FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at RZD-Arena.
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Aug | PFK Sochi | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–4 | L |
| 30 Jul | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | FK Ural | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Lokomotiv Moskva | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 53 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 11 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 54 | Scored | 38 |
| 39 | Conceded | 21 |
| +15 | GD | +17 |
| 1.77 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 47% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Baltika Kaliningrad has kicked off!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Baltika Kaliningrad that had 60 games and scored 40 goals.
- 9' Against the run of play, Artem Dzyuba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' Kirill Malyarov is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Lokomotiv Moskva tonight.
- 15' Artem Karpukas is having his name booked by the referee on 15.
- 17' What a moment for Anton Miranchuk! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
- 20' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nikola Radmanovac.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aleksandr Osipov made 60 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Maksim Kuzmin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 34' Dmitry Barinov makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and FK Lokomotiv Moskva are in front.
- 39' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 49' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Baltika Kaliningrad needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 50' The deadlock is broken! Gedeon Guzina gets on the scoresheet on 50 minutes.
- 55' FK Baltika Kaliningrad have won 40 goals from 60 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Sergey Pryakhin makes it 3-2 with a superb finish on 65.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 72' Aslan Dudiev is replacing Roberto Fernandez for the FK Baltika Kaliningrad side.
- 73' A change in the FK Lokomotiv Moskva ranks — Anton Miranchuk exits the field as Mario Mitaj enters on 73.
- 75' Fresh legs for FK Baltika Kaliningrad! Angelo Henriquez comes on to replace Maksim Kuzmin.
- 80' Maksim Nenakhov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 394 appearances.
- 82' FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ivan Ostojic is hanging Nikola Radmanovac on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.
Lineups
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Anton Miranchuk ↓ Mario Mitaj 73'
- 7
- 71
- 15
- 3
- 24
- 22
- 20
- 19
- 93
- 6
Bench
- 1
- 69
- 17
- 5
- 77
- 45
- 8
-
12
Mario Mitaj ↑ 73'
- 53
- 59
- 27
- 23
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 7
- 9
- 3
- 22
- 1
- 6
- 26
- 20
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
21
Ivan Ostojic ↑ 82'
- 59
-
18
Angelo Henriquez ↑ 75'
- 19
- 11
- 67
- 89
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 72'
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Anton Miranchuk | 2 |
| Sergey Pryakhin | 1 |
| Timur Suleimanov | 1 |
| Artem Karpukas | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
| Aleksandr Rudenko | 1 |
| Artem Dzyuba | 1 |
| Dmitry Barinov | 1 |
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2023-08-27
PFK Sochi
0–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2023-08-19
FK Krasnodar
1–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
D
2023-08-12
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2023-08-05
PFC CSKA Moskva
4–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2023-07-30
FK Fakel Voronezh
1–4
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-19
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Ural
L
2023-08-13
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-06
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–1
FK Fakel Voronezh
W
2023-07-31
FK Spartak Moskva
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
49%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Handicap | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

