Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Fri 10 Apr 2026 · 19:05 UTC Orange Velodrome 63,923 HT 45' · FT 45'
Igor Paixao 48' 2–0
Hamed Traore 90+3' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC MetzLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
  • Assistant 1 Mikael Berchebru
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 8.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr FC Metz H 3–1 W
05 Apr AS Monaco FC A 1–2 L
22 Mar Lille OSC H 1–2 L
13 Mar AJ Auxerre H 1–0 W
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–3 L
05 Apr FC Nantes H 0–0 D
22 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–0 D
15 Mar Toulouse FC H 3–4 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens A 0–3 L
01 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille FC Metz
#7 Position #2
0 Points 17
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 23
0 Scored 32
0 Conceded 76
+0 GD -44
PPG 0.50
Win % 9%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). FC Metz are 2nd (17 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Orange Velodrome. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bouna Sarr, as he is very good at scoring at Orange Velodrome with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 13' What a strike from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang! The score is 1-0.
  • 18' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Metz that had 434 games and scored 360 goals.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nathan Mbala made 434 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' FC Metz started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Facundo Medina was booked on 45.
  • 48' What a strike from Igor Paixao! The score is 2-0.
  • 49' Goal! Georgiy Tsitaishvili scores his 8 goal in 251 matches.
  • 54' The travelling FC Metz supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' Maxime Colin was booked on 56.
  • 61' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Metz is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' It’s high time Habib Beye made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Olympique de Marseille needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Olympique de Marseille. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is replaced by Arthur Vermeeren.
  • 77' FC Metz is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' Nathan Mbala is replacing Jessy Deminguet for the FC Metz side.
  • 82' Another substitution for FC Metz to replace Maxime Colin by Fode Ballo-Toure on 82 minute.
  • 84' FC Metz receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 87' Another change for FC Metz made on 87 minute. Alpha Toure leaves to be changed by Lucas Michal.
  • 90' Another change for Olympique de Marseille made on 90 minute. Igor Paixao leaves to be changed by Himad Abdelli.
  • Another three points for Olympique de Marseille.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.46 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille54% Draw31% FC Metz15%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Metz
46%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Metz
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille30% Draw60% FC Metz10%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.7%
1 – 0
21.8%
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
2.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
2%
2 – 2
1.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 28% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 11% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
63%
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.