EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. EC Bahia get us underway at Octavio Mangabeira.
- 5' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gabriel Xavier suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Felipe Jonatan, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Octavio Mangabeira. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Fortaleza EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' Oscar Estupinan gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Everaldo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their 4-1-2-1-2 trying to find a way past Fortaleza EC's compact 4-3-3.
- 56' Juan Lucero needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 62' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Cauly is replaced by Carlos De Pena.
- 64' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Juan Lucero comes on to replace Renato Kayzer.
- 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 70' Caio Alexandre is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
- 75' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Cicinho on, Gilberto off on 75 minutes.
- 80' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Jose Welison has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 83' A stunning finish from Jean Lucas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 83' Imanol Machuca is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jose Welison at the 83 minute mark.
- 84' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Leandro Martinez exits the field as Pedro Rocha enters on 84.
- 85' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yago Felipe is hanging Everton Ribeiro on the field on 85 minute.
- 86' Marcos Felipe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
- 88' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 88.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Carlos De Pena is booked for EC Bahia — card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from EC Bahia to claim maximum points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Yago Felipe 85'
- 7
- 2
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↓ Carlos De Pena 62'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 46'
- 19
- 46
- 5
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 85'
- 4
- –
- –
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 46'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 75'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 62'
- 33
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 46'
- 23
- 44
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fortaleza EC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 36
- 1
- 19
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↓ Juan Lucero 64'
- 2
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Yago Pikachu 83'
- 4
-
17
Jose Welison ↓ Imanol Machuca 83'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Tomas Pochettino 64'
- 28
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↓ Pedro Rocha 84'
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 83'
- 23
- 16
- 6
- 20
-
32
Pedro Rocha ↑ 84'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 64'
- 25
- 88
-
9
Juan Lucero ↑ 64'
-
39
Imanol Machuca ↑ 83'
- 37
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
48%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 26% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 14% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.