Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
2 – 1
Full Time
Fortaleza EC
Tue 29 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 9' Magrao
Y 18' Bruno Pacheco
Y 45' Breno Lopes
Alysson 45' Y
Y 56' Deyverson
Y 67' Lucca Prior
Y 79' Marinho
Cristian Olivera 87' Y
Marlon 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

3
6
3
Gremio FBPA 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Fortaleza EC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2023-05-14 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
27 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
01 Jun EC Juventude A 2–0 W
Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
26 Jul RB Bragantino H 3–1 W
19 Jul EC Bahia H 1–1 D
13 Jul Ceará SC H 0–1 L
12 Jun Santos FC H 2–3 L
01 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Arena do Gremio. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Grêmio FBPA and Fortaleza EC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Sasha, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 9' It’s gonna be a card for Magrao.
  • 12' Martin Braithwaite is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 17' GOAL! Martin Braithwaite scores on 17.
  • 18' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 23' Fortaleza EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 24' Against the run of play, Deyverson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 29' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' Over 34 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Grêmio FBPA and Fortaleza EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 44' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Breno Lopes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 54' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Camilo is hanging Gustavo Martins on the field on 54 minute.
  • 56' A moment of madness from Deyverson on 56 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Bruno Pacheco is replaced by Diogo Barbosa.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Cristian Pavon comes on to replace Riquelme.
  • 67' Lucca Prior was booked on 67.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Benjamin Kuscevic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 76' Fortaleza EC make a change. Lucca Prior trudges off to be replaced by Yago Pikachu on 76 minutes.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marinho on 79 minutes.
  • 83' Edenilson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alysson on 83 minute.
  • 85' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 85 minute. Eros Mancuso leaves to be changed by Leandro Martinez.
  • 87' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Cristian Olivera will be fuming at that decision.
  • 88' Marlon picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • With this win, Grêmio FBPA is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Paiva

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martin Braithwaite 3
Osvaldo 2
Pepe 2
Paulo Miranda 1
Hercules 1
Wellington Paulista 1
Deyverson 1
Marlon 1

Head to Head

2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2023-05-14 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-07-19 CR Vasco da Gama 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-06-12 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-06-01 EC Juventude 0–2 Gremio FBPA W

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-07-26 Fortaleza EC 3–1 RB Bragantino W 2025-07-19 Fortaleza EC 1–1 EC Bahia D 2025-07-13 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-06-12 Fortaleza EC 2–3 Santos FC L 2025-06-01 CR Flamengo 5–0 Fortaleza EC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA54% Draw26% Fortaleza EC20%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
80%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
46%
Gremio FBPA or Fortaleza EC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA36% Draw47% Fortaleza EC17%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.