FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
- FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 games · 23 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Vasiliy Kazartsev
- Assistant 1 Adlan Khatuev
- Assistant 2 Dmitriy Mosyakin
3 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Mar | PFK Sochi | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FK Rostov | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Feb | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Rostov | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Mar | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | PFK Sochi | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Nizhny Novgorod | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #15 |
| 46 | Points | 23 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 5 / 19 |
| 38 | Scored | 26 |
| 21 | Conceded | 50 |
| +17 | GD | -24 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 0.77 |
| 37% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
17%
Clean Sheets
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season
FK Nizhny Novgorod this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Baltika Kaliningrad to score. At the same time, FK Nizhny Novgorod does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Nizhny Novgorod needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 8' FK Nizhny Novgorod is taking the lead after the goal scored by Renaldo Cephas on 8.
- 13' It’s high time Aleksey Shpilevskiy made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 18' Ilya Petrov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 23' Renaldo Cephas is having his name booked by the referee on 23.
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Nizhny Novgorod winning 0% of all matches.
- 36' Derik Lacerda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brayan Gil on 36 minute.
- 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maksim Shnaptsev on 37.
- 42' FK Nizhny Novgorod is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' Another substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad to replace Ilya Petrov by Tenton Yenne on 46 minute.
- 48' What a strike from Eldar Civic! The score is 1-1.
- 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Mikhail Ryadno. He replaces Eldar Civic on 58 minute.
- 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 65' Time for substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod. Edgardo Farina is replaced by Ilya Kirsh.
- 70' Time for substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Tenton Yenne is replaced by Yuriy Kovalev.
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Edgardo Farina suffering a number of foals already.
- 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Baltika Kaliningrad that had 60 games and scored 40 goals.
- 85' What a strike from Maksim Petrov! The score is 2-1.
- 85' FK Nizhny Novgorod manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Juan Castillo is hanging Adrian Balboa on the field on 85 minute.
- 86' The FK Nizhny Novgorod manager makes a substitution. Maksim Shnaptsev departs to be replaced by Vyacheslav Grulev.
- 89' Time for substitution for FK Nizhny Novgorod. Luka Ticic is replaced by Egor Smelov.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Andrade on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 23
- 22
-
91
Brayan Gil ↓ Derik Lacerda 36'
- 81
- 73
-
69
Irakliy Manelov ↓ Eldar Civic 46'
- 25
- 2
- 16
- 26
-
10
Ilya Petrov ↓ Tenton Yenne 46'
Bench
-
77
Eldar Civic ↑ 46'
- 14
- 5
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↑ 36'
- 90
- 8
- 11
- 68
- 4
- 21
-
15
Tenton Yenne ↑ 46'
- 44
Coach
Andrey Talalaev
FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 30
-
10
Adrian Balboa ↓ Juan Castillo 85'
- 25
- 2
- 40
- 21
- 70
-
29
Luka Ticic ↓ Egor Smelov 89'
-
24
Edgardo Farina ↓ Ilya Kirsh 65'
- 3
- 6
Bench
-
27
Vyacheslav Grulev ↑ 86'
- 1
- 88
- 19
- 8
- 78
- 77
-
4
Ilya Kirsh ↑ 65'
-
17
Egor Smelov ↑ 89'
- 69
-
14
Matvey Urvantsev ↑ 46'
-
23
Juan Castillo ↑ 85'
Coach
Aleksey Shpilevskiy
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sven Karic | 1 |
| Renaldo Cephas | 1 |
| Eldar Civic | 1 |
| Maksim Petrov | 1 |
| Joel Fameyeh | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2026-04-05
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-03-21
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
4–0
PFK Sochi
W
2026-03-14
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
PFC CSKA Moskva
W
2026-03-07
FK Rostov
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-02-27
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
FK Nizhny Novgorod Form
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2026-04-05
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–1
FK Rostov
L
2026-03-21
FK Krasnodar
5–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2026-03-15
FK Nizhny Novgorod
3–0
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2026-03-07
FK Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
PFK Sochi
W
2026-02-28
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–1
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.02
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64
FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for:
FK Baltika Kaliningrad to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
86%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
37%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Nizhny Novgorod
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Nizhny Novgorod win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
9.7%
3 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Nizhny Novgorod covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 21% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 25% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
53%
✗
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

