Thursday , 2 July 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Thu 23 Apr 2026 · 16:45 UTC Akhmat Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Baltika KaliningradRFPL at Akhmat Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Evgeniy Kukulyak (Russia)
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game 7.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Spartak Moskva A 1–3 L
11 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 2–2 D
04 Apr FK Krasnodar H 0–1 L
21 Mar FK Rostov H 1–0 W
15 Mar FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Krasnodar A 2–2 D
11 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–2 D
05 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 2–2 D
21 Mar PFK Sochi H 4–0 W
14 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny FK Baltika Kaliningrad
#9 Position #6
37 Points 46
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 13 / 6
35 Scored 38
39 Conceded 21
-4 GD +17
1.23 PPG 1.53
30% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
47% Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RFK Akhmat Grozny24% Draw29% FK Baltika Kaliningrad47%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
53%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
76%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny15% Draw49% FK Baltika Kaliningrad36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
10.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 4
2.1%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 13% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 25% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
22%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.