Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Moises 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
08 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
05 Dec AC Goianiense A 1–3 L
01 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
08 Dec SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
05 Dec Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
01 Dec CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
26 Nov Criciúma EC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Castelao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' Goal! Juan Lucero scores his 37 goal in 147 matches.
  • 9' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
  • 14' The whistle greets Kevin Serna as he departs to be replaced by Lima.
  • 19' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Kevin Serna has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' What a strike from Tinga! The score is 2-0.
  • 26' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' German Cano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 46 minute. Agustin Canobbio leaves to be changed by Keno.
  • 51' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' Agustin Canobbio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Luiz is hanging Tinga on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Ruben Lezcano. He replaces Hercules on 71 minute.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Leandro Martinez is replaced by Jose Welison on 72 minute.
  • 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 83' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. German Cano departs to be replaced by Everaldo.
  • 85' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Deyverson is hanging Juan Lucero on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moises on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw27% Fluminense FC21%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC35% Draw50% Fluminense FC15%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
44%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.