Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSCLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Bastien
6 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 18.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Lille OSC H 1–2 L
13 Mar AJ Auxerre H 1–0 W
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
20 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 0–2 L
14 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 2–1 W
19 Mar Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
15 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–1 W
12 Mar Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
08 Mar FC Lorient H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC Nantes H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Lille OSC
#7 Position #5
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). Lille OSC are 5th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Lille OSC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.63 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille28% Draw38% Lille OSC34%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
66%
Draw or Lille OSC
72%
Olympique de Marseille or Lille OSC
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille15% Draw65% Lille OSC20%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.7%
0 – 1
17.3%
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 1
3.8%
0 – 3
1.7%
2 – 2
1.6%
1 – 3
1.2%
3 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 18% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 22% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
47%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.