CR Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CR Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Sao Januario.
- CR Vasco da Gama 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 May | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | EC Juventude | H | 5–0 | W |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
10%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CR Vasco da Gama this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CR Vasco da Gama
| Thiago Mendes | 3 G | 1 A |
| Cauan Lucas | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Sao Januario. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 3' What a strike from Nuno Moreira! The score is 1-0.
- 8' CR Vasco da Gama is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 13' CR Vasco da Gama is showing some good football. However, CR Vasco da Gama are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' CR Vasco da Gama seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pablo Vegetti made 97 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 33' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
- 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Vasco da Gama needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 39' The referee shows CR Vasco da Gama player a card on 39.
- 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' What a strike from Pablo Vegetti! The score is 2-0.
- 46' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Lucas Sasha by Guillermo Fernandez on 46 minute.
- 51' It’s a booking for CR Vasco da Gama player. Luiz Gustavo gets a card.
- 56' It’s high time Fernando Diniz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 58' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 58.
- 58' Marinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eros Mancuso on 58 minute.
- 63' It looks surprising CR Vasco da Gama does not make any changes. Tomas Pochettino has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 68' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 68.
- 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Breno Lopes suffering a number of foals already.
- 77' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Yago Pikachu by Deyverson on 77 minute.
- 80' What a strike from Pablo Vegetti! The score is 3-0.
- 85' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philippe Coutinho, as he is very good at scoring at Sao Januario with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 87' The CR Vasco da Gama manager makes a substitution. Nuno Moreira departs to be replaced by Adson.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Kervin Andrade. He replaces Breno Lopes on 90 minute.
- Another three points for CR Vasco da Gama.
Lineups
CR Vasco da Gama Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
3
Tche Tche ↓ Mauricio Lemos 90'
-
25
Hugo Moura ↓ Tucurui 87'
- 6
- 38
- 99
- 96
-
17
Nuno Moreira ↓ Adson 87'
- 1
-
77
Rayan ↓ Loide Augusto 87'
-
44
Luiz Gustavo ↓ Paulinho 90'
Bench
- 12
- 13
-
4
Mauricio Lemos ↑ 90'
- 2
- 15
- 29
- 20
- 90
-
28
Adson ↑ 87'
-
18
Paulinho ↑ 90'
-
85
Tucurui ↑ 87'
-
45
Loide Augusto ↑ 87'
Coach
Fernando Diniz
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Deyverson 77'
- 20
- 7
- 88
- 13
- 9
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Kervin Andrade 90'
-
14
Eros Mancuso ↓ Marinho 58'
- 39
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 58'
- 6
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 77'
- 23
-
5
Guillermo Fernandez ↑ 46'
- 33
- 10
- 4
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↑ 46'
- 12
-
77
Kervin Andrade ↑ 90'
- 19
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pablo Vegetti | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Romarinho | 2 |
| Breno Lopes | 1 |
| Leandro Martinez | 1 |
| Nuno Moreira | 1 |
| David | 1 |
| David | 1 |
Head to Head
CR Vasco da Gama Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32
CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Vasco da Gama win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
78%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
52%
CR Vasco da Gama or Fortaleza EC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama
| Handicap | CR Vasco da Gama covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 25% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

