FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tokyo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +9 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC Machida Zelvia welcome Sanfrecce Hiroshima for this crunch clash at Machida GION Stadium.
- 5' FC Machida Zelvia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 94 games and scored 116 goals.
- 21' The crowd applauds Daihachi Okamura as he leaves the pitch. Ibrahim Dresevic steps in for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 26' Yuki Soma doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Keiya Sento, as he is very good at scoring at Machida GION Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 36' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Daiki Suga gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Shunki Higashi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tolgay Arslan.
- 53' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Ryuho Kikuchi trudges off to be replaced by Kotaro Hayashi on 53 minutes.
- 58' Se-hun Oh was booked on 58.
- 59' The deadlock is broken! Tolgay Arslan gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
- 64' Sang-ho Na needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Yellow cards this season.
- 69' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
- 72' Sota Nakamura is replacing Mutsuki Kato for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 76' A change in the FC Machida Zelvia ranks — Se-hun Oh exits the field as Shota Fujio enters on 76.
- 77' Sota Nakamura puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
- 77' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Yuki Soma by Sang-ho Na on 77 minute.
- 79' It’s a booking for FC Machida Zelvia player. Takuma Nishimura gets a card.
- 84' Satoshi Tanaka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 85' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Tolgay Arslan is withdrawn and Sota Koshimichi gets his opportunity.
- 90' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Keiya Sento 77'
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 77'
-
4
Ryuho Kikuchi ↓ Kotaro Hayashi 53'
- 16
- 50
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Shota Fujio 76'
Bench
- 18
-
5
Ibrahim Dresevic ↑ 21'
- 13
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 77'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 76'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 77'
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 53'
- 49
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Daiki Suga 46'
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Sota Koshimichi 85'
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Sota Nakamura 72'
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 46'
- 3
- 5
- 20
- 13
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 85'
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 72'
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Ju-sung Kim | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-02-16
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-12-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-11-10
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
2024-10-19
Shonan Bellmare
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
65%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.