FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at RZD Arena.
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 9 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 9 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Anton Frolov
- Assistant 1 Dmitriy Safyan (Russia)
- Assistant 2 Dmitriy Ermakov (Russia)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 May | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Lokomotiv Moskva | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #8 |
| 7 | Points | 11 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 1 / 4 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 4 |
| 8 | Scored | 14 |
| 11 | Conceded | 12 |
| -3 | GD | +2 |
| 0.78 | PPG | 1.22 |
| 11% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
40%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 14th (7 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 8th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Zelimkhan Bakaev | 1 G | 1 A |
| Sergey Pinyaev | 1 G |
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Brayan Gil | 4 G | 1 A |
| Nnamdi Chinonso Offor | 2 G | |
| Maksim Petrov | 1 G | 1 A |
| Aymane Mourid | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Lokomotiv Moskva launch into their encounter with FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
- 4' Brilliant from the ! Aleksandr Rudenko makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 4.
- 9' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Andrade.
- 12' FK Baltika Kaliningrad player sees a card in front of him.
- 17' That looks like a foul for a card for Egor Pogostnov.
- 22' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Lokomotiv Moskva in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact 3-4-3.
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Lokomotiv Moskva needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mikhail Galaktionov will be considering his options from the bench.
- 47' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ilya Petrov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
- 52' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' FK Baltika Kaliningrad seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Vera suffering a number of foals already.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zelimkhan Bakaev on 64.
- 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Evgeni Morozov.
- 70' Dmitry Vorobyev has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 149 appearances.
- 75' It looks surprising FK Baltika Kaliningrad does not make any changes. Zelimkhan Bakaev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 78' It’s gonna be a card for Dmitry Vorobyev.
- 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Lokomotiv Moskva must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 84' Nathan Gassama is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Andrey Talalaev might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Mingiyan Beveev argues furiously but the card stands.
- Full Time. FK Lokomotiv Moskva beats FK Baltika Kaliningrad
Lineups
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 7
- 19
- 10
- 3
- 45
- 25
- 1
- 32
- 93
- 85
- 59
Bench
- 2
- 24
- 22
- 8
- 9
- 94
- 14
- 88
- 90
- 16
- 74
- 99
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 23
- 18
- 73
- 8
- 2
- 4
- 16
- 21
- 15
- 44
- 10
Bench
- 14
- 5
- 81
- 90
- 69
- 11
- 68
- 26
- 36
- 42
Coach
Andrey Talalaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Anton Miranchuk | 2 |
| Dmitry Barinov | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Sergey Pryakhin | 1 |
| Timur Suleimanov | 1 |
| Artem Karpukas | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
| Andrei Mostovoi | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2026-05-10
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2026-05-01
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2026-04-25
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2026-04-22
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0–0
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
D
2026-04-18
FK Orenburg
0–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2026-04-12
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
D
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2026-05-10
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2026-05-02
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Rubin Kazan
L
2026-04-27
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Akron Tolyatti
L
2026-04-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-19
FK Krasnodar
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
74%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
54%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Handicap | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.