Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jun | Santos FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 0–5 | L |
| 25 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fortaleza EC to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 18' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Diogo Barbosa will be fuming at that decision.
- 23' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 28' Magrao has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 29' Brilliant from the ! Marinho makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 29.
- 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emanuel Britez, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Michel Araujo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
- 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Luciano Rodriguez departs to be replaced by Cauly.
- 51' Erick has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
- 56' Brazil international Lucas Sasha has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Juan Lucero.
- 63' Santiago Ramos is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
- 65' Matheus Pereira was booked on 65.
- 68' Leandro Martinez gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Tomas Pochettino and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' Jose Herrera has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marinho on 69 minute.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Michel Araujo. He replaces Jean Lucas on 75 minute.
- 76' EC Bahia ring the changes. Caio Alexandre has done his job and it is now time for Rodrigo Nestor to step up.
- 78' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Leandro Martinez will be fuming at that decision.
- 79' Adam Bareiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Lucero on 79 minute.
- 80' Rodrigo Nestor has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 80 minutes.
- 84' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Breno Lopes is replaced by Yago Pikachu.
- 89' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Nicolas Acevedo on, Everton Ribeiro off on 89 minutes.
- The points are shared — Fortaleza EC 1-1 EC Bahia. Honours even.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Marinho ↓ Jose Herrera 69'
- 16
- 7
- 88
-
33
Emanuel Britez ↓ Eros Mancuso 68'
- 5
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Adam Bareiro 79'
- 3
- 15
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Yago Pikachu 84'
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 84'
- 20
- 18
- 25
- 2
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 79'
- 17
-
14
Eros Mancuso ↑ 68'
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↑ 68'
-
80
Jose Herrera ↑ 69'
- 38
- 19
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Michel Araujo 75'
- 10
- 7
- 2
- 22
- 33
- 21
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 76'
- 46
- 16
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Cauly 46'
Bench
- 96
-
8
Cauly ↑ 46'
- 13
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 76'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 75'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 89'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 76'
- 3
- 66
- 77
- 68
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.08
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
62%
Draw or EC Bahia
69%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.