Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Raphael Claus
- Assistant 1 Danilo Ricardo Simon Manis
- Assistant 2 Daniel Paulo Ziolli
15 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Castelao as Fortaleza EC face off against EC Bahia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 18' The referee has no hesitation. Matheus Rossetto is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 18.
- 20' Jean Lucas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 25' Rezende has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 28' What composure from Marinho! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 30' Assisted by Cauly with the perfectly-timed delivery and Everaldo makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 35' Brazil international Rafael Ratao has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 37' Against the run of play, Marinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 41' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rafael Ratao is hanging Thaciano on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 342 games and scored 373 goals.
- 61' Jose Welison, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 66' With 2 assists to his name this season, Luciano Rodriguez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
- 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 74' Luciano Rodriguez is replacing Everaldo for the EC Bahia side.
- 75' Fortaleza EC make a change. Juan Lucero trudges off to be replaced by Renato Kayzer on 75 minutes.
- 76' Tomas Pochettino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hercules at the 76 minute mark.
- 80' Magnificent from Tomas Pochettino! That is 13 goals in 202 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 82' Yago Pikachu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marinho at the 82 minute mark.
- 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Jose Welison.
- 87' Pedro Augusto is replacing Matheus Rossetto for the Fortaleza EC side.
- 89' Renato Kayzer does the damage! The net is bulging and Fortaleza EC surge ahead!
- Game over. The scoreline of 4-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Marinho ↓ Yago Pikachu 82'
- 1
- 16
- 25
- 19
- 13
-
197
Juan Lucero ↓ Renato Kayzer 75'
- 17
-
33
Eros Mancuso ↓ Tinga 87'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Tomas Pochettino 76'
- 8
Bench
- 36
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 82'
- 30
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 76'
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↑ 75'
- 39
-
2
Tinga ↑ 87'
- 10
- 26
- 4
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 87'
- 77
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Rafael Ratao 46'
- 6
- 10
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 74'
- 13
-
15
Victor Cuesta ↓ Rezende 46'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Luciano Rodriguez 74'
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 74'
- 2
- 31
- 1
- 25
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 46'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 74'
- 33
-
5
Rezende ↑ 46'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 74'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Tinga | 1 |
| Kanu | 1 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

