Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 1

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 07:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 29' Takuma Nishimura

Ju-sung Kim 88' Y

Tolgay Arslan 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia 2025-02-16 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-04-03 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–1	W
27 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–0	D
12 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
23 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	A	3–0	W

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
27 Sep	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
12 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–5	L
23 Aug	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Machida Zelvia
#4	Position	#13
30	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
41	Scored	42
33	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+9
1.67	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

100% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sanfrecce Hiroshima launch into their encounter with FC Machida Zelvia.
5' Kanji Kuwayama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
9' The crowd applauds Kosuke Kinoshita as he leaves the pitch. Valere Germain steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
14' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
19' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
24' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
29' A moment of madness from Takuma Nishimura on 29 minutes earns him a card. FC Machida Zelvia will be frustrated.
34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
49' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
50' Magnificent from Yuki Soma! That is 28 goals in 439 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
55' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
60' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
61' Naoto Arai is replacing Shuto Nakano for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
62' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tolgay Arslan is hanging Tsukasa Shiotani on the field on 62 minute.
64' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 64 minute. Takuma Nishimura leaves to be changed by Sang-ho Na.
69' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
74' FC Machida Zelvia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
76' Yotaro Nakajima makes way for Mutsuki Kato at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
81' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Asahi Masuyama trudges off to be replaced by Kotaro Hayashi on 81 minutes.
86' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Shunki Higashi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
88' GOAL! Ju-sung Kim scores on 88.
88' Ju-sung Kim was booked on 88.
89' Kanji Kuwayama gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Hokuto Shimoda and will look to change the dynamic.
90' A moment of madness from Tolgay Arslan on 90 minutes earns him a card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
Another three points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

98
Valere Germain ↑ 9'
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 61'
3
Taichi Yamasaki
41
Naoki Maeda
25
Yusuke Chajima
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 61'
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 62'
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 76'
26
Min-ki Jeong

Coach Michael Skibbe

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Tomoki Imai
13
Tatsuya Morita
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 81'
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 64'
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 64'
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 81'
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 89'
90
Se-hun Oh
22
Takaya Numata

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tolgay Arslan	2
Yuki Soma	2
Yuki Ohashi	2
Sota Nakamura	1
Ju-sung Kim	1
Makoto Mitsuta	1
Goncalo Paciencia	1
Mutsuki Kato	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-09-27 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-09-23 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-09-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kyoto Sanga FC D 2025-08-31 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-08-23 Tokyo Verdy 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-09-12 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2025-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-08-23 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia23%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

45%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima38% Draw40% FC Machida Zelvia22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

5.6%

3 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	20%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.