New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sergii Boiko (USA)
- Assistant 1 Lyes Arfa
- Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)
5 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 9.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | St. Louis City | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 26 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 31 | Scored | 45 |
| 24 | Conceded | 44 |
| +7 | GD | +1 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: New York City FC gets underway.
- 5' Hannes Wolf has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 222 appearances.
- 10' New York City FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Against the run of play, Nicolas Fernandez Marcau has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 23' Alvas Powell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Teenage Hadebe on 23 minute.
- 28' Agustin Ojeda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 32' The Togo Kevin Denkey breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 1-1!
- 35' What a strike from Nicolas Fernandez Marcau! The score is 2-1.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Alvas Powell trudges off to be replaced by Andrei Chirila on 46 minutes.
- 50' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gilberto Flores on 50 minutes.
- 53' Against the run of play, Agustin Ojeda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 58' It is a cagey affair so far. New York City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 60' The crowd applauds Ender Echenique as he leaves the pitch. Gerardo Valenzuela steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 65' The deadlock is broken! Kevin Denkey gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
- 70' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 71' Kyle Smith catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
- 72' Keaton Parks gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Hannes Wolf and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' The 28-year-old Aiden O'Neill has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 79' A goal from the Brazil international Talles Magno! He fires home on 79 to make it 4-2!
- 83' Ayoub Jabbari gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Tom Barlow and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Another change for New York City FC made on 84 minute. Nicolas Fernandez Marcau leaves to be changed by Arnau Farnos.
- 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' Brian Anunga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- 90' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Tayvon Gray exits the field as Strahinja Tanasijevic enters on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 4-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 21
-
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Keaton Parks 72'
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Talles Magno 72'
- 49
- 5
- 24
- 34
- 22
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↓ Jonathan Shore 84'
- 7
Bench
-
19
Strahinja Tanasijevic ↑ 90'
-
55
Keaton Parks ↑ 72'
-
11
Talles Magno ↑ 72'
- 30
- 29
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↑ 84'
- 2
- 99
-
87
Arnau Farnos ↑ 84'
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 9
- 24
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 83'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Alvas Powell 23'
- 18
- 17
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↓ Brian Anunga 60'
- 66
- 11
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 23'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 60'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 60'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 83'
- 88
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2026-04-22
New York City FC
4–4
FC Cincinnati
D
2026-04-18
New York City FC
1–2
Charlotte FC
L
2026-04-11
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
2–0
New York City FC
L
2026-04-04
New York City FC
1–1
St. Louis City
D
2026-03-22
New York City FC
2–3
Internacional CF Miami
L
2026-03-14
New York City FC
3–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.8
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.82
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
49%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–4 not predicted4 – 4Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
4%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 18% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 13% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

