Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Lorient, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Fri 12 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Lorient — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep FC Lorient H 4–0 W
31 Aug Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
23 Aug Paris FC H 5–2 W
15 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
17 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 4–2 W
10 May Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–4 L
30 Aug Lille OSC H 1–7 L
24 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 4–0 W
17 Aug AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
10 May FC Martigues H 5–1 W
02 May AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille FC Lorient
#17 Position #12
3 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
7 Scored 5
8 Conceded 6
-1 GD -1
0.60 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
40% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season

Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). FC Lorient are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G
FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.36 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 FC Lorient xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille67% Draw20% FC Lorient13%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
87%
Draw or FC Lorient
33%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Lorient
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille49% Draw39% FC Lorient12%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Lorient covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 20% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 22% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.