Thursday , 2 July 2026

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium 7,099 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 32' Kevin Denkey
Agustin Ojeda 53' 3–1
3–2 65' Kevin Denkey
Talles Magno 79' 4–2
4–3 90+2' Andrei Chirila
4–4 90+5' Evander pen

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC CincinnatiMLS at Yankee Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergii Boiko (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Lyes Arfa
  • Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)
5 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 9.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–4 D
18 Apr Charlotte FC H 1–2 L
11 Apr Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–2 L
04 Apr St. Louis City H 1–1 D
22 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–3 L
14 Mar Colorado Rapids SC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L

Season Stats

New York City FC FC Cincinnati
#8 Position #7
19 Points 20
15 Played 15
5 / 4 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
25 Scored 36
21 Conceded 37
+4 GD -1
1.27 PPG 1.33
33% Win % 33%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
2/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.73 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
New York City FC51% Draw21% FC Cincinnati28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
49%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC41% Draw34% FC Cincinnati25%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 15% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 18% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 13% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 8% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.