Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 – 1
Full Time
FC Machida Zelvia
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 07:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 29' Takuma Nishimura
Ju-sung Kim 88' Y
Tolgay Arslan 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Machida Zelvia
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia 2025-02-16 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-04-03 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct FC Machida Zelvia H 2–1 W
27 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 2–1 W
23 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
12 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Tokyo Verdy A 3–0 W
FC Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
27 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–0 W
23 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
12 Sep Yokohama FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 3–5 L
23 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima FC Machida Zelvia
#4 Position #13
30 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
41 Scored 42
33 Conceded 33
+8 GD +9
1.67 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is hosting FC Machida Zelvia for another epic battle.
  • 5' Hiroyuki Mae needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 9' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 9 minute. Kosuke Kinoshita leaves to be changed by Valere Germain.
  • 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 94 games and scored 116 goals.
  • 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shota Fujio made 369 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 29' It’s a booking for FC Machida Zelvia player. Takuma Nishimura gets a card.
  • 34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 49' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' GOAL! Yuki Soma scores on 50.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' The whistle greets Shuto Nakano as he departs to be replaced by Naoto Arai.
  • 62' The whistle greets Tsukasa Shiotani as he departs to be replaced by Tolgay Arslan.
  • 64' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Takuma Nishimura is replaced by Sang-ho Na on 64 minute.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hiroki Mochizuki, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Yotaro Nakajima is replaced by Mutsuki Kato.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Kotaro Hayashi. He replaces Asahi Masuyama on 81 minute.
  • 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
  • 88' GOAL! Ju-sung Kim scores on 88.
  • 88' Ju-sung Kim is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • 89' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Hokuto Shimoda departs to be replaced by Kanji Kuwayama.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Tolgay Arslan.
  • Another three points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tolgay Arslan 2
Yuki Soma 2
Yuki Ohashi 2
Makoto Mitsuta 1
Goncalo Paciencia 1
Mutsuki Kato 1
Sota Nakamura 1
Ju-sung Kim 1

Head to Head

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia 2025-02-16 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-04-03 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-09-27 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-09-23 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-09-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kyoto Sanga FC D 2025-08-31 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-08-23 Tokyo Verdy 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-09-12 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2025-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-08-23 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia23%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima38% Draw40% FC Machida Zelvia22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.6%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 20% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.