FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 1–3 | L |
| 19 May | FK Rostov | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 May | FK Ural | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Apr | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 May | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 May | FK Orenburg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 May | FK Rostov | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 46 | Points | 53 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 5 |
| 38 | Scored | 54 |
| 21 | Conceded | 39 |
| +17 | GD | +15 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.77 |
| 37% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Lokomotiv Moskva is underway.
- 5' FK Lokomotiv Moskva fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 8' The Russia Anton Miranchuk breaks the deadlock on 8 minutes. 0-1!
- 12' Angelo Henriquez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 12.
- 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Evgeniy Latyshonok, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Baltika with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 27' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 32' FK Lokomotiv Moskva has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 34' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Andrade on 34 minutes.
- 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Baltika Kaliningrad must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Diego Luna.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dmitry Barinov on 43.
- 46' Another substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad to replace Kevin Andrade by Aleksandr Osipov on 46 minute.
- 51' Dmitrii Rybchinskii needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Evgeni Morozov on 54.
- 59' Maksim Glushenkov, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 60' Another change for FK Lokomotiv Moskva made on 60 minute. Aleksey Batrakov leaves to be changed by Artem Karpukas.
- 65' Ilya Lantratov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Baltika Kaliningrad so far.
- 66' Artem Karpukas adds to his 1 season tally! FK Lokomotiv Moskva lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 71' Another change for FK Baltika Kaliningrad made on 71 minute. Kristijan Bistrovic leaves to be changed by Kirill Kaplenko.
- 72' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Dmitrii Rybchinskii exits the field as Sergey Pryakhin enters on 72.
- 76' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vitaliy Lisakovich makes it 1-2.
- 80' Rifat Zhemaletdinov is replacing Anton Miranchuk for the FK Lokomotiv Moskva side.
- 81' The whistle greets Aleksandr Zhirov as he departs to be replaced by Ivan Ostojic.
- 86' Timur Suleimanov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 88' What a strike from Timur Suleimanov! The score is 1-3.
- 90' Alex Fernandes was booked on 90.
- 90' FK Lokomotiv Moskva make a change. Timur Suleimanov trudges off to be replaced by Vadim Rakov on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1-3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva. Honours even.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
-
2
Aleksandr Zhirov ↓ Ivan Ostojic 81'
- 17
- –
- 7
- 18
- –
- –
- 1
- –
- –
- –
Bench
-
8
Kirill Kaplenko ↑ 71'
- –
-
21
Ivan Ostojic ↑ 81'
- 59
-
–
Yuriy Kovalev ↑ 72'
- 6
- 26
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↑ 72'
- 67
- 89
-
5
Aleksandr Osipov ↑ 46'
- 4
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- 11
- 15
-
99
Timur Suleimanov ↓ Vadim Rakov 90'
- 77
- 45
- 22
- 19
- 85
- 6
- –
Bench
- 1
-
17
Rifat Zhemaletdinov ↑ 80'
-
3
Lucas Fasson ↑ 80'
- 24
-
8
Vladislav Sarveli ↑ 46'
- 53
-
93
Artem Karpukas ↑ 60'
-
27
Vadim Rakov ↑ 90'
- 23
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Anton Miranchuk | 2 |
| Artem Karpukas | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
| Aleksandr Rudenko | 1 |
| Artem Dzyuba | 1 |
| Dmitry Barinov | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Sergey Pryakhin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2024-05-25
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–3
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2024-05-19
FK Rostov
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2024-05-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–3
FK Dinamo Moskva
L
2024-05-06
FK Ural
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2024-04-28
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
3–1
PFC CSKA Moskva
W
2024-04-24
FK Krasnodar
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2024-05-25
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–3
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2024-05-18
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–0
FK Fakel Voronezh
W
2024-05-12
FK Orenburg
0–2
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2024-05-06
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–0
FK Rostov
W
2024-04-28
FK Spartak Moskva
3–2
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2024-04-24
FK Nizhny Novgorod
2–3
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
54%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
70%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.