EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Octavio Mangabeira. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Octavio Mangabeira. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Joao Ricardo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' named a 4-1-2-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' Renato Kayzer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 40' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Oscar Estupinan. He replaces Everaldo on 46 minute.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Fortaleza EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marcos Felipe suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' Everaldo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 62' Carlos De Pena is replacing Cauly for the EC Bahia side.
- 64' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Renato Kayzer departs to be replaced by Juan Lucero.
- 69' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! Caio Alexandre argues furiously but the card stands.
- 75' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Gilberto is withdrawn and Cicinho gets his opportunity.
- 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 83' What a moment for Jean Lucas! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
- 83' Fortaleza EC make a change. Jose Welison trudges off to be replaced by Imanol Machuca on 83 minutes.
- 84' Leandro Martinez makes way for Pedro Rocha at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
- 85' Another change for EC Bahia made on 85 minute. Everton Ribeiro leaves to be changed by Yago Felipe.
- 86' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 88' Poor challenge from Yago Felipe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carlos De Pena on 90.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Yago Felipe 85'
- 7
- 2
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↓ Carlos De Pena 62'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 46'
- 19
- 46
- 5
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 85'
- 4
- –
- –
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 46'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 75'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 62'
- 33
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 46'
- 23
- 44
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fortaleza EC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 36
- 1
- 19
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↓ Juan Lucero 64'
- 2
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Yago Pikachu 83'
- 4
-
17
Jose Welison ↓ Imanol Machuca 83'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Tomas Pochettino 64'
- 28
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↓ Pedro Rocha 84'
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 83'
- 23
- 16
- 6
- 20
-
32
Pedro Rocha ↑ 84'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 64'
- 25
- 88
-
9
Juan Lucero ↑ 64'
-
39
Imanol Machuca ↑ 83'
- 37
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Felipe Pires | 1 |
| Rodriguinho | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
48%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 26% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 14% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.