FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rubiel Vazquez
10 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–6 | L |
| 16 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #13 |
| 20 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 9 |
| 36 | Scored | 23 |
| 37 | Conceded | 44 |
| -1 | GD | -21 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 0.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Orlando City SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The referee calls foul for Adrian Gomez. He receives a card.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Obinna Nwobodo, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 16' Martin Ojeda puts Orlando City SC on the lead.
- 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Roman Celentano suffering a number of foals already.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' Gerardo Valenzuela is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
- 37' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Martin Ojeda scoring 2 goals.
- 40' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 42' What an equalizer from Kenji Mboma!
- 46' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tyrese Spicer is hanging Tiago on the field on 46 minute.
- 47' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 48' GOAL! Evander scores on 45. Assisted by Fashion Sakala
- 52' What a strike from Kenji Mboma! The score is 3-1.
- 57' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Justin Ellis is replaced by Marco Pasalic.
- 58' Evander with the second goal in the match!
- 63' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
- 68' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 70' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 72' The Orlando City SC manager makes a substitution. Griffin Dorsey departs to be replaced by Wilder Cartagena.
- 74' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 74 minute. Obinna Nwobodo leaves to be changed by Tah Anunga.
- 77' What a strike from Kevin Denkey! The score is 5-1.
- 82' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 83' Tom Barlow has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenji Mboma on 83 minute.
- 86' Luis Otavio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Braian Ojeda on 86 minute.
- 90' The whistle greets Samuel Gidi as he departs to be replaced by Nick Hagglund.
- Full Time. FC Cincinnati beats Orlando City SC
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Tah Anunga 74'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 90'
- 24
- 18
- 22
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 83'
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Nick Hagglund 90'
- 29
Bench
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 90'
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 83'
-
27
Tah Anunga ↑ 74'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 90'
- 3
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 83'
- 88
- 55
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Adrian Gomez ↓ Duncan McGuire 72'
- 10
- 20
- 6
- 24
- 71
-
8
Braian Ojeda ↓ Luis Otavio 86'
- 77
- 4
-
11
Tiago ↓ Tyrese Spicer 46'
-
22
Justin Ellis ↓ Marco Pasalic 57'
Bench
-
16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 72'
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↑ 57'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 72'
- 12
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 46'
- 29
- 57
- 19
-
5
Luis Otavio ↑ 86'
Coach
Martin Perelman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Ramiro Enrique | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
2026-05-23
FC Cincinnati
6–2
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-16
Orlando City SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-05-13
Orlando City SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-05-09
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-02
Internacional CF Miami
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2026-04-25
D.C. United SC
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.99
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 3.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 4.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
86%
Draw or Orlando City SC
29%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–2 not predicted6 – 2Actual
3 – 1
6.3%
4 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.2%
4 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
4.9%
5 – 1
4.9%
5 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
4 – 0
3.7%
6 – 1
3.3%
2 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -2 | 41% | 18% | 41% |
| -1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| -1 | 59% | 16% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 7% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 3% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

