EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Botafogo FR | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Fortaleza EC get us underway at Octavio Mangabeira.
- 5' The 30-year-old Tomas Pochettino has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Fortaleza EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 30' Pedro Augusto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortaleza EC tonight.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Octavio Mangabeira. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' Oscar Estupinan is replacing Everaldo for the EC Bahia side.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' With 1 assists to his name this season, Luciano Juba is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
- 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 62' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Carlos De Pena comes on to replace Cauly.
- 64' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 64 minute. Renato Kayzer leaves to be changed by Juan Lucero.
- 69' Hercules has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Caio Alexandre.
- 75' The crowd applauds Gilberto as he leaves the pitch. Cicinho steps in for EC Bahia.
- 80' Juan Lucero has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 83' The deadlock is broken! Jean Lucas gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
- 83' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Jose Welison exits the field as Imanol Machuca enters on 83.
- 84' Pedro Rocha is replacing Leandro Martinez for the Fortaleza EC side.
- 85' EC Bahia make a change. Everton Ribeiro trudges off to be replaced by Yago Felipe on 85 minutes.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcos Felipe on 86 minutes.
- 88' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza EC.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Yago Felipe 85'
- 7
- 2
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↓ Carlos De Pena 62'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 46'
- 19
- 46
- 5
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 85'
- 4
- –
- –
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 46'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 75'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 62'
- 33
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 46'
- 23
- 44
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fortaleza EC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 36
- 1
- 19
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↓ Juan Lucero 64'
- 2
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Yago Pikachu 83'
- 4
-
17
Jose Welison ↓ Imanol Machuca 83'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Tomas Pochettino 64'
- 28
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↓ Pedro Rocha 84'
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 83'
- 23
- 16
- 6
- 20
-
32
Pedro Rocha ↑ 84'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 64'
- 25
- 88
-
9
Juan Lucero ↑ 64'
-
39
Imanol Machuca ↑ 83'
- 37
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
48%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 26% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 14% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

