New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 23 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 22 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sergii Boiko (USA)
- Assistant 1 Lyes Arfa
- Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)
5 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 9.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 23 | 43 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 22 | 38 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 23 | 37 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 23 | 36 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 23 | 29 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 23 | 28 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union | 23 | 27 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 23 | 27 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 23 | 26 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 23 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 23 | 22 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 23 | 21 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 22 | 43 |
| 17 | Houston Dynamo | 23 | 40 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 24 | 37 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 23 | 37 |
| 20 | St. Louis City | 23 | 37 |
| 21 | San Jose Earthquakes | 23 | 35 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 31 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids SC | 23 | 31 |
| 24 | San Diego FC | 23 | 30 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 22 | 29 |
| 26 | Minnesota United FC | 23 | 29 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 29 |
| 28 | Seattle Sounders FC | 22 | 27 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 23 | 25 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 15 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | St. Louis City | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 29 | Points | 31 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 7 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 7 / 7 |
| 36 | Scored | 49 |
| 31 | Conceded | 51 |
| +5 | GD | -2 |
| 1.26 | PPG | 1.41 |
| 30% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 7th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/5
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/7
31-45
9/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/1
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 14 G | 3 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 11 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 6 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York City FC and FC Cincinnati has kicked off!
- 5' With 2 assists to his name this season, Gerardo Valenzuela is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 10' New York City FC have won 461 goals from 291 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' What a moment for Nicolas Fernandez Marcau! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
- 23' Alvas Powell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Teenage Hadebe on 23 minute.
- 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 32' Assisted by Ender Echenique with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kevin Denkey makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 35' The deadlock is broken! Nicolas Fernandez Marcau gets on the scoresheet on 35 minutes.
- 40' Raul Gustavo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 375 appearances.
- 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' Alvas Powell makes way for Andrei Chirila at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gilberto Flores.
- 53' Agustin Ojeda makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and New York City FC are in front.
- 58' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Ender Echenique is withdrawn and Gerardo Valenzuela gets his opportunity.
- 65' Kevin Denkey with the second goal in the match!
- 70' Alvas Powell, a Jamaica , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 71' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kyle Smith gets a card.
- 72' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Hannes Wolf is replaced by Keaton Parks on 72 minute.
- 77' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 79' Talles Magno doubles the advantage! 4-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 83' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Tom Barlow is replaced by Ayoub Jabbari on 83 minute.
- 84' Another change for New York City FC made on 84 minute. Nicolas Fernandez Marcau leaves to be changed by Arnau Farnos.
- 89' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brian Anunga.
- 90' The New York City FC bench stirs into life. Tayvon Gray is withdrawn and Strahinja Tanasijevic gets his opportunity.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 21
-
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Keaton Parks 72'
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Talles Magno 72'
- 49
- 5
- 24
- 34
- 22
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↓ Jonathan Shore 84'
- 7
Bench
-
19
Strahinja Tanasijevic ↑ 90'
-
55
Keaton Parks ↑ 72'
-
11
Talles Magno ↑ 72'
- 30
- 29
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↑ 84'
- 2
- 99
-
87
Arnau Farnos ↑ 84'
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 9
- 24
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 83'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Alvas Powell 23'
- 18
- 17
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↓ Brian Anunga 60'
- 66
- 11
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 23'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 60'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 60'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 83'
- 88
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Nick Hagglund | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2026-04-22
New York City FC
4–4
FC Cincinnati
D
2026-04-18
New York City FC
1–2
Charlotte FC
L
2026-04-11
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
2–0
New York City FC
L
2026-04-04
New York City FC
1–1
St. Louis City
D
2026-03-22
New York City FC
2–3
Internacional CF Miami
L
2026-03-14
New York City FC
3–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.6
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–4 not predicted4 – 4Actual
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 18% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

