Hertha BSC H 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–0 W
06 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hamburger SV and SSV Ulm 1846 get this one started.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hamburger SV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 7' Tom Gaal has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 10' What an equalizer from Ludovit Reis!
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hamburger SV must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maurice Krattenmacher suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Miro Muheim on 35.
  • 40' Emir Sahiti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 42' GOAL! Ransford Konigsdorffer fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 46' SSV Ulm 1846 ring the changes. Aaron Keller has done his job and it is now time for Dennis Chessa to step up.
  • 49' GOAL! Davie Selke scores on 45. Assisted by Jean-Luc Dompe
  • 54' The travelling SSV Ulm 1846 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' Max Brandt has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Gaal on 61 minutes.
  • 62' Ransford Konigsdorffer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Semir Telalovic makes way for Lucas Roser at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from SSV Ulm 1846.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Hamburger SV! Adam Karabec comes on to replace Ransford Konigsdorffer.
  • 73' The referee calls foul for William Mikelbrencis. He receives a card.
  • 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 80' Marco Richter has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lukasz Poreba on 80 minute.
  • 81' Hamburger SV make a change. Miro Muheim trudges off to be replaced by Otto Stange on 81 minutes.
  • 84' The whistle greets Romario Rosch as he departs to be replaced by Johannes Reichert.
  • 86' GOAL! Daniel Elfadli scores on 86. Assisted by Robert Glatzel
  • 89' Robert Leipertz is replacing Felix Higl for the SSV Ulm 1846 side.
  • The points are shared — Hamburger SV 6-1 SSV Ulm 1846. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.4 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV61% Draw21% SSV Ulm 184618%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
82%
Draw or SSV Ulm 1846
39%
Hamburger SV or SSV Ulm 1846
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV46% Draw38% SSV Ulm 184616%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SSV Ulm 1846 covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 18% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 21% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.