Wednesday , 14 October 2026

HEBC Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund, DFB-Pokal 2026-27 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2026-27
Tue 1 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC Volksparkstadion 45,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 33' Janek Wrede og
0–2 36' Daniel Svensson
0–3 41' Samuele Inacio
0–4 45+2' Samuele Inacio
0–5 59' Fabio Silva
Hammed Nawaz 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

HEBC Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund — DFB-Pokal at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Bauer
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Sebastian Hilsberg (Germany)
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 18.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
HEBC Hamburg 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep HEBC Hamburg A 5–0 W
29 Aug Hamburger SV H 2–0 W
16 May SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
08 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–2 W
03 May Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
26 Apr SC Freiburg H 4–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
HEBC Hamburg this season
100% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Samuele Inacio 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — HEBC Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund get this one started.
  • 5' HEBC Hamburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabio Silva suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Borussia Dortmund needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Borussia Dortmund winning 100% of all matches.
  • 30' The travelling Borussia Dortmund supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' Janek Wrede adds to his 1 season tally! HEBC Hamburg lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 36' The Sweden Daniel Svensson breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 1-1!
  • 41' Borussia Dortmund is taking the lead after the goal scored by Samuele Inacio on 41.
  • 46' HEBC Hamburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nils Ahmann is hanging Jannik Schoon on the field on 46 minute.
  • 47' What a strike from Samuele Inacio! The score is 1-3.
  • 52' HEBC Hamburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Laurel Aug is ready to make an impact after coming on for Piet Oldag at the 55 minute mark.
  • 58' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kaua Prates is hanging Daniel Svensson on the field on 58 minute.
  • 59' Goal! Fabio Silva scores his 37 goal in 499 matches.
  • 64' It looks surprising Borussia Dortmund does not make any changes. Waldemar Anton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Waldemar Anton departs to be replaced by Luca Reggiani.
  • 67' The HEBC Hamburg bench stirs into life. Tjorven Kohler is withdrawn and Malte Wilhelm gets his opportunity.
  • 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hammed Nawaz.
  • 77' Konstantinos Karetsas gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Samuele Inacio and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 87' It is a cagey affair so far. HEBC Hamburg in their trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact .
  • With this win, Borussia Dortmund is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.69 HEBC Hamburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
HEBC Hamburg14% Draw18% Borussia Dortmund68%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

HEBC Hamburg or Draw
32%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
86%
HEBC Hamburg or Borussia Dortmund
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
HEBC Hamburg7% Draw34% Borussia Dortmund59%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
12.2%
0 – 3
10.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 4
7.5%
1 – 3
7.4%
1 – 1
6.6%
1 – 4
5.2%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 5
3%
2 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — HEBC Hamburg

Handicap HEBC Hamburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 5% 94%
-0.5 6% — 94%
+0.5 21% — 79%
+1 21% 20% 60%
+1.5 40% — 60%
+2 40% 22% 38%
+2.5 62% — 38%

Clean Sheet

HEBC Hamburg keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
51% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.