Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

4 1
Full Time
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 00:00 UTC Castelao 24,774 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marinho 28' 1–0
1–1 30' Everaldo
Marinho 37' 2–1
Tomas Pochettino 80' 3–1
Renato Kayzer 89' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs EC BahiaSerie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Raphael Claus
  • Assistant 1 Danilo Ricardo Simon Manis
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Paulo Ziolli
12 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
11 Sep SC Internacional A 1–2 L
01 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
25 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
17 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–4 L
15 Sep CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–2 L
25 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
17 Aug Grêmio FBPA A 2–0 W
11 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Fortaleza EC host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 18' Poor challenge from Matheus Rossetto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 20' Jean Lucas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 28' A stunning finish from Marinho — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 30' Goal! Everaldo scores his 58 goal in 173 matches.
  • 35' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' Marinho with the second goal in the match!
  • 41' Juan Lucero picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Thaciano is replaced by Rafael Ratao.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leandro Martinez, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 61' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Juan Lucero made 147 appearances and scored 37 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' EC Bahia come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 74' Luciano Rodriguez gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Everaldo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Renato Kayzer comes on to replace Juan Lucero.
  • 76' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Hercules by Tomas Pochettino on 76 minute.
  • 80' What a moment for Tomas Pochettino! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Marinho is replaced by Yago Pikachu on 82 minute.
  • 83' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Matheus Rossetto as he leaves the pitch. Pedro Augusto steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 89' The Brazil Renato Kayzer breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 4-1!
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Fortaleza EC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw25% EC Bahia23%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC37% Draw45% EC Bahia18%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
36%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.