Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 6–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Júbilo Iwata | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 42 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +9 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia is underway.
- 3' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Goncalo Paciencia on 3.
- 8' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 13' Hayao Kawabe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 13.
- 18' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 23' Mutsuki Kato does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
- 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ibrahim Dresevic, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Se-hun Oh is withdrawn and Daiki Sugioka gets his opportunity.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Shota Fujio.
- 56' Shunki Higashi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 348 appearances.
- 61' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 62' Ibrahim Dresevic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 62.
- 63' Naoto Arai is replacing Tolgay Arslan for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 67' The crowd applauds Sang-ho Na as he leaves the pitch. Erik steps in for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryohei Shirasaki.
- 75' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 80' Shota Fujio is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Machida Zelvia so far.
- 83' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Ryohei Shirasaki has done his job and it is now time for Hokuto Shimoda to step up.
- 88' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Kotaro Hayashi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Douglas Vieira is replaced by Pieros Sotiriou.
- Another three points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 66
- 24
- 33
- 4
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Naoto Arai 63'
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
- 18
- 20
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 46'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 63'
- 11
- 27
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 23
- 7
- 5
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Mitchell Duke 67'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Erik 67'
- 26
- 33
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Daiki Sugioka 46'
Bench
-
11
Erik ↑ 67'
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 83'
-
25
Daiki Sugioka ↑ 46'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 46'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 67'
- 42
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Ju-sung Kim | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-09-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2024-09-14
Kashima Antlers
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-08-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
FC Tōkyō
W
2024-08-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2024-08-17
Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-09-21
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-09-14
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-08-31
FC Machida Zelvia
2–2
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2024-08-25
Albirex Niigata
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-08-17
FC Machida Zelvia
4–0
Júbilo Iwata
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
79%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
43%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 21% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.