Saturday , 17 October 2026

FK Rodina Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2026-27
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–3 L
16 Sep FK Rubin Kazan H 1–1 D
11 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–2 L
06 Sep FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–2 L
30 Aug FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 4–0 W
17 Sep FK Krasnodar H 0–0 D
12 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–1 L
06 Sep FK Akron Tolyatti H 2–2 D
30 Aug FK Spartak Moskva A 1–1 D
17 May FK Krasnodar A 0–3 L

Season Stats

FK Rodina Moskva FK Orenburg
#15 Position #7
5 Points 12
10 Played 10
1 / 2 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 6 / 2
10 Scored 11
25 Conceded 10
-15 GD +1
0.50 PPG 1.20
10% Win % 20%

Key Stats

0% Clean Sheets
FK Rodina Moskva this season
40% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Rodina Moskva are 15th (5 pts). FK Orenburg are 7th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Rodina Moskva
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Rodina Moskva
Artem Maksimenko 3 G 1 A
Iker Pozo 2 G 1 A
Artur Gharibyan 2 G 1 A
FK Orenburg
Gedeon Guzina 3 G 1 A
Ruslan Kul 3 G 1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Predictions

0.95 FK Rodina Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

FK Rodina Moskva27% Draw28% FK Orenburg45%

Both Teams to Score

Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.57

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FK Rodina Moskva or Draw
55%
Draw or FK Orenburg
73%
FK Rodina Moskva or FK Orenburg
72%

Half-Time Result

FK Rodina Moskva17% Draw47% FK Orenburg36%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 2
9.8%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Rodina Moskva

Handicap FK Rodina Moskva covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 24% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FK Rodina Moskva keeps clean sheet
21%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.