Thursday , 2 July 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 17 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Sao Januario HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza ECSerie A at Sao Januario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Fortaleza EC H 3–0 W
10 May EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
04 May SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
27 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
19 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
16 Apr Ceará SC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
26 Apr SC Recife A 0–0 D
20 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
17 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–2 L

Key Stats

10% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Sao Januario. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' What a strike from Nuno Moreira! The score is 1-0.
  • 8' CR Vasco da Gama is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 13' CR Vasco da Gama is showing some good football. However, CR Vasco da Gama are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 18' CR Vasco da Gama seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pablo Vegetti made 97 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Vasco da Gama needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' The referee shows CR Vasco da Gama player a card on 39.
  • 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' What a strike from Pablo Vegetti! The score is 2-0.
  • 46' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Lucas Sasha by Guillermo Fernandez on 46 minute.
  • 51' It’s a booking for CR Vasco da Gama player. Luiz Gustavo gets a card.
  • 56' It’s high time Fernando Diniz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 58' Marinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eros Mancuso on 58 minute.
  • 63' It looks surprising CR Vasco da Gama does not make any changes. Tomas Pochettino has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 68' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 68.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Breno Lopes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Yago Pikachu by Deyverson on 77 minute.
  • 80' What a strike from Pablo Vegetti! The score is 3-0.
  • 85' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philippe Coutinho, as he is very good at scoring at Sao Januario with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 87' The CR Vasco da Gama manager makes a substitution. Nuno Moreira departs to be replaced by Adson.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Kervin Andrade. He replaces Breno Lopes on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for CR Vasco da Gama.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama48% Draw29% Fortaleza EC23%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
78%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
52%
CR Vasco da Gama or Fortaleza EC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama32% Draw52% Fortaleza EC16%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 25% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
45%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.