FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

1 – 3

Full Time

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Sat 25 May 2024 · 13:30 UTC Arena Baltika HT 45' · FT 45'

Angelo Henriquez 12' Y

Kevin Andrade 34' Y

Diego Luna 40' Y

Y 43' Dmitry Barinov

Y 54' Evgeni Morozov

Alex Fernandes 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Arena Baltika.

FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Baltika Kaliningrad 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-25 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2023-09-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 3–2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Recent Form

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–3	L
19 May	FK Rostov	A	1–2	L
11 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	2–3	L
06 May	FK Ural	A	1–2	L
28 Apr	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	3–1	W
24 Apr	FK Krasnodar	A	2–3	L

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	3–1	W
18 May	FK Fakel Voronezh	H	2–0	W
12 May	FK Orenburg	A	2–0	W
06 May	FK Rostov	H	1–0	W
28 Apr	FK Spartak Moskva	A	2–3	L
24 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

FK Baltika Kaliningrad		FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#6	Position	#3
46	Points	53
30	Played	30
11 / 13 / 6	W / D / L	14 / 11 / 5
38	Scored	54
21	Conceded	39
+17	GD	+15
1.53	PPG	1.77
37%	Win %	47%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

47% Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season

23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Arena Baltika. FK Baltika Kaliningrad are looking to make home advantage count against FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
5' FK Lokomotiv Moskva has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
8' What a strike from Anton Miranchuk! The score is 0-1.
12' FK Baltika Kaliningrad player sees a card in front of him.
17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dmitrii Rybchinskii suffering a number of foals already.
22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Baltika Kaliningrad that had 60 games and scored 40 goals.
32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
34' Kevin Andrade picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
39' Evgeniy Latyshonok has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
40' That is a card for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Diego Luna will be fuming at that decision.
43' Dmitry Barinov was booked on 43.
46' The whistle greets Kevin Andrade as he departs to be replaced by Aleksandr Osipov.
51' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Lokomotiv Moskva are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
54' The referee shows FK Lokomotiv Moskva player a card on 54.
59' Artem Karpukas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Lokomotiv Moskva so far.
60' FK Lokomotiv Moskva manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Artem Karpukas is hanging Aleksey Batrakov on the field on 60 minute.
65' The travelling FK Lokomotiv Moskva supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
66' Against the run of play, Artem Karpukas has scored! This game has turned on its head.
71' The whistle greets Kristijan Bistrovic as he departs to be replaced by Kirill Kaplenko.
72' Sergey Pryakhin is replacing Dmitrii Rybchinskii for the FK Baltika Kaliningrad side.
76' What composure from Vitaliy Lisakovich! The Belarus international strokes it home. 1-2.
80' It is a substitution in FK Lokomotiv Moskva team. Anton Miranchuk is replaced by Rifat Zhemaletdinov on 80 minute.
81' Time for substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Aleksandr Zhirov is replaced by Ivan Ostojic.
86' FK Baltika Kaliningrad is showing some good football. However, FK Baltika Kaliningrad are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
88' Timur Suleimanov does the damage! The net is bulging and FK Lokomotiv Moskva surge ahead!
90' Alex Fernandes was booked on 90.
90' Another change for FK Lokomotiv Moskva made on 90 minute. Timur Suleimanov leaves to be changed by Vadim Rakov.
The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

Starting XI

2
Aleksandr Zhirov ↓ Ivan Ostojic 81'
17
Kristijan Bistrovic ↓ Kirill Kaplenko 71'
–
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↓ Sergey Pryakhin 72'
7
Roberto Fernandez ↓ Yuriy Kovalev 72'
18
Angelo Henriquez
–
Danila Kozlov
–
Vitaliy Lisakovich
1
Evgeniy Latyshonok
–
Diego Luna
–
Kevin Andrade ↓ Aleksandr Osipov 46'
–
Alex Fernandes

Bench

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

–
Gerzino Nyamsi
11
Anton Miranchuk ↓ Rifat Zhemaletdinov 80'
15
Maksim Glushenkov ↓ Lucas Fasson 80'
99
Timur Suleimanov ↓ Vadim Rakov 90'
77
Ilya Samoshnikov
45
Aleksandr Silyanov
22
Ilya Lantratov
19
Sergey Pinyaev ↓ Vladislav Sarveli 46'
85
Evgeni Morozov
6
Dmitry Barinov
–
Aleksey Batrakov ↓ Artem Karpukas 60'

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Anton Miranchuk	2
Artem Karpukas	1
Vitaliy Lisakovich	1
Aleksandr Rudenko	1
Artem Dzyuba	1
Dmitry Barinov	1
Gedeon Guzina	1
Sergey Pryakhin	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.54 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Baltika Kaliningrad30% Draw25% FK Lokomotiv Moskva45%

Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw

54%

Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

70%

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Baltika Kaliningrad25% Draw41% FK Lokomotiv Moskva34%

Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.3%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.6%

0 – 2

5.8%

0 – 1

5.5%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

4.7%

1 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

3.9%

3 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Handicap	FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers	Push	FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	20%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Clean Sheet