RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Evgeniy Kukulyak (Russia)
5 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Mar | PFK Sochi | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 9 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 35 | Scored | 38 |
| 39 | Conceded | 21 |
| -4 | GD | +17 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 30% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RFK Akhmat Grozny to score. At the same time, FK Baltika Kaliningrad does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Baltika Kaliningrad needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' It looks surprising RFK Akhmat Grozny does not make any changes. Ivan Belikov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' RFK Akhmat Grozny started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Daniil Khlusevich needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ilya Petrov on 32.
- 37' Andrey Mendel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' It’s a booking for FK Baltika Kaliningrad player. Nathan Gassama gets a card.
- 45' It’s high time Stanislav Cherchesov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Ivan Belikov. He replaces Ilya Petrov on 46 minute.
- 51' GOAL! Derik Lacerda scores on 51. Assisted by Ivan Belikov
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' Sergey Pryakhin is replacing Daniil Khlusevich for the RFK Akhmat Grozny side.
- 60' GOAL! Kevin Andrade scores on 60.
- 63' RFK Akhmat Grozny player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' It’s a booking for FK Baltika Kaliningrad player. Ivan Belikov gets a card.
- 70' The travelling FK Baltika Kaliningrad supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 71' Time for substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Andrey Mendel is replaced by Mikhail Ryadno.
- 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
- 81' Time for substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Derik Lacerda is replaced by Tenton Yenne.
- 85' Time for substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Georgi Melkadze is replaced by Mohamed Konate.
- 87' The whistle greets Nikolai Titkov as he departs to be replaced by Aymane Mourid.
- 90' RFK Akhmat Grozny receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 82
- 8
- 7
- 77
- 17
- 4
-
11
Ismael ↓ Rifat Zhemaletdinov 85'
- 20
- 1
- 5
- 90
Bench
-
10
Rifat Zhemaletdinov ↑ 85'
- 88
- 40
-
13
Mohamed Konate ↑ 85'
- 9
- 72
- 2
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↑ 57'
- 22
- 27
- 37
- 23
Coach
Stanislav Cherchesov
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
-
22
Nikolai Titkov ↓ Aymane Mourid 87'
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Tenton Yenne 81'
- 81
-
73
Maksim Petrov ↓ Irakliy Manelov 81'
-
8
Andrey Mendel ↓ Mikhail Ryadno 71'
- 25
- 2
- 4
- 16
-
10
Ilya Petrov ↓ Ivan Belikov 46'
Bench
- 14
- 91
-
5
Aymane Mourid ↑ 87'
-
69
Irakliy Manelov ↑ 81'
- 11
-
68
Mikhail Ryadno ↑ 71'
- 21
-
15
Tenton Yenne ↑ 81'
-
26
Ivan Belikov ↑ 46'
- 44
- 36
- 42
Coach
Andrey Talalaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Fernandes | 3 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Kevin Andrade | 1 |
| Evgeny Kharin | 1 |
| Svetoslav Kovachev | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
| Yuriy Kovalev | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2026-04-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-19
FK Spartak Moskva
3–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2026-04-11
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2026-04-04
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–1
FK Krasnodar
L
2026-03-21
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–0
FK Rostov
W
2026-03-15
FK Akron Tolyatti
1–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2026-04-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-19
FK Krasnodar
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2026-04-05
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-03-21
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
4–0
PFK Sochi
W
2026-03-14
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
PFC CSKA Moskva
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
53%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
76%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
10.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 4
2.1%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 25% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

