Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 25 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
26 Apr SC Recife A 0–0 D
20 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
18 May CA Mineiro H 0–0 D
11 May SC Recife A 4–0 W
04 May CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
27 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Apr RB Bragantino A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Matheus Pereira 9 G 4 A
Kaio Jorge 7 G 1 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Cruzeiro EC get us underway at Castelao.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Marquinhos, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Lucas Silva has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 16' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leandro Martinez on 16 minutes.
  • 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lautaro Diaz, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 31' William is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
  • 34' Kaio Jorge doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' Murilo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cruzeiro EC tonight.
  • 41' What composure from Lucas Silva! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Gustavo on 45 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 46' Eros Mancuso gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Diogo Barbosa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Cruzeiro EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 53' The referee shows Cruzeiro EC player a card on 53.
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Benjamin Kuscevic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pedro Augusto.
  • 67' Marquinhos makes way for Yannick Bolasie at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cruzeiro EC.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Calebe comes on to replace Jose Welison.
  • 76' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Lucca Prior on, Breno Lopes off on 79 minutes.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Kenji comes on to replace Kaio Jorge.
  • 83' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pedro Augusto on 83 minutes.
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Lucas Romero as he leaves the pitch. Murilo steps in for Cruzeiro EC.
  • Cruzeiro EC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Cruzeiro EC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC32% Draw30% Cruzeiro EC38%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
62%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
68%
Fortaleza EC or Cruzeiro EC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC23% Draw49% Cruzeiro EC28%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Cruzeiro EC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.