FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 4–3 | W |
| 20 Jul | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #8 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 64 | Conceded | 36 |
| -9 | GD | +5 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.22 |
| 31% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
19%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York City FC are 8th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 15 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Cincinnati host New York City FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past New York City FC's compact .
- 10' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 29' Nicolas Fernandez Marcau catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 29.
- 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York City FC that had 293 games and scored 463 goals.
- 43' Another change for New York City FC made on 43 minute. Andres Perea leaves to be changed by Jonathan Shore.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Kenji Mboma. He replaces Brad Smith on 46 minute.
- 51' Tayvon Gray, a Jamaica , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 55' Alonso Martinez doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 61' Agustin Ojeda is replacing Hannes Wolf for the New York City FC side.
- 63' Agustin Ojeda was booked on 63.
- 68' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 70' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kei Kamara is hanging Alvas Powell on the field on 70 minute.
- 71' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Brian Anunga exits the field as Gerardo Valenzuela enters on 71.
- 76' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 81' Julian Fernandez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maxi Moralez at the 81 minute mark.
- 82' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kenji Mboma departs to be replaced by Yuya Kubo.
- 87' Aiden O'Neill is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 89' New York City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Kei Kamara 70'
- 4
-
14
Brad Smith ↓ Kenji Mboma 46'
- 20
- 9
- 27
- 18
- 29
- 66
Bench
- 7
- 13
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 70'
- 16
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 71'
-
35
Kenji Mboma ↑ 46'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Agustin Ojeda 61'
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Julian Fernandez 81'
- 49
- 80
-
8
Andres Perea ↓ Jonathan Shore 43'
- 24
- 22
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 19
- 30
- 29
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 61'
- 35
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↑ 43'
-
11
Julian Fernandez ↑ 81'
- 38
- 99
Coach
Pascal Jansen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
60%
Draw or New York City FC
66%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.