Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
4 – 1
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 00:00 UTC Castelao 24,774 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marinho 28' 1–0
1–1 30' Everaldo
Marinho 37' 2–1
Tomas Pochettino 80' 3–1
Renato Kayzer 89' 4–1
Matheus Rossetto 18' Y
Y 20' Jean Lucas
Juan Lucero 41' Y
Jose Welison 83' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Raphael Claus
  • Assistant 1 Danilo Ricardo Simon Manis
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Paulo Ziolli
12 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitória 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Grêmio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

4
3
5
Fortaleza EC 12 games · Avg 3.0 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia 2024-06-14 EC Bahia 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-10-21 EC Bahia 2–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-06-03 Fortaleza EC 0–0 EC Bahia 2021-12-10 Fortaleza EC 2–1 EC Bahia

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
11 Sep SC Internacional A 1–2 L
01 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
25 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
17 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–1 W
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–4 L
15 Sep CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–2 L
25 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
17 Aug Grêmio FBPA A 2–0 W
11 Aug EC Vitória H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Fortaleza EC get us underway at Castelao.
  • 5' Marcos Felipe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Uruguay international Carlos De Pena has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Rossetto on 18.
  • 20' It’s gonna be a card for Jean Lucas.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' Marinho has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
  • 30' A goal from the Brazil international Everaldo! He fires home on 30 to make it 1-1!
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 37' Marinho adds to his 0 season tally! Fortaleza EC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Juan Lucero on 41 minutes.
  • 46' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Rafael Ratao on, Thaciano off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Everton Ribeiro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Juan Lucero, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 74' Luciano Rodriguez gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Everaldo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Juan Lucero exits the field as Renato Kayzer enters on 75.
  • 76' Tomas Pochettino gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Hercules and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tomas Pochettino makes it 3-1.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Yago Pikachu on, Marinho off on 82 minutes.
  • 83' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jose Welison on 83 minutes.
  • 87' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Matheus Rossetto has done his job and it is now time for Pedro Augusto to step up.
  • 89' Renato Kayzer adds to his 2 season tally! Fortaleza EC lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Fortaleza EC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

EC Bahia Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hugo Rodallega 4
Marinho 3
Rodriguinho 3
Juninho 2
Yago Pikachu 2
Gilberto 2
Matheus 1
Willian Jose 1

Head to Head

2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia 2024-06-14 EC Bahia 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-10-21 EC Bahia 2–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-06-03 Fortaleza EC 0–0 EC Bahia 2021-12-10 Fortaleza EC 2–1 EC Bahia

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia W 2024-09-14 CA Paranaense 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-09-11 SC Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2024-09-01 Botafogo FR 2–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-08-25 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2024-08-17 RB Bragantino 1–2 Fortaleza EC W

EC Bahia Form

2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia L 2024-09-15 EC Bahia 3–0 CA Mineiro W 2024-09-01 RB Bragantino 2–1 EC Bahia L 2024-08-25 EC Bahia 0–0 Botafogo FR D 2024-08-17 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia W 2024-08-11 EC Bahia 2–0 EC Vitória W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw25% EC Bahia23%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC37% Draw45% EC Bahia18%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.