Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 23 May 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Martin Ojeda pen
Kenji Mboma 42' 1–1
Evander 45+3' 2–1
2–2 48' Martin Ojeda
Kenji Mboma 52' 3–2
Evander 58' 4–2
Kevin Denkey 77' 5–2
Tom Barlow 90+1' 6–2

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Rubiel Vazquez
11 games this season 🟨 2.4/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Orlando City SC H 6–2 W
17 May San Diego FC A 3–3 D
13 May Internacional CF Miami H 0–0 D
09 May Charlotte FC A 0–0 D
03 May Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May FC Cincinnati A 2–6 L
16 May Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
13 May Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
09 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
02 May Internacional CF Miami A 0–2 L
25 Apr D.C. United SC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Orlando City SC
#9 Position #7
33 Points 34
26 Played 27
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 4 / 13
55 Scored 48
64 Conceded 64
-9 GD -16
1.27 PPG 1.26
31% Win % 37%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
19% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/3
16-30
8/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/6
61-75
7/4
76+
9/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Orlando City SC
Martin Ojeda 13 G 1 A
Antoine Griezmann 8 G 4 A
Tyrese Spicer 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Controversy at the stadium! Adrian Gomez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Martin Ojeda makes it 0-1.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Griffin Dorsey suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' Gerardo Valenzuela is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Orlando City SC so far.
  • 32' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 32.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 40.
  • 42' A stunning finish from Kenji Mboma — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Tiago is withdrawn and Tyrese Spicer gets his opportunity.
  • 47' Matt Miazga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Evander makes it 2-1.
  • 52' Kenji Mboma has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 52 minutes.
  • 57' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Justin Ellis is withdrawn and Marco Pasalic gets his opportunity.
  • 58' A stunning finish from Evander — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 63' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Orlando City SC's compact .
  • 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for David Brekalo. He receives a card.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Griffin Dorsey is replaced by Wilder Cartagena.
  • 74' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Obinna Nwobodo has done his job and it is now time for Tah Anunga to step up.
  • 77' Goal! Kevin Denkey scores his 82 goal in 190 matches.
  • 82' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tyrese Spicer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Orlando City SC.
  • 83' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Kenji Mboma is replaced by Tom Barlow.
  • 86' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Braian Ojeda has done his job and it is now time for Luis Otavio to step up.
  • 90' Nick Hagglund gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Samuel Gidi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.32 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati63% Draw17% Orlando City SC20%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 5.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 88%
12%
± 3.5 75%
25%
± 4.5 58%
42%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
81%
Draw or Orlando City SC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati50% Draw31% Orlando City SC19%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.8%
1 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
5 – 1
3.4%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 29% — 71%
-2 29% 17% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 18% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 10% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.