EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Octavio Mangabeira. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Emanuel Britez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Marcos Felipe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 31 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Octavio Mangabeira. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' Ademir Santos, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Everaldo is replaced by Oscar Estupinan on 46 minute.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 334 games and scored 363 goals.
- 61' Breno Lopes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 32 goals in his last 393 appearances.
- 62' Another change for EC Bahia made on 62 minute. Cauly leaves to be changed by Carlos De Pena.
- 64' Renato Kayzer makes way for Juan Lucero at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
- 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jean Lucas, as he is very good at scoring at Octavio Mangabeira with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 70' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 70.
- 75' Cicinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gilberto at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomas Pochettino suffering a number of foals already.
- 83' Goal! Jean Lucas scores his 11 goal in 390 matches.
- 83' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Jose Welison is replaced by Imanol Machuca on 83 minute.
- 84' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Pedro Rocha on, Leandro Martinez off on 84 minutes.
- 85' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yago Felipe is hanging Everton Ribeiro on the field on 85 minute.
- 86' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 88' Yago Felipe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Carlos De Pena is booked for EC Bahia — card on 90.
- Fortaleza EC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Yago Felipe 85'
- 7
- 2
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↓ Carlos De Pena 62'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 46'
- 19
- 46
- 5
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 85'
- 4
- –
- –
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 46'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 75'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 62'
- 33
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 46'
- 23
- 44
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fortaleza EC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 36
- 1
- 19
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↓ Juan Lucero 64'
- 2
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Yago Pikachu 83'
- 4
-
17
Jose Welison ↓ Imanol Machuca 83'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Tomas Pochettino 64'
- 28
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↓ Pedro Rocha 84'
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 83'
- 23
- 16
- 6
- 20
-
32
Pedro Rocha ↑ 84'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 64'
- 25
- 88
-
9
Juan Lucero ↑ 64'
-
39
Imanol Machuca ↑ 83'
- 37
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Matheus | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
48%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 26% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 14% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

