Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 3–3 D
16 Aug FC Eintracht Norderstedt 03 A 3–2 W
17 May VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–2 L
11 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
03 May VfB Stuttgart H 0–1 L
27 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–3 D
18 Aug Rot-Weiss Essen A 1–0 W
05 Jul Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
02 Jul CF Monterrey H 2–1 W
25 Jun Ulsan HD FC H 1–0 W
21 Jun Mamelodi Sundowns FC A 4–3 W

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 Borussia Dortmund
#18 Position #2
26 Points 73
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
29 Scored 70
60 Conceded 34
-31 GD +36
0.76 PPG 2.15
18% Win % 65%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC St. Pauli 1910 to score. At the same time, Borussia Dortmund does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191022% Draw24% Borussia Dortmund54%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
46%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
78%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Borussia Dortmund
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191016% Draw39% Borussia Dortmund45%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
0 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 10% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 22% 40%
+1.5 60% 40%
+2 60% 19% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
11%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.