FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rubiel Vazquez
11 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–6 | L |
| 16 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #11 |
| 26 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 10 |
| 45 | Scored | 30 |
| 44 | Conceded | 47 |
| +1 | GD | -17 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds TQL Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC.
- 5' Slovakia international Samuel Gidi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Adrian Gomez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 10.
- 15' Orlando City SC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 16' The Argentina Martin Ojeda breaks the deadlock on 16 minutes. 0-1!
- 21' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 26' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
- 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gerardo Valenzuela on 32 minutes.
- 37' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Orlando City SC backline.
- 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tiago.
- 42' GOAL! Kenji Mboma scores on 42. Assisted by Thiago Galhardo
- 46' Fresh legs for Orlando City SC! Tyrese Spicer comes on to replace Tiago.
- 47' Matt Miazga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
- 48' Magnificent from Evander! That is 56 goals in 289 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 52' Kenji Mboma adds to his 4 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
- 57' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Justin Ellis has done his job and it is now time for Marco Pasalic to step up.
- 58' Brilliant from the ! Evander makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 58.
- 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Obinna Nwobodo made 46 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 68' It’s high time Martin Perelman made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 70' The referee has no hesitation. David Brekalo is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 70.
- 72' Another substitution for Orlando City SC to replace Griffin Dorsey by Wilder Cartagena on 72 minute.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Tah Anunga. He replaces Obinna Nwobodo on 74 minute.
- 77' What a strike from Kevin Denkey! The score is 5-1.
- 82' Orlando City SC have won 430 goals from 285 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 83' Tom Barlow is replacing Kenji Mboma for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 86' Luis Otavio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Braian Ojeda on 86 minute.
- 90' The crowd applauds Samuel Gidi as he leaves the pitch. Nick Hagglund steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Tah Anunga 74'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 90'
- 24
- 18
- 22
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 83'
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Nick Hagglund 90'
- 29
Bench
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 90'
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 83'
-
27
Tah Anunga ↑ 74'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 90'
- 3
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 83'
- 88
- 55
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Adrian Gomez ↓ Duncan McGuire 72'
- 10
- 20
- 6
- 24
- 71
-
8
Braian Ojeda ↓ Luis Otavio 86'
- 77
- 4
-
11
Tiago ↓ Tyrese Spicer 46'
-
22
Justin Ellis ↓ Marco Pasalic 57'
Bench
-
16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 72'
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↑ 57'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 72'
- 12
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 46'
- 29
- 57
- 19
-
5
Luis Otavio ↑ 86'
Coach
Martin Perelman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
2026-05-23
FC Cincinnati
6–2
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-16
Orlando City SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-05-13
Orlando City SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-05-09
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-02
Internacional CF Miami
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2026-04-25
D.C. United SC
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.87
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 3.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 4.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
85%
Draw or Orlando City SC
31%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–2 not predicted6 – 2Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
4 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.4%
4 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
5 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
5 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.3%
4 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -2 | 38% | 18% | 44% |
| -1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 16% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 4% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

