Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Moises 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
08 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
05 Dec AC Goianiense A 1–3 L
01 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
08 Dec SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
05 Dec Cuiabá EC H 1–0 W
01 Dec CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
26 Nov Criciúma EC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fortaleza EC is hosting Fluminense FC for another epic battle.
  • 4' Juan Lucero is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 9' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 14' Lima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Serna on 14 minute.
  • 19' Supporters expect more eagerness from Benjamin Kuscevic, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 21' GOAL! Tinga scores on 21. Assisted by Guillermo Fernandez
  • 26' Guillermo Fernandez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 36' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' The crowd applauds Agustin Canobbio as he leaves the pitch. Keno steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Everaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 62' The whistle greets Tinga as he departs to be replaced by David Luiz.
  • 67' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 71' Ruben Lezcano gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Hercules and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Jose Welison comes on to replace Leandro Martinez.
  • 77' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 82' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 83' Fluminense FC ring the changes. German Cano has done his job and it is now time for Everaldo to step up.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Juan Lucero is replaced by Deyverson on 85 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moises on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Fortaleza EC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw27% Fluminense FC21%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC35% Draw50% Fluminense FC15%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.