Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 6–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Jubilo Iwata | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 42 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +9 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score. At the same time, FC Machida Zelvia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 3' Goncalo Paciencia makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
- 8' The 27-year-old Se-hun Oh has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 13' Hayao Kawabe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 13.
- 18' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosei Tani is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 23' Against the run of play, Mutsuki Kato has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 28' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 33' Sang-ho Na is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' The whistle greets Se-hun Oh as he departs to be replaced by Daiki Sugioka.
- 51' It’s gonna be a card for Shota Fujio.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ibrahim Dresevic on 62.
- 63' Naoto Arai gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Tolgay Arslan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' Erik is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sang-ho Na at the 67 minute mark.
- 70' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
- 75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kazuki Fujimoto made 105 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 80' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
- 83' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 83 minute. Ryohei Shirasaki leaves to be changed by Hokuto Shimoda.
- 88' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 90' Pieros Sotiriou has so much to prove this time. He replaces Douglas Vieira on 90 minute.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 66
- 24
- 33
- 4
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Naoto Arai 63'
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
- 18
- 20
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 46'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 63'
- 11
- 27
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 23
- 7
- 5
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Mitchell Duke 67'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Erik 67'
- 26
- 33
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Daiki Sugioka 46'
Bench
-
11
Erik ↑ 67'
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 83'
-
25
Daiki Sugioka ↑ 46'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 46'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 67'
- 42
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Ju-sung Kim | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-09-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–2
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2024-09-14
Kashima Antlers
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-08-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
FC Tokyo
W
2024-08-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2024-08-17
Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-09-21
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-09-14
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-08-31
FC Machida Zelvia
2–2
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2024-08-25
Albirex Niigata
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-08-17
FC Machida Zelvia
4–0
Jubilo Iwata
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
79%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
43%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 21% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

