FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

0 – 1

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 29' Nicolas Fernandez Marcau

Y 63' Agustin Ojeda

Y 89' Kevin O'Toole

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 3.9 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	New York City FC	H	0–1	L
17 Aug	Portland Timbers	A	3–2	W
10 Aug	Charlotte FC	H	0–1	L
26 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–0	D
20 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	1–0	W
16 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	3–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
17 Aug	Nashville SC	H	2–1	W
26 Jul	FC Dallas	A	4–3	W
20 Jul	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–1	D
17 Jul	Orlando City SC	A	2–1	W
12 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York City FC
#8	Position	#10
46	Points	42
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	10 / 12 / 12
67	Scored	49
75	Conceded	45
-8	GD	+4
1.35	PPG	1.24
35%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

6/5

31-45

6/8

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/6

76+

5/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	16 G	6 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are looking to make home advantage count against New York City FC.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York City FC backline.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
29' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolas Fernandez Marcau is booked for New York City FC — card on 29.
34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and New York City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
39' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and New York City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
43' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Andres Perea by Jonathan Shore on 43 minute.
46' The supporters are chanting for Kenji Mboma. He replaces Brad Smith on 46 minute.
51' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
55' GOAL! Alonso Martinez scores on 55. Assisted by Maxi Moralez
60' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's shape.
61' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Agustin Ojeda on, Hannes Wolf off on 61 minutes.
63' It’s a booking for New York City FC player. Agustin Ojeda gets a card.
68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
70' Kei Kamara is replacing Alvas Powell for the FC Cincinnati side.
71' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Brian Anunga departs to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
76' Tayvon Gray needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
81' The crowd applauds Maxi Moralez as he leaves the pitch. Julian Fernandez steps in for New York City FC.
82' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuya Kubo is hanging Kenji Mboma on the field on 82 minute.
87' Brian Anunga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
89' A moment of madness from Kevin O'Toole on 89 minutes earns him a card. New York City FC will be frustrated.
Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

10
Evander
21
Matt Miazga
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Kei Kamara 70'
4
Nick Hagglund
14
Brad Smith ↓ Kenji Mboma 46'
20
Pavel Bucha
9
Kevin Denkey
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 71'
18
Roman Celentano
29
Lukas Engel
66
Ender Echenique

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Jesus Medina	3
Talles Magno	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-08-17 Portland Timbers 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-08-10 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Charlotte FC L 2025-07-26 Internacional CF Miami 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2025-07-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-07-16 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Internacional CF Miami W

New York City FC Form

2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC W 2025-08-17 New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC W 2025-07-26 FC Dallas 3–4 New York City FC W 2025-07-20 Sporting Kansas City 1–1 New York City FC D 2025-07-17 Orlando City SC 1–2 New York City FC W 2025-07-12 Charlotte FC 2–0 New York City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.47 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or New York City FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati35% Draw27% New York City FC38%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

62%

Draw or New York City FC

65%

FC Cincinnati or New York City FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati27% Draw44% New York City FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.1%

1 – 2

8.2%

2 – 1

7.9%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

6.7%

1 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	18%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	19%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.