FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

3 – 2

Full Time

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 12:15 UTC RZD-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Artem Karpukas 15' Y

Y 20' Nikola Radmanovac

Overview

Match Preview

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at RZD-Arena.

FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Lokomotiv Moskva 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 3–2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Recent Form

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	3–2	W
27 Aug	PFK Sochi	A	1–0	W
19 Aug	FK Krasnodar	A	1–1	D
12 Aug	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	1–1	D
05 Aug	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–4	L
30 Jul	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	4–1	W

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	2–3	L
27 Aug	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–2	L
19 Aug	FK Ural	H	0–1	L
13 Aug	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	0–2	L
06 Aug	FK Fakel Voronezh	H	2–1	W
31 Jul	FK Spartak Moskva	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva		FK Baltika Kaliningrad
#3	Position	#6
53	Points	46
30	Played	30
14 / 11 / 5	W / D / L	11 / 13 / 6
54	Scored	38
39	Conceded	21
+15	GD	+17
1.77	PPG	1.53
47%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

47% Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FK Lokomotiv Moskva gets underway.
5' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
9' Artem Dzyuba doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
14' The 26-year-old Maksim Glushenkov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
15' It’s a booking for FK Lokomotiv Moskva player. Artem Karpukas gets a card.
17' Goal! Anton Miranchuk scores his 38 goal in 355 matches.
20' A moment of madness from Nikola Radmanovac on 20 minutes earns him a card. FK Baltika Kaliningrad will be frustrated.
25' Maksim Nenakhov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Baltika Kaliningrad so far.
30' FK Lokomotiv Moskva are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Baltika Kaliningrad's shape.
34' Dmitry Barinov makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and FK Lokomotiv Moskva are in front.
39' Lucas Fasson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
49' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
50' Gedeon Guzina makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are in front.
55' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is showing some good football. However, FK Lokomotiv Moskva are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Baltika Kaliningrad that had 60 games and scored 40 goals.
65' Sergey Pryakhin doubles the advantage! 3-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
70' A quiet spell here at RZD-Arena. FK Baltika Kaliningrad seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
72' Another substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad to replace Roberto Fernandez by Aslan Dudiev on 72 minute.
73' Mario Mitaj gets the nod from FK Lokomotiv Moskva. He replaces Anton Miranchuk and will look to change the dynamic.
75' FK Baltika Kaliningrad make a change. Maksim Kuzmin trudges off to be replaced by Angelo Henriquez on 75 minutes.
80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
82' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Nikola Radmanovac exits the field as Ivan Ostojic enters on 82.
87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
FK Baltika Kaliningrad will have plenty to reflect on. FK Lokomotiv Moskva were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mikhail Galaktionov

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergey Ignashevich

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Anton Miranchuk	2
Aleksandr Rudenko	1
Artem Dzyuba	1
Dmitry Barinov	1
Gedeon Guzina	1
Sergey Pryakhin	1
Timur Suleimanov	1
Artem Karpukas	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.9 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.46 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Lokomotiv Moskva51% Draw23% FK Baltika Kaliningrad26%

Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw

75%

Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad

49%

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Baltika Kaliningrad

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Lokomotiv Moskva35% Draw41% FK Baltika Kaliningrad24%

Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

6.8%

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.3%

1 – 0

3 – 1

5.6%

0 – 0

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

Actual

3 – 0

3.9%

0 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap	FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers	Push	FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	20%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	15%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Clean Sheet