Sunday , 16 August 2026

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium 7,099 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 32' Kevin Denkey
Agustin Ojeda 53' 3–1
3–2 65' Kevin Denkey
Talles Magno 79' 4–2
4–3 90+2' Andrei Chirila
4–4 90+5' Evander pen

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC CincinnatiMLS at Yankee Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergii Boiko (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Lyes Arfa
  • Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)
5 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 9.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–4 D
18 Apr Charlotte FC H 1–2 L
11 Apr Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–2 L
04 Apr St. Louis City H 1–1 D
22 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–3 L
14 Mar Colorado Rapids SC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L

Season Stats

New York City FC FC Cincinnati
#5 Position #6
26 Points 26
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
31 Scored 45
24 Conceded 44
+7 GD +1
1.44 PPG 1.44
39% Win % 39%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 11 G 3 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Agustin Ojeda 4 G 3 A
FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: New York City FC gets underway.
  • 5' Hannes Wolf has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 222 appearances.
  • 10' New York City FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Against the run of play, Nicolas Fernandez Marcau has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 23' Alvas Powell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Teenage Hadebe on 23 minute.
  • 28' Agustin Ojeda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 32' The Togo Kevin Denkey breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 1-1!
  • 35' What a strike from Nicolas Fernandez Marcau! The score is 2-1.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Alvas Powell trudges off to be replaced by Andrei Chirila on 46 minutes.
  • 50' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gilberto Flores on 50 minutes.
  • 53' Against the run of play, Agustin Ojeda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 58' It is a cagey affair so far. New York City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Ender Echenique as he leaves the pitch. Gerardo Valenzuela steps in for FC Cincinnati.
  • 65' The deadlock is broken! Kevin Denkey gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
  • 70' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 71' Kyle Smith catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 72' Keaton Parks gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Hannes Wolf and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' The 28-year-old Aiden O'Neill has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 79' A goal from the Brazil international Talles Magno! He fires home on 79 to make it 4-2!
  • 83' Ayoub Jabbari gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Tom Barlow and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Another change for New York City FC made on 84 minute. Nicolas Fernandez Marcau leaves to be changed by Arnau Farnos.
  • 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' Brian Anunga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Tayvon Gray exits the field as Strahinja Tanasijevic enters on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 4-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.8 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
New York City FC51% Draw21% FC Cincinnati28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 52%
48%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
49%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC42% Draw33% FC Cincinnati25%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
4%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 15% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 18% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 13% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 8% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.