FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +9 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
- 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 21' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 21 minute. Daihachi Okamura leaves to be changed by Ibrahim Dresevic.
- 26' GOAL! Yuki Soma scores on 26.
- 31' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Sang-ho Na has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 36' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daiki Suga is hanging Shunki Higashi on the field on 46 minute.
- 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tolgay Arslan on 48.
- 53' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Ryuho Kikuchi by Kotaro Hayashi on 53 minute.
- 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Se-hun Oh.
- 59' Goal! Tolgay Arslan scores his 25 goal in 456 matches.
- 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryuho Kikuchi made 444 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gen Shoji, as he is very good at scoring at Machida GION Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 72' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 72 minute. Mutsuki Kato leaves to be changed by Sota Nakamura.
- 76' The whistle greets Se-hun Oh as he departs to be replaced by Shota Fujio.
- 77' What a strike from Sota Nakamura! The score is 1-2.
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Yuki Soma is replaced by Sang-ho Na.
- 79' It’s gonna be a card for Takuma Nishimura.
- 84' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 85' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sota Koshimichi is hanging Tolgay Arslan on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- Full Time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beats FC Machida Zelvia
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Keiya Sento 77'
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 77'
-
4
Ryuho Kikuchi ↓ Kotaro Hayashi 53'
- 16
- 50
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Shota Fujio 76'
Bench
- 18
-
5
Ibrahim Dresevic ↑ 21'
- 13
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 77'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 76'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 77'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 53'
- 49
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 46'
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Sota Koshimichi 85'
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Sota Nakamura 72'
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 46'
- 3
- 5
- 20
- 13
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 85'
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 72'
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Ju-sung Kim | 1 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-02-16
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-12-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-11-10
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
2024-10-19
Shonan Bellmare
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
65%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

