Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
4 – 1
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 00:00 UTC Castelao 24,774 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marinho 28' 1–0
1–1 30' Everaldo
Marinho 37' 2–1
Tomas Pochettino 80' 3–1
Renato Kayzer 89' 4–1
Matheus Rossetto 18' Y
Y 20' Jean Lucas
Juan Lucero 41' Y
Jose Welison 83' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Raphael Claus
  • Assistant 1 Danilo Ricardo Simon Manis
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Paulo Ziolli
12 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

4
3
5
Fortaleza EC 12 games · Avg 3.0 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia 2024-06-14 EC Bahia 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-10-21 EC Bahia 2–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-06-03 Fortaleza EC 0–0 EC Bahia 2021-12-10 Fortaleza EC 2–1 EC Bahia

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
11 Sep SC Internacional A 1–2 L
01 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
25 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
17 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–1 W
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–4 L
15 Sep CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–2 L
25 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
17 Aug Gremio FBPA A 2–0 W
11 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Castelao. Fortaleza EC are looking to make home advantage count against EC Bahia.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Matheus Rossetto. He receives a card.
  • 20' Jean Lucas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 20.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' What a strike from Marinho! The score is 1-0.
  • 30' What an equalizer from Everaldo!
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 329 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 37' Marinho has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
  • 41' A moment of madness from Juan Lucero on 41 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 46' Rafael Ratao is replacing Thaciano for the EC Bahia side.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rezende, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Juan Lucero made 147 appearances and scored 37 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 66' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's 4-3-1-2 shape.
  • 71' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 74' EC Bahia make a change. Everaldo trudges off to be replaced by Luciano Rodriguez on 74 minutes.
  • 75' Renato Kayzer gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Juan Lucero and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 76 minute. Hercules leaves to be changed by Tomas Pochettino.
  • 80' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tomas Pochettino makes no mistake. 3-1!
  • 82' The whistle greets Marinho as he departs to be replaced by Yago Pikachu.
  • 83' Jose Welison is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 87' The whistle greets Matheus Rossetto as he departs to be replaced by Pedro Augusto.
  • 89' The Brazil Renato Kayzer breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 4-1!
  • Another three points for Fortaleza EC.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

EC Bahia Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hugo Rodallega 4
Marinho 3
Rodriguinho 3
Yago Pikachu 2
Gilberto 2
Juninho 2
Everaldo 1
Rossi 1

Head to Head

2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia 2024-06-14 EC Bahia 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-10-21 EC Bahia 2–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-06-03 Fortaleza EC 0–0 EC Bahia 2021-12-10 Fortaleza EC 2–1 EC Bahia

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia W 2024-09-14 CA Paranaense 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-09-11 SC Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2024-09-01 Botafogo FR 2–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-08-25 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2024-08-17 RB Bragantino 1–2 Fortaleza EC W

EC Bahia Form

2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia L 2024-09-15 EC Bahia 3–0 CA Mineiro W 2024-09-01 RB Bragantino 2–1 EC Bahia L 2024-08-25 EC Bahia 0–0 Botafogo FR D 2024-08-17 Gremio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia W 2024-08-11 EC Bahia 2–0 EC Vitoria W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw25% EC Bahia23%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC37% Draw45% EC Bahia18%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.