Saturday , 14 November 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Lorient, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Fri 12 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Lorient — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep FC Lorient H 4–0 W
31 Aug Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
23 Aug Paris FC H 5–2 W
15 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
17 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 4–2 W
10 May Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–4 L
30 Aug Lille OSC H 1–7 L
24 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 4–0 W
17 Aug AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
10 May FC Martigues H 5–1 W
02 May AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille FC Lorient
#4 Position #10
18 Points 15
10 Played 10
6 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 3
22 Scored 9
14 Conceded 8
+8 GD +1
1.80 PPG 1.50
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
60% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season

Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts). FC Lorient are 10th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G
FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.36 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 FC Lorient xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille69% Draw19% FC Lorient12%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
88%
Draw or FC Lorient
31%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Lorient
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille51% Draw39% FC Lorient10%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
9.8%
3 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Lorient covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 21% 51%
-1.5 49% — 51%
-1 49% 22% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.