Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 15:00 UTC Stade du Moustoir 16,585 HT 45' · FT 45'
Panos Katseris 28' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier
  • Assistant 1 Husseyin Ocak (France)
  • Assistant 2 Youssef El Hamzaoui (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Olympique de Marseille H 2–0 W
12 Apr Olympique Lyonnais A 0–2 L
05 Apr Paris FC H 1–1 D
21 Mar Toulouse FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lille OSC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr FC Lorient A 0–2 L
10 Apr FC Metz H 3–1 W
05 Apr AS Monaco FC A 1–2 L
22 Mar Lille OSC H 1–2 L
13 Mar AJ Auxerre H 1–0 W
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Lorient Olympique de Marseille
#12 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Lorient are 12th (0 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Lorient kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks surprising Olympique de Marseille does not make any changes. Bilal Nadir has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' It’s high time Habib Beye made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' The travelling Olympique de Marseille supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Moustoir with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 28' Goal! Panos Katseris scores his 6 goal in 434 matches.
  • 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 38' Olympique de Marseille is showing some good football. However, Olympique de Marseille are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 43' Olympique de Marseille seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' Tim Weah has so much to prove this time. He replaces Igor Paixao on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Olympique de Marseille that had 465 games and scored 515 goals.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 57' It’s a booking for Olympique de Marseille player. Benjamin Pavard gets a card.
  • 58' What a strike from Ahmadou Bamba Dieng! The score is 2-0.
  • 59' Bilal Nadir is replacing Himad Abdelli for the Olympique de Marseille side.
  • 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Igor Paixao made 132 appearances and scored 43 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' It is a substitution in FC Lorient team. Jean-Victor Makengo is replaced by Laurent Abergel on 69 minute.
  • 74' Bilal Nadir is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
  • 75' The whistle greets Ahmadou Bamba Dieng as he departs to be replaced by Aiyegun Tosin.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Olympique de Marseille team. Pierre Emile Hojbjerg is replaced by Arthur Vermeeren on 76 minute.
  • 81' Olympique de Marseille is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 82' Another substitution for FC Lorient to replace Panos Katseris by Igor Silva on 82 minute.
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Darlin Yongwa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Tim Weah. He receives a card.
  • Full Time. FC Lorient beats Olympique de Marseille

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.72 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient36% Draw38% Olympique de Marseille26%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
74%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
64%
FC Lorient or Olympique de Marseille
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient19% Draw66% Olympique de Marseille15%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29%
1 – 0
17.2%
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
1.5%
3 – 0
1.5%
3 – 1
1.1%
0 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 22% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 19% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
54%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.