Tuesday , 8 September 2026

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium 7,099 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 32' Kevin Denkey
Agustin Ojeda 53' 3–1
3–2 65' Kevin Denkey
Talles Magno 79' 4–2
4–3 90+2' Andrei Chirila
4–4 90+5' Evander pen

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC CincinnatiMLS at Yankee Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergii Boiko (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Lyes Arfa
  • Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)
5 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 9.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–4 D
18 Apr Charlotte FC H 1–2 L
11 Apr Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–2 L
04 Apr St. Louis City H 1–1 D
22 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–3 L
14 Mar Colorado Rapids SC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L

Season Stats

New York City FC FC Cincinnati
#7 Position #6
29 Points 31
23 Played 22
7 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 7
36 Scored 49
31 Conceded 51
+5 GD -2
1.26 PPG 1.41
30% Win % 36%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 7th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
5/
16-30
4/4
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/5
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/7
31-45
9/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/1
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 14 G 3 A
Agustin Ojeda 5 G 5 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
FC Cincinnati
Evander 13 G 7 A
Kevin Denkey 11 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 6 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.6 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
New York City FC50% Draw21% FC Cincinnati29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC40% Draw35% FC Cincinnati25%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 15% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 18% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 8% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
15%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.