Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sun 10 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Stade du Moustoir 15,848 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Julien Garrigues (France)
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Olympique de Marseille H 2–4 L
03 Dec Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
26 Nov FC Metz H 2–3 L
12 Nov Clermont Foot 63 A 0–1 L
04 Nov Racing Club de Lens H 0–0 D
28 Oct Stade de Reims A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec FC Lorient A 4–2 W
06 Dec Olympique Lyonnais H 3–0 W
03 Dec Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–0 W
30 Nov AFC Ajax H 4–3 W
25 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–1 D
12 Nov Racing Club de Lens A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Lorient Olympique de Marseille
#10 Position #4
15 Points 18
10 Played 10
4 / 3 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 4
9 Scored 22
8 Conceded 14
+1 GD +8
1.50 PPG 1.80
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

FC Lorient are 10th (15 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 2 G 1 A
Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient23% Draw24% Olympique de Marseille53%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
47%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
77%
FC Lorient or Olympique de Marseille
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient18% Draw43% Olympique de Marseille39%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.