Saturday , 14 November 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 17 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Sao Januario HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Sao Januario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Fortaleza EC H 3–0 W
10 May EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
04 May SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
27 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
19 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
16 Apr Ceará SC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
26 Apr SC Recife A 0–0 D
20 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
17 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–2 L

Key Stats

10% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/8
61-75
6/7
76+
11/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between CR Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza EC is underway.
  • 3' What a strike from Nuno Moreira! The score is 1-0.
  • 8' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pablo Vegetti is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
  • 13' CR Vasco da Gama have won 304 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 18' Kervin Andrade is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fortaleza EC so far.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' It is a cagey affair so far. CR Vasco da Gama in their trying to find a way past Fortaleza EC's compact .
  • 39' Nuno Moreira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 44' CR Vasco da Gama currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Pablo Vegetti has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 46 minutes.
  • 46' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Guillermo Fernandez is hanging Lucas Sasha on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' CR Vasco da Gama player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 58' Controversy at the stadium! Leandro Martinez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 58' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Eros Mancuso exits the field as Marinho enters on 58.
  • 63' Brazil international Yago Pikachu has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Marinho.
  • 73' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Deyverson on, Yago Pikachu off on 77 minutes.
  • 80' Pablo Vegetti adds to his 0 season tally! CR Vasco da Gama lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 85' CR Vasco da Gama are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fortaleza EC backline.
  • 87' CR Vasco da Gama make a change. Nuno Moreira trudges off to be replaced by Adson on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Kervin Andrade gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Breno Lopes and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Fortaleza EC will have plenty to reflect on. CR Vasco da Gama were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama48% Draw29% Fortaleza EC23%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
78%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
52%
CR Vasco da Gama or Fortaleza EC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama32% Draw52% Fortaleza EC16%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.