FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
- FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Vasiliy Kazartsev
- Assistant 1 Adlan Khatuev
- Assistant 2 Dmitriy Mosyakin
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Mar | PFK Sochi | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FK Rostov | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Feb | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Rostov | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Mar | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | PFK Sochi | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Nizhny Novgorod | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #15 |
| 46 | Points | 23 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 5 / 19 |
| 38 | Scored | 26 |
| 21 | Conceded | 50 |
| +17 | GD | -24 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 0.77 |
| 37% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FK Nizhny Novgorod gets underway.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 8' Goal! Renaldo Cephas scores his 2 goal in 11 matches.
- 13' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Baltika Kaliningrad must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Aleksey Shpilevskiy will be considering his options from the bench.
- 23' Renaldo Cephas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 23.
- 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Baltika Kaliningrad side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 33' Nikita Medvedev has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 36' FK Baltika Kaliningrad make a change. Brayan Gil trudges off to be replaced by Derik Lacerda on 36 minutes.
- 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Maksim Shnaptsev.
- 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 46' It is a substitution in FK Baltika Kaliningrad team. Ilya Petrov is replaced by Tenton Yenne on 46 minute.
- 48' What a moment for Eldar Civic! That strike on 48 puts his side firmly in control.
- 53' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mikhail Ryadno is hanging Eldar Civic on the field on 58 minute.
- 63' Brayan Gil is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Baltika Kaliningrad tonight.
- 65' Ilya Kirsh is ready to make an impact after coming on for Edgardo Farina at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuriy Kovalev is hanging Tenton Yenne on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Baltika Kaliningrad that had 60 games and scored 40 goals.
- 80' FK Baltika Kaliningrad is showing some good football. However, FK Baltika Kaliningrad are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 85' Maksim Petrov makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are in front.
- 85' Juan Castillo gets the nod from FK Nizhny Novgorod. He replaces Adrian Balboa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Vyacheslav Grulev is replacing Maksim Shnaptsev for the FK Nizhny Novgorod side.
- 89' Another substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod to replace Luka Ticic by Egor Smelov on 89 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Andrade.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 23
- 22
-
91
Brayan Gil ↓ Derik Lacerda 36'
- 81
- 73
-
69
Irakliy Manelov ↓ Eldar Civic 46'
- 25
- 2
- 16
- 26
-
10
Ilya Petrov ↓ Tenton Yenne 46'
Bench
-
77
Eldar Civic ↑ 46'
- 14
- 5
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↑ 36'
- 90
- 8
- 11
- 68
- 4
- 21
-
15
Tenton Yenne ↑ 46'
- 44
Coach
Andrey Talalaev
FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 30
-
10
Adrian Balboa ↓ Juan Castillo 85'
- 25
- 2
- 40
- 21
- 70
-
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Egor Smelov 89'
-
24
Edgardo Farina ↓ Ilya Kirsh 65'
- 3
- 6
Bench
-
27
Vyacheslav Grulev ↑ 86'
- 1
- 88
- 19
- 8
- 78
- 77
-
4
Ilya Kirsh ↑ 65'
-
17
Egor Smelov ↑ 89'
- 69
-
14
Matvey Urvantsev ↑ 46'
-
23
Juan Castillo ↑ 85'
Coach
Aleksey Shpilevskiy
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sven Karic | 1 |
| Renaldo Cephas | 1 |
| Eldar Civic | 1 |
| Maksim Petrov | 1 |
| Joel Fameyeh | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2026-04-05
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-03-21
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
4–0
PFK Sochi
W
2026-03-14
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
PFC CSKA Moskva
W
2026-03-07
FK Rostov
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-02-27
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
FK Nizhny Novgorod Form
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2026-04-05
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–1
FK Rostov
L
2026-03-21
FK Krasnodar
5–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2026-03-15
FK Nizhny Novgorod
3–0
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2026-03-07
FK Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
PFK Sochi
W
2026-02-28
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–1
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.02
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64
FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for:
FK Baltika Kaliningrad to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
86%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
37%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Nizhny Novgorod
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
9.7%
3 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Nizhny Novgorod covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 21% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 25% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
53%
✗
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

