Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 1

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 07:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 29' Takuma Nishimura

Ju-sung Kim 88' Y

Tolgay Arslan 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia 2025-02-16 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-04-03 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–1	W
27 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–0	D
12 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
23 Aug	Tokyo Verdy	A	3–0	W

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
27 Sep	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
12 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–5	L
23 Aug	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Machida Zelvia
#4	Position	#13
30	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
41	Scored	42
33	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+9
1.67	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

25% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	4 G
Sebastien Haller	2 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	1 A
Takumu Kawamura	1 G
Shuto Nakano	1 G

FC Machida Zelvia

Yuki Soma	2 G	3 A
Hotaka Nakamura	2 G	1 A
Koki Ogawa	2 G
Takuma Nishimura	2 G
Tete Yengi	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima that hosts another battle between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
9' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Kosuke Kinoshita trudges off to be replaced by Valere Germain on 9 minutes.
14' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
19' Hayato Araki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sang-ho Na made 11 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Takuma Nishimura on 29 minutes.
34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
39' Hiroyuki Mae has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
44' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
49' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
50' Yuki Soma is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
61' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoto Arai is hanging Shuto Nakano on the field on 61 minute.
62' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tsukasa Shiotani is replaced by Tolgay Arslan.
64' Sang-ho Na gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Takuma Nishimura and will look to change the dynamic.
69' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
74' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
76' The whistle greets Yotaro Nakajima as he departs to be replaced by Mutsuki Kato.
81' Kotaro Hayashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Asahi Masuyama at the 81 minute mark.
86' Gen Shoji is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
88' What a moment for Ju-sung Kim! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
88' Ju-sung Kim was booked on 88.
89' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kanji Kuwayama is hanging Hokuto Shimoda on the field on 89 minute.
90' A moment of madness from Tolgay Arslan on 90 minutes earns him a card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

98
Valere Germain ↑ 9'
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 61'
3
Taichi Yamasaki
41
Naoki Maeda
25
Yusuke Chajima
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 61'
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 62'
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 76'
26
Min-ki Jeong

Coach Michael Skibbe

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Tomoki Imai
13
Tatsuya Morita
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 81'
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 64'
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 64'
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 81'
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 89'
90
Se-hun Oh
22
Takaya Numata

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Ohashi	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Yuki Soma	2
Makoto Mitsuta	1
Goncalo Paciencia	1
Mutsuki Kato	1
Sota Nakamura	1
Ju-sung Kim	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-09-27 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-09-23 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-09-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kyoto Sanga FC D 2025-08-31 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-08-23 Tokyo Verdy 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-09-12 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2025-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-08-23 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia23%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

45%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima38% Draw40% FC Machida Zelvia22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

5.6%

3 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	20%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.