FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 4–3 | W |
| 20 Jul | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #8 |
| 20 | Points | 19 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 6 |
| 36 | Scored | 25 |
| 37 | Conceded | 21 |
| -1 | GD | +4 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York City FC are 8th (19 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Cincinnati is hosting New York City FC for another epic battle.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. New York City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Kevin Denkey is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York City FC so far.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 29' It’s gonna be a card for Nicolas Fernandez Marcau.
- 34' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 34.
- 39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 43' Jonathan Shore is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andres Perea at the 43 minute mark.
- 46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Brad Smith trudges off to be replaced by Kenji Mboma on 46 minutes.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 55' What a strike from Alonso Martinez! The score is 0-1.
- 60' Venezuela international Ender Echenique has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Agustin Ojeda. He replaces Hannes Wolf on 61 minute.
- 63' It’s a booking for New York City FC player. Agustin Ojeda gets a card.
- 68' New York City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 70' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Alvas Powell is withdrawn and Kei Kamara gets his opportunity.
- 71' The crowd applauds Brian Anunga as he leaves the pitch. Gerardo Valenzuela steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 76' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 81' Julian Fernandez is replacing Maxi Moralez for the New York City FC side.
- 82' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuya Kubo is hanging Kenji Mboma on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' Pavel Bucha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 89' A moment of madness from Kevin O'Toole on 89 minutes earns him a card. New York City FC will be frustrated.
- Another three points for New York City FC.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Kei Kamara 70'
- 4
-
14
Brad Smith ↓ Kenji Mboma 46'
- 20
- 9
- 27
- 18
- 29
- 66
Bench
- 7
- 13
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 70'
- 16
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 71'
-
35
Kenji Mboma ↑ 46'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Agustin Ojeda 61'
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Julian Fernandez 81'
- 49
- 80
-
8
Andres Perea ↓ Jonathan Shore 43'
- 24
- 22
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 19
- 30
- 29
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 61'
- 35
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↑ 43'
-
11
Julian Fernandez ↑ 81'
- 38
- 99
Coach
Pascal Jansen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
61%
Draw or New York City FC
65%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.