Sunday , 12 July 2026

New York City FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Fri 31 Jul 2026 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Nashville SC A 1–2 L
16 May New York Red Bulls A 1–1 D
13 May Charlotte FC A 1–0 W
10 May Columbus Crew SC H 3–0 W
03 May D.C. United SC H 0–2 L
25 Apr Montreal Impact FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Chicago Fire FC A 1–2 L
16 May Charlotte FC A 1–3 L
09 May Internacional CF Miami H 2–4 L
02 May San Jose Earthquakes H 1–1 D
25 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–2 L
22 Apr Philadelphia Union H 3–3 D

Season Stats

New York City FC Toronto FC
#8 Position #11
19 Points 14
15 Played 14
5 / 4 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
25 Scored 22
21 Conceded 29
+4 GD -7
1.27 PPG 1.00
33% Win % 21%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
2/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

H2H

Predictions

2.34 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + New York City FC to win 64%

Match Result

New York City FC64% Draw20% Toronto FC16%

Both Teams to Score

Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.45

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Toronto FC
36%
New York City FC or Toronto FC
80%

Half-Time Result

New York City FC47% Draw39% Toronto FC14%

Correct Score

2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.