Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
2 – 0
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Moises 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 23 36
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 22 10

Head-to-Head

4
3
7
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-29 Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-11-23 Fluminense FC 2–2 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
08 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
05 Dec AC Goianiense A 1–3 L
01 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
08 Dec SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
05 Dec Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
01 Dec CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
26 Nov Criciúma EC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fortaleza EC to score. At the same time, Fluminense FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' Juan Lucero has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 4 minutes.
  • 9' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 14' Lima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Serna on 14 minute.
  • 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 387 games and scored 416 goals.
  • 21' GOAL! Tinga scores on 21. Assisted by Guillermo Fernandez
  • 26' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 41' The 28-year-old Kevin Serna has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Keno. He replaces Agustin Canobbio on 46 minute.
  • 51' Joaquin Lavega is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 56' Jhon Arias has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 62' David Luiz gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Tinga and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Lezcano is hanging Hercules on the field on 71 minute.
  • 72' The whistle greets Leandro Martinez as he departs to be replaced by Jose Welison.
  • 77' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 82' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' Everaldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for German Cano at the 83 minute mark.
  • 85' Deyverson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juan Lucero at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Moises.
  • The points are shared — Fortaleza EC 2-0 Fluminense FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Vojvoda

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 5
Moises Vieira 3
Thiago Galhardo 2
Robson 2
Juan Lucero 2
Titi 2
Marinho 1
Luiz Henrique 1

Head to Head

2025-03-29 Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-11-23 Fluminense FC 2–2 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-03-29 Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-12-08 Fortaleza EC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2024-12-05 AC Goianiense 3–1 Fortaleza EC L 2024-12-01 EC Vitoria 2–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-11-26 Fortaleza EC 0–0 CR Flamengo D 2024-11-23 Fluminense FC 2–2 Fortaleza EC D

Fluminense FC Form

2025-03-29 Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC W 2024-12-05 Fluminense FC 1–0 Cuiaba EC W 2024-12-01 CA Paranaense 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2024-11-26 Fluminense FC 0–0 Criciúma EC D 2024-11-23 Fluminense FC 2–2 Fortaleza EC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw27% Fluminense FC21%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC35% Draw50% Fluminense FC15%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.