FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

1 – 0

Full Time

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Sun 10 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC RZD Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Aleksandr Rudenko 4' 1–0

R 12' Kevin Andrade

Egor Pogostnov 17' Y

Zelimkhan Bakaev 64' Y

Evgeni Morozov 65' Y

Dmitry Vorobyev 78' Y

Y 84' Nathan Gassama

Y 90' Mingiyan Beveev

Overview

Match Preview

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at RZD Arena.

FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Anton Frolov
Assistant 1 Dmitriy Safyan (Russia)
Assistant 2 Dmitriy Ermakov (Russia)

5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 6.6 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Lokomotiv Moskva 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-10 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2025-08-16 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2024-05-25 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2023-09-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 3–2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Recent Form

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	1–0	W
01 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–1	D
25 Apr	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	0–2	L
22 Apr	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	0–0	D
18 Apr	FK Orenburg	A	1–0	W
12 Apr	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	1–1	D

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L
02 May	FK Rubin Kazan	H	0–1	L
27 Apr	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	FK Krasnodar	A	2–2	D
11 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva		FK Baltika Kaliningrad
#3	Position	#6
53	Points	46
30	Played	30
14 / 11 / 5	W / D / L	11 / 13 / 6
54	Scored	38
39	Conceded	21
+15	GD	+17
1.77	PPG	1.53
47%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

47% Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FK Lokomotiv Moskva kicks off things out of here…
4' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aleksandr Rudenko on 4.
9' FK Baltika Kaliningrad receives a card for a hard tackle on 9.
12' FK Baltika Kaliningrad receives a card for a hard tackle on 12.
17' It’s a booking for FK Lokomotiv Moskva player. Egor Pogostnov gets a card.
22' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
27' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is showing some good football. However, FK Lokomotiv Moskva are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
32' FK Baltika Kaliningrad started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevin Andrade, as he is very good at scoring at RZD Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maksim Petrov suffering a number of foals already.
52' It’s high time Andrey Talalaev made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Lokomotiv Moskva winning 50% of all matches.
64' That looks like a foul for a card for Zelimkhan Bakaev.
65' The referee shows FK Lokomotiv Moskva player a card on 65.
70' Egor Pogostnov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
75' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
78' It’s gonna be a card for Dmitry Vorobyev.
83' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nathan Gassama on 84.
89' FK Baltika Kaliningrad is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Mingiyan Beveev.
With this win, FK Lokomotiv Moskva is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mikhail Galaktionov

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Andrey Talalaev

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Anton Miranchuk	2
Sergey Pryakhin	1
Timur Suleimanov	1
Artem Karpukas	1
Vitaliy Lisakovich	1
Aleksandr Rudenko	1
Artem Dzyuba	1
Dmitry Barinov	1

Head to Head

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form

2026-05-10 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad W 2026-05-01 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2026-04-25 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2026-04-22 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 0–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D 2026-04-18 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva W 2026-04-12 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala D

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form

2026-05-10 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad L 2026-05-02 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 0–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2026-04-27 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 0–1 FK Akron Tolyatti L 2026-04-23 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2026-04-19 FK Krasnodar 2–2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2026-04-11 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Lokomotiv Moskva48% Draw28% FK Baltika Kaliningrad24%

Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.32

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw

76%

Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad

52%

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Baltika Kaliningrad

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Lokomotiv Moskva29% Draw51% FK Baltika Kaliningrad20%

Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

12.1%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

8.2%

2 – 0

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

4.3%

3 – 1

3.6%

3 – 0

3.4%

1 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap	FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers	Push	FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	22%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet

37% ✗

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.