Wednesday , 14 October 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2019 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 19 Oct 2019 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 29' Andre
Carlinhos 32' Y
Marlon 82' Y
Gabriel Dias 84' Y
Kieza 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno Raphael Pires
  • Referee Andre Luiz de Freitas Castro
  • Referee Cristhian Passos Sorence
  • Referee Adriano Barros Carneiro

Head-to-Head

3
6
3
Fortaleza EC 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
16 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
13 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
09 Oct Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
05 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
30 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Fortaleza EC A 1–2 L
16 Oct EC Bahia H 0–1 L
13 Oct CA Mineiro A 4–1 W
10 Oct Ceará SC H 2–1 W
05 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
29 Sep Fluminense FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio Castelao that hosts another battle between Fortaleza EC and Gremio FBPA.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Phelipe Megiolaro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Brilliant from the ! Paulo Miranda makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 10.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Braz, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Juninho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Andre.
  • 32' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Carlinhos gets a Yellow card.
  • 35' Wellington Paulista has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 41' Osvaldo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 41 minutes.
  • 46' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Edinho is replaced by Nene Bonilha on 60 minute.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Everton comes on to replace Andre.
  • 67' It looks surprising Gremio FBPA does not make any changes. Paulao has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 71' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marlon is hanging Romarinho on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 79' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Diego Tardelli on, Luciano off on 79 minutes.
  • 82' That is a Yellow card for Fortaleza EC. Marlon will be fuming at that decision.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gabriel Dias on 84 minutes.
  • 89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Kieza argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC43% Draw28% Gremio FBPA29%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
71%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
57%
Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC28% Draw48% Gremio FBPA24%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.