Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Lorient vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 15:00 UTC Stade du Moustoir 16,585 HT 45' · FT 45'
Panos Katseris 28' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier
  • Assistant 1 Husseyin Ocak (France)
  • Assistant 2 Youssef El Hamzaoui (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Olympique de Marseille H 2–0 W
12 Apr Olympique Lyonnais A 0–2 L
05 Apr Paris FC H 1–1 D
21 Mar Toulouse FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lille OSC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr FC Lorient A 0–2 L
10 Apr FC Metz H 3–1 W
05 Apr AS Monaco FC A 1–2 L
22 Mar Lille OSC H 1–2 L
13 Mar AJ Auxerre H 1–0 W
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Lorient Olympique de Marseille
#12 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Lorient are 12th (0 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Lorient to score. At the same time, Olympique de Marseille does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Senegal international Abdoulaye Faye has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Olympique de Marseille have won 515 goals from 465 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Olympique de Marseille is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 28' Panos Katseris has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' A quiet spell here at Stade du Moustoir. Olympique de Marseille seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 43' FC Lorient are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Tim Weah gets the nod from Olympique de Marseille. He replaces Igor Paixao and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Amine Gouiri is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Lorient.
  • 56' FC Lorient are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Olympique de Marseille backline.
  • 57' It’s gonna be a card for Benjamin Pavard.
  • 58' Against the run of play, Ahmadou Bamba Dieng has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Bilal Nadir. He replaces Himad Abdelli on 59 minute.
  • 64' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 69' Laurent Abergel has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean-Victor Makengo on 69 minute.
  • 74' Bilal Nadir has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 75' FC Lorient ring the changes. Ahmadou Bamba Dieng has done his job and it is now time for Aiyegun Tosin to step up.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Olympique de Marseille team. Pierre Emile Hojbjerg is replaced by Arthur Vermeeren on 76 minute.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 82' FC Lorient manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Igor Silva is hanging Panos Katseris on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Igor Paixao, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Moustoir with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Tim Weah.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Lorient players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.72 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient36% Draw38% Olympique de Marseille26%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
74%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
64%
FC Lorient or Olympique de Marseille
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient19% Draw66% Olympique de Marseille15%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29%
1 – 0
17.2%
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
1.5%
3 – 0
1.5%
3 – 1
1.1%
0 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 22% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 19% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
54%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.