Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

2 0
Full Time
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fortaleza ECSerie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Fortaleza EC H 2–0 W
19 Oct SC Internacional H 1–0 W
07 Oct Goiás EC A 6–4 W
30 Sep CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
18 Sep Santos FC H 1–2 L
14 Sep Coritiba FBC A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct EC Bahia A 0–2 L
19 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
08 Oct America FC H 3–2 W
30 Sep Grêmio FBPA H 1–1 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 2–1 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Fortaleza EC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marinho suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 16' The referee has no hesitation. Camilo Candido is booked for EC Bahia — Yellow card on 16.
  • 21' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fortaleza EC's shape.
  • 22' EC Bahia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kanu on 22.
  • 27' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 32' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Raul Gustavo.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Emanuel Britez.
  • 45' That is a Yellow card for EC Bahia. Yago Felipe will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Guilherme Augusto by Imanol Machuca on 46 minute.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Guilherme Augusto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
  • 56' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Cauly.
  • 62' Luciano Juba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thaciano at the 62 minute mark.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Thaciano.
  • 64' Fortaleza EC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 69' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 71' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Pedro Augusto exits the field as Caio Alexandre enters on 71.
  • 76' Tinga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dudu on 76 minute.
  • 79' Diego Rosa gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Cauly and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • EC Bahia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia54% Draw27% Fortaleza EC19%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
46%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia36% Draw49% Fortaleza EC15%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
44%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.