Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 – 1

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 07:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 29' Takuma Nishimura

Ju-sung Kim 88' Y

Tolgay Arslan 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5 games · Avg 2.2 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia 2025-02-16 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-04-03 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–1	W
27 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–0	D
12 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
23 Aug	Tōkyō Verdy	A	3–0	W

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
27 Sep	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
12 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–5	L
23 Aug	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Machida Zelvia
#4	Position	#13
30	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
41	Scored	42
33	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+9
1.67	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

54% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/1

46-60

2/4

61-75

6/1

76+

9/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

FC Machida Zelvia

Takuma Nishimura	5 G
Koki Ogawa	4 G
Yuki Soma	3 G	4 A
Tete Yengi	3 G	1 A
Hiroki Mochizuki	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Machida Zelvia has kicked off!
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
9' Valere Germain is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kosuke Kinoshita at the 9 minute mark.
14' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shuto Nakano, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
19' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kotaro Hayashi made 143 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
29' Takuma Nishimura picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
39' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
44' Mitchell Duke has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
49' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
50' The Japan Yuki Soma breaks the deadlock on 50 minutes. 0-1!
55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Go Kuroda might look to freshen things up shortly.
60' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 453 goals from 346 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
61' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Shuto Nakano by Naoto Arai on 61 minute.
62' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Tsukasa Shiotani by Tolgay Arslan on 62 minute.
64' Sang-ho Na is replacing Takuma Nishimura for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
69' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Machida Zelvia's shape.
74' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
76' Mutsuki Kato gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Yotaro Nakajima and will look to change the dynamic.
81' Asahi Masuyama makes way for Kotaro Hayashi at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
88' Ju-sung Kim does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
88' Ju-sung Kim is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
89' A change in the FC Machida Zelvia ranks — Hokuto Shimoda exits the field as Kanji Kuwayama enters on 89.
90' Tolgay Arslan is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
The points are shared — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 FC Machida Zelvia. Honours even.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

98
Valere Germain ↑ 9'
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 61'
3
Taichi Yamasaki
41
Naoki Maeda
25
Yusuke Chajima
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 61'
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 62'
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 76'
26
Min-ki Jeong

Coach Michael Skibbe

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Tomoki Imai
13
Tatsuya Morita
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 81'
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 64'
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 64'
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 81'
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 89'
90
Se-hun Oh
22
Takaya Numata

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Soma	2
Yuki Ohashi	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Ju-sung Kim	1
Makoto Mitsuta	1
Goncalo Paciencia	1
Mutsuki Kato	1
Sota Nakamura	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-09-27 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-09-23 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-09-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kyōto Sanga FC D 2025-08-31 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2025-08-23 Tōkyō Verdy 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-09-27 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-09-23 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-09-12 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2025-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-08-23 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima55% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia23%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

45%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Machida Zelvia

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima38% Draw40% FC Machida Zelvia22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

5.6%

3 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	20%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.