FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at RZD Arena.
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Anton Frolov
- Assistant 1 Dmitriy Safyan (Russia)
- Assistant 2 Dmitriy Ermakov (Russia)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 May | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Lokomotiv Moskva | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 53 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 11 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 54 | Scored | 38 |
| 39 | Conceded | 21 |
| +15 | GD | +17 |
| 1.77 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 47% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FK Baltika Kaliningrad get us underway at RZD Arena.
- 4' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Aleksandr Rudenko makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 9' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Andrade on 9.
- 12' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Andrade argues furiously but the card stands.
- 17' The referee shows FK Lokomotiv Moskva player a card on 17.
- 22' It looks surprising FK Baltika Kaliningrad does not make any changes. Mingiyan Beveev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Lokomotiv Moskva winning 50% of all matches.
- 32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Andrey Talalaev will be considering his options from the bench.
- 37' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 42' FK Baltika Kaliningrad fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 47' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Baltika Kaliningrad that had 60 games and scored 40 goals.
- 62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 64' The referee shows FK Lokomotiv Moskva player a card on 64.
- 65' It’s a booking for FK Lokomotiv Moskva player. Evgeni Morozov gets a card.
- 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nathan Gassama, as he is very good at scoring at RZD Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 75' Tenton Yenne needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 78' Controversy at the stadium! Dmitry Vorobyev argues furiously but the card stands.
- 83' Evgeni Morozov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Lokomotiv Moskva so far.
- 84' It’s gonna be a card for Nathan Gassama.
- 89' FK Lokomotiv Moskva seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 90' Mingiyan Beveev has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- It finishes all square. FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Baltika Kaliningrad share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 7
- 19
- 10
- 3
- 45
- 25
- 1
- 32
- 93
- 85
- 59
Bench
- 2
- 24
- 22
- 8
- 9
- 94
- 14
- 88
- 90
- 16
- 74
- 99
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 23
- 18
- 73
- 8
- 2
- 4
- 16
- 21
- 15
- 44
- 10
Bench
- 14
- 5
- 81
- 90
- 69
- 11
- 68
- 26
- 36
- 42
Coach
Andrey Talalaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Anton Miranchuk | 2 |
| Aleksandr Rudenko | 1 |
| Artem Dzyuba | 1 |
| Dmitry Barinov | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Sergey Pryakhin | 1 |
| Timur Suleimanov | 1 |
| Artem Karpukas | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2026-05-10
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2026-05-01
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2026-04-25
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2026-04-22
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0–0
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
D
2026-04-18
FK Orenburg
0–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2026-04-12
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
D
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2026-05-10
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2026-05-02
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Rubin Kazan
L
2026-04-27
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Akron Tolyatti
L
2026-04-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-19
FK Krasnodar
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
76%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
52%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Handicap | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.