Friday , 28 August 2026

HEBC Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund, DFB-Pokal 2026-27 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2026-27
Tue 1 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC Volksparkstadion

Overview

Match Preview

HEBC Hamburg vs Borussia DortmundDFB-Pokal at Volksparkstadion.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
08 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–2 W
03 May Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
26 Apr SC Freiburg H 4–0 W
18 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–2 L
11 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L

Predictions

1.35 HEBC Hamburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: HEBC Hamburg or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

HEBC Hamburg43% Draw29% Borussia Dortmund28%

Both Teams to Score

Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

HEBC Hamburg or Draw
72%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
57%
HEBC Hamburg or Borussia Dortmund
71%

Half-Time Result

HEBC Hamburg29% Draw49% Borussia Dortmund22%

Correct Score

1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — HEBC Hamburg

Handicap HEBC Hamburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

HEBC Hamburg keeps clean sheet
34%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.