Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 23 May 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Martin Ojeda pen
Kenji Mboma 42' 1–1
Evander 45+3' 2–1
2–2 48' Martin Ojeda
Kenji Mboma 52' 3–2
Evander 58' 4–2
Kevin Denkey 77' 5–2
Tom Barlow 90+1' 6–2

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SCMLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Rubiel Vazquez
10 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 8.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Orlando City SC H 6–2 W
17 May San Diego FC A 3–3 D
13 May Internacional CF Miami H 0–0 D
09 May Charlotte FC A 0–0 D
03 May Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May FC Cincinnati A 2–6 L
16 May Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
13 May Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
09 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
02 May Internacional CF Miami A 0–2 L
25 Apr D.C. United SC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Orlando City SC
#7 Position #13
20 Points 14
15 Played 15
5 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 9
36 Scored 23
37 Conceded 44
-1 GD -21
1.33 PPG 0.93
33% Win % 27%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
7% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Orlando City SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' The referee calls foul for Adrian Gomez. He receives a card.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Obinna Nwobodo, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 16' Martin Ojeda puts Orlando City SC on the lead.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Roman Celentano suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 32' Gerardo Valenzuela is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
  • 37' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Martin Ojeda scoring 2 goals.
  • 40' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' What an equalizer from Kenji Mboma!
  • 46' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tyrese Spicer is hanging Tiago on the field on 46 minute.
  • 47' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
  • 48' GOAL! Evander scores on 45. Assisted by Fashion Sakala
  • 52' What a strike from Kenji Mboma! The score is 3-1.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Justin Ellis is replaced by Marco Pasalic.
  • 58' Evander with the second goal in the match!
  • 63' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
  • 68' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' Orlando City SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' The Orlando City SC manager makes a substitution. Griffin Dorsey departs to be replaced by Wilder Cartagena.
  • 74' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 74 minute. Obinna Nwobodo leaves to be changed by Tah Anunga.
  • 77' What a strike from Kevin Denkey! The score is 5-1.
  • 82' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 83' Tom Barlow has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenji Mboma on 83 minute.
  • 86' Luis Otavio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Braian Ojeda on 86 minute.
  • 90' The whistle greets Samuel Gidi as he departs to be replaced by Nick Hagglund.
  • Full Time. FC Cincinnati beats Orlando City SC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.99 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati71% Draw15% Orlando City SC14%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 5.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
86%
Draw or Orlando City SC
29%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati60% Draw27% Orlando City SC13%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.3%
4 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.2%
4 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
4.9%
5 – 1
4.9%
5 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
4 – 0
3.7%
6 – 1
3.3%
2 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 41% 59%
-2 41% 18% 41%
-1.5 59% 41%
-1 59% 16% 25%
-0.5 75% 25%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 7% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 3% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19%
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.