Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 23 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Hamburger SVBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Hamburger SV H 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
21 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
13 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
06 Dec 1. FC Koln A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
20 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
13 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
07 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 3–2 W

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 Hamburger SV
#18 Position #13
26 Points 38
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14
29 Scored 40
60 Conceded 54
-31 GD -14
0.76 PPG 1.12
18% Win % 26%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/
16-30
/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191040% Draw32% Hamburger SV28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
71%
Draw or Hamburger SV
60%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Hamburger SV
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191025% Draw55% Hamburger SV20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 1
11.4%
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
41%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.