Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 6–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Jubilo Iwata | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 42 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +9 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima that hosts another battle between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia.
- 3' Against the run of play, Goncalo Paciencia has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 8' Kotaro Hayashi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 143 appearances.
- 13' The referee has no hesitation. Hayao Kawabe is booked for Sanfrecce Hiroshima — card on 13.
- 18' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 23' Mutsuki Kato is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Se-hun Oh departs to be replaced by Daiki Sugioka.
- 51' Shota Fujio is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 62' It’s gonna be a card for Ibrahim Dresevic.
- 63' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 63 minute. Tolgay Arslan leaves to be changed by Naoto Arai.
- 67' Erik has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sang-ho Na on 67 minute.
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! Ryohei Shirasaki argues furiously but the card stands.
- 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 83' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Ryohei Shirasaki trudges off to be replaced by Hokuto Shimoda on 83 minutes.
- 88' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 90' Pieros Sotiriou is replacing Douglas Vieira for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Sanfrecce Hiroshima take all three points.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 66
- 24
- 33
- 4
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Naoto Arai 63'
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
- 18
- 20
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 46'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 63'
- 11
- 27
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 23
- 7
- 5
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Mitchell Duke 67'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Erik 67'
- 26
- 33
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Daiki Sugioka 46'
Bench
-
11
Erik ↑ 67'
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 83'
-
25
Daiki Sugioka ↑ 46'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 46'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 67'
- 42
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 1 |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Ju-sung Kim | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-09-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2024-09-14
Kashima Antlers
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-08-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
FC Tōkyō
W
2024-08-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2024-08-17
Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-09-21
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-09-14
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-08-31
FC Machida Zelvia
2–2
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2024-08-25
Albirex Niigata
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-08-17
FC Machida Zelvia
4–0
Jubilo Iwata
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
79%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
43%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 21% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

