Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | SC Internacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | AC Goianiense | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Nov | Criciúma EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Castelao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 4' Goal! Juan Lucero scores his 37 goal in 147 matches.
- 9' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
- 14' The whistle greets Kevin Serna as he departs to be replaced by Lima.
- 19' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Kevin Serna has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 21' What a strike from Tinga! The score is 2-0.
- 26' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' German Cano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 46 minute. Agustin Canobbio leaves to be changed by Keno.
- 51' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' Agustin Canobbio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 62' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Luiz is hanging Tinga on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Ruben Lezcano. He replaces Hercules on 71 minute.
- 72' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Leandro Martinez is replaced by Jose Welison on 72 minute.
- 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 83' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. German Cano departs to be replaced by Everaldo.
- 85' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Deyverson is hanging Juan Lucero on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moises on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 1
- 22
- 16
- 5
-
88
Lucas Sasha ↓ Tomas Pochettino 85'
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 85'
-
2
Tinga ↓ David Luiz 62'
- 4
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↓ Jose Welison 72'
Bench
- 20
- 6
-
–
Deyverson ↑ 85'
-
23
David Luiz ↑ 62'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 85'
- 27
- 10
-
17
Jose Welison ↑ 72'
-
21
Moises ↑ 72'
- 14
- 12
- –
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
6
Rene ↓ Joaquin Lavega 83'
- 23
- 3
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 83'
- 21
-
35
Hercules ↓ Ruben Lezcano 71'
- 8
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Keno 46'
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Lima 14'
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 2
- 29
- 16
-
11
Keno ↑ 46'
- 4
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 83'
-
45
Lima ↑ 14'
-
33
Ruben Lezcano ↑ 71'
- 5
-
19
Joaquin Lavega ↑ 83'
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 5 |
| Moises Vieira | 3 |
| Titi | 2 |
| Thiago Galhardo | 2 |
| Robson | 2 |
| Juan Lucero | 2 |
| Lima | 1 |
| Marinho | 1 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

