FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

0 – 1

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 29' Nicolas Fernandez Marcau

Y 63' Agustin Ojeda

Y 89' Kevin O'Toole

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 15 games · Avg 4.0 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	New York City FC	H	0–1	L
17 Aug	Portland Timbers	A	3–2	W
10 Aug	Charlotte FC	H	0–1	L
26 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–0	D
20 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	1–0	W
16 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	3–0	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
17 Aug	Nashville SC	H	2–1	W
26 Jul	FC Dallas	A	4–3	W
20 Jul	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–1	D
17 Jul	Orlando City SC	A	2–1	W
12 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York City FC
#6	Position	#5
26	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
45	Scored	31
44	Conceded	24
+1	GD	+7
1.44	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	11 G	3 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A
Agustin Ojeda	4 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FC Cincinnati welcome New York City FC for this crunch clash at TQL Stadium.
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alonso Martinez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
10' Ender Echenique, a Venezuela , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andres Perea, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
25' Tayvon Gray has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nicolas Fernandez Marcau on 29 minutes.
34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
39' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York City FC backline.
43' The New York City FC manager makes a substitution. Andres Perea departs to be replaced by Jonathan Shore.
46' Brad Smith makes way for Kenji Mboma at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
51' Alvas Powell is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
55' Alonso Martinez makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and New York City FC are in front.
60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
61' New York City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Agustin Ojeda is hanging Hannes Wolf on the field on 61 minute.
63' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
68' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
70' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kei Kamara is hanging Alvas Powell on the field on 70 minute.
71' Gerardo Valenzuela is replacing Brian Anunga for the FC Cincinnati side.
76' The 39-year-old Maxi Moralez has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
81' Time for substitution for New York City FC. Maxi Moralez is replaced by Julian Fernandez.
82' Kenji Mboma makes way for Yuya Kubo at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and New York City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
89' Kevin O'Toole catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

10
Evander
21
Matt Miazga
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Kei Kamara 70'
4
Nick Hagglund
14
Brad Smith ↓ Kenji Mboma 46'
20
Pavel Bucha
9
Kevin Denkey
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 71'
18
Roman Celentano
29
Lukas Engel
66
Ender Echenique

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Jesus Medina	3
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Brandon Vazquez	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-08-17 Portland Timbers 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-08-10 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Charlotte FC L 2025-07-26 Internacional CF Miami 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2025-07-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-07-16 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Internacional CF Miami W

New York City FC Form

2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC W 2025-08-17 New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC W 2025-07-26 FC Dallas 3–4 New York City FC W 2025-07-20 Sporting Kansas City 1–1 New York City FC D 2025-07-17 Orlando City SC 1–2 New York City FC W 2025-07-12 Charlotte FC 2–0 New York City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.74 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.85 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or New York City FC 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati35% Draw25% New York City FC40%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.59

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

60%

Draw or New York City FC

65%

FC Cincinnati or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati28% Draw40% New York City FC32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

1 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 3

4.9%

0 – 2

4.8%

0 – 1

Actual

3 – 1

4.3%

2 – 0

4.2%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 0

4.2%

0 – 0

4.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	17%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	18%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.