Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 0

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Hayao Kawabe 13' Y

Y 51' Shota Fujio

Y 62' Ibrahim Dresevic

Y 70' Ryohei Shirasaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-04-03 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–0	W
22 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
31 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	3–2	W
25 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W
17 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L
21 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–0	D
14 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	3–0	W
31 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–2	D
25 Aug	Albirex Niigata	A	0–0	D
17 Aug	Júbilo Iwata	H	4–0	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Machida Zelvia
#4	Position	#13
30	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
41	Scored	42
33	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+9
1.67	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

14% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/4

61-75

4/1

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

FC Machida Zelvia

Yuki Soma	3 G	3 A
Koki Ogawa	3 G
Hotaka Nakamura	2 G	1 A
Tete Yengi	2 G	1 A
Takuma Nishimura	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. FC Machida Zelvia get us underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
3' The Portugal Goncalo Paciencia breaks the deadlock on 3 minutes. 1-0!
8' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
13' That is a card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Hayao Kawabe will be fuming at that decision.
18' The 31-year-old Keiya Sento has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
23' What a moment for Mutsuki Kato! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
33' FC Machida Zelvia have won 126 goals from 98 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shota Fujio suffering a number of foals already.
43' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
46' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daiki Sugioka is hanging Se-hun Oh on the field on 46 minute.
51' FC Machida Zelvia player sees a card in front of him.
56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
62' The referee has no hesitation. Ibrahim Dresevic is booked for FC Machida Zelvia — card on 62.
63' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Tolgay Arslan departs to be replaced by Naoto Arai.
67' Sang-ho Na makes way for Erik at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
70' Controversy at the stadium! Ryohei Shirasaki argues furiously but the card stands.
75' Erik has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
80' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
83' Hokuto Shimoda gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Ryohei Shirasaki and will look to change the dynamic.
88' Taishi Matsumoto, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
90' The crowd applauds Douglas Vieira as he leaves the pitch. Pieros Sotiriou steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
FC Machida Zelvia will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Douglas Vieira 46'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Naoto Arai 63'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

1
Kosei Tani
3
Gen Shoji
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 83'
7
Yuki Soma
5
Ibrahim Dresevic
8
Keiya Sento
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Mitchell Duke 67'
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Erik 67'
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 46'
33
Hiroki Mochizuki
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Daiki Sugioka 46'

Bench

11
Erik ↑ 67'
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 83'
25
Daiki Sugioka ↑ 46'
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 46'
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 67'
42
Koki Fukui
30
Yuki Nakashima

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Yuki Soma	2
Makoto Mitsuta	1
Goncalo Paciencia	1
Mutsuki Kato	1
Sota Nakamura	1
Ju-sung Kim	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.36 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima57% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia21%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.54

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

79%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

43%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima41% Draw39% FC Machida Zelvia20%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.5%

2 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 0

4.3%

4 – 1

3.6%

0 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

27% ✗

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

FC Machida Zelvia Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Clean Sheet