Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

4 – 1
Full Time
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 00:00 UTC Castelao 24,774 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marinho 28' 1–0
1–1 30' Everaldo
Marinho 37' 2–1
Tomas Pochettino 80' 3–1
Renato Kayzer 89' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Raphael Claus
  • Assistant 1 Danilo Ricardo Simon Manis
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Paulo Ziolli
15 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
11 Sep SC Internacional A 1–2 L
01 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
25 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
17 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–4 L
15 Sep CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–2 L
25 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
17 Aug Gremio FBPA A 2–0 W
11 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Castelao as Fortaleza EC face off against EC Bahia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 18' The referee has no hesitation. Matheus Rossetto is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 18.
  • 20' Jean Lucas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 25' Rezende has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' What composure from Marinho! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 30' Assisted by Cauly with the perfectly-timed delivery and Everaldo makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 35' Brazil international Rafael Ratao has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 37' Against the run of play, Marinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 41' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rafael Ratao is hanging Thaciano on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 342 games and scored 373 goals.
  • 61' Jose Welison, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 66' With 2 assists to his name this season, Luciano Rodriguez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
  • 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 74' Luciano Rodriguez is replacing Everaldo for the EC Bahia side.
  • 75' Fortaleza EC make a change. Juan Lucero trudges off to be replaced by Renato Kayzer on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Tomas Pochettino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hercules at the 76 minute mark.
  • 80' Magnificent from Tomas Pochettino! That is 13 goals in 202 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 82' Yago Pikachu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marinho at the 82 minute mark.
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Jose Welison.
  • 87' Pedro Augusto is replacing Matheus Rossetto for the Fortaleza EC side.
  • 89' Renato Kayzer does the damage! The net is bulging and Fortaleza EC surge ahead!
  • Game over. The scoreline of 4-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw25% EC Bahia23%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC37% Draw45% EC Bahia18%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.