FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +9 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Machida Zelvia have kicked off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Naoto Arai comes on to replace Hayato Araki.
- 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kai Shibato on 19.
- 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 29' FC Machida Zelvia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
- 31' Yuki Ohashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 31 minutes.
- 36' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Kai Shibato has done his job and it is now time for Hokuto Shimoda to step up.
- 51' Japan international Sota Koshimichi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hokuto Shimoda.
- 55' Makoto Mitsuta is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 58' Gen Shoji makes way for Junya Suzuki at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
- 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 70' It’s gonna be a card for Ibrahim Dresevic.
- 73' The crowd applauds Keiya Sento as he leaves the pitch. Shunta Araki steps in for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 80' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Mitchell Duke comes on to replace Shota Fujio.
- 82' The deadlock is broken! Yuki Ohashi gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
- 87' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Sota Koshimichi comes on to replace Taishi Matsumoto.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Se-hun Oh.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
3
Gen Shoji ↓ Junya Suzuki 58'
-
45
Kai Shibato ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 46'
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Shunta Araki 73'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↓ Sang-ho Na 58'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Mitchell Duke 80'
- 26
- 7
- 14
- 90
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 46'
- 41
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 80'
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↑ 58'
-
47
Shunta Araki ↑ 73'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 58'
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 8
- 24
- 77
- 33
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Naoto Arai 15'
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
- 7
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 15'
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 87'
- 35
- 40
- 36
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Ju-sung Kim | 1 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-04-03
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-03-30
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2024-03-16
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-03-09
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2024-03-02
Nagoya Grampus
0–1
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-02-24
FC Machida Zelvia
1–1
Gamba Osaka
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-04-03
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-03-30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Gamba Osaka
D
2024-03-16
Vissel Kobe
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-03-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2024-03-02
FC Tōkyō
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-02-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
64%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
63%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
4.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

