FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +9 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Machida Zelvia host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 21' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Daihachi Okamura by Ibrahim Dresevic on 21 minute.
- 26' What a strike from Yuki Soma! The score is 1-0.
- 31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 36' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 41' With 1 assists to his name this season, Sota Nakamura is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 46' The crowd applauds Shunki Higashi as he leaves the pitch. Daiki Suga steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 48' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tolgay Arslan.
- 53' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Ryuho Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Kotaro Hayashi.
- 58' Se-hun Oh is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 59' GOAL! Tolgay Arslan fires home to make it 1-1!
- 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' Yuta Nakayama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
- 72' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Mutsuki Kato is replaced by Sota Nakamura on 72 minute.
- 76' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Se-hun Oh is replaced by Shota Fujio on 76 minute.
- 77' Goal! Sota Nakamura scores his 8 goal in 346 matches.
- 77' Sang-ho Na is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Soma at the 77 minute mark.
- 79' A moment of madness from Takuma Nishimura on 79 minutes earns him a card. FC Machida Zelvia will be frustrated.
- 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 105 games and scored 141 goals.
- 85' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Tolgay Arslan by Sota Koshimichi on 85 minute.
- 90' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Keiya Sento 77'
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 77'
-
4
Ryuho Kikuchi ↓ Kotaro Hayashi 53'
- 16
- 50
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Shota Fujio 76'
Bench
- 18
-
5
Ibrahim Dresevic ↑ 21'
- 13
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 77'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 76'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 77'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 53'
- 49
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 46'
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Sota Koshimichi 85'
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Sota Nakamura 72'
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 46'
- 3
- 5
- 20
- 13
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 85'
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 72'
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Ju-sung Kim | 1 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-02-16
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-12-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-11-10
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
2024-10-19
Shonan Bellmare
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
65%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.