Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 1

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 07:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 29' Takuma Nishimura

Ju-sung Kim 88' Y

Tolgay Arslan 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia 2025-02-16 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-04-03 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–1	W
27 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–0	D
12 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
23 Aug	Tōkyō Verdy	A	3–0	W

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
27 Sep	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
12 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–5	L
23 Aug	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Machida Zelvia
#4	Position	#13
30	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
41	Scored	42
33	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+9
1.67	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

14% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/4

61-75

4/1

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

FC Machida Zelvia

Yuki Soma	3 G	3 A
Koki Ogawa	3 G
Hotaka Nakamura	2 G	1 A
Tete Yengi	2 G	1 A
Takuma Nishimura	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kicked off against FC Machida Zelvia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
9' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Kosuke Kinoshita is replaced by Valere Germain.
14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
19' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
24' Yotaro Nakajima is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
29' Takuma Nishimura catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 29.
34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
39' Japan international Kosei Tani has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
49' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
50' The Japan Yuki Soma breaks the deadlock on 50 minutes. 0-1!
55' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
61' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Shuto Nakano departs to be replaced by Naoto Arai.
62' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Tsukasa Shiotani exits the field as Tolgay Arslan enters on 62.
64' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Takuma Nishimura is replaced by Sang-ho Na on 64 minute.
69' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
74' Ju-sung Kim needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Yellow cards this season.
76' The crowd applauds Yotaro Nakajima as he leaves the pitch. Mutsuki Kato steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
81' Asahi Masuyama makes way for Kotaro Hayashi at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
86' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. FC Machida Zelvia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
88' What an equalizer from Ju-sung Kim!
88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ju-sung Kim on 88.
89' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Kanji Kuwayama comes on to replace Hokuto Shimoda.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tolgay Arslan on 90 minutes.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

98
Valere Germain ↑ 9'
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 61'
3
Taichi Yamasaki
41
Naoki Maeda
25
Yusuke Chajima
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 61'
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 62'
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 76'
26
Min-ki Jeong

Coach Michael Skibbe

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Tomoki Imai
13
Tatsuya Morita
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 81'
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 64'
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 64'
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 81'
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 89'
90
Se-hun Oh
22
Takaya Numata

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Yuki Soma	2
Makoto Mitsuta	1
Goncalo Paciencia	1
Mutsuki Kato	1
Sota Nakamura	1
Ju-sung Kim	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-09-27 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-09-23 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-09-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kyōto Sanga FC D 2025-08-31 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-08-23 Tōkyō Verdy 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-09-23 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-09-12 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2025-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-08-23 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia23%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

45%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima38% Draw40% FC Machida Zelvia22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

5.6%

3 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	20%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.