New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sergii Boiko (USA)
- Assistant 1 Lyes Arfa
- Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)
5 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 9.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | St. Louis City | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 36 | Conceded | 64 |
| +5 | GD | -9 |
| 1.22 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 30% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 15 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — New York City FC and FC Cincinnati get this one started.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' The deadlock is broken! Nicolas Fernandez Marcau gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
- 23' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Teenage Hadebe is withdrawn and Alvas Powell gets his opportunity.
- 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tayvon Gray suffering a number of foals already.
- 32' A goal from the Togo international Kevin Denkey! He fires home on 32 to make it 1-1!
- 35' Nicolas Fernandez Marcau with the second goal in the match!
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' FC Cincinnati have won 368 goals from 255 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Alvas Powell makes way for Andrei Chirila at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. Gilberto Flores is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 50.
- 53' The Argentina Agustin Ojeda breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 3-1!
- 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 60' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Ender Echenique is replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela on 60 minute.
- 65' Against the run of play, Kevin Denkey has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 71' Poor challenge from Kyle Smith. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 72' New York City FC ring the changes. Hannes Wolf has done his job and it is now time for Keaton Parks to step up.
- 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kai Trewin, as he is very good at scoring at Yankee Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 79' The Brazil Talles Magno breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 4-2!
- 83' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ayoub Jabbari is hanging Tom Barlow on the field on 83 minute.
- 84' The crowd applauds Nicolas Fernandez Marcau as he leaves the pitch. Arnau Farnos steps in for New York City FC.
- 89' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Strahinja Tanasijevic. He replaces Tayvon Gray on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — New York City FC 4-4 FC Cincinnati.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 21
-
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Keaton Parks 72'
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Talles Magno 72'
- 49
- 5
- 24
- 34
- 22
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↓ Jonathan Shore 84'
- 7
Bench
-
19
Strahinja Tanasijevic ↑ 90'
-
55
Keaton Parks ↑ 72'
-
11
Talles Magno ↑ 72'
- 30
- 29
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↑ 84'
- 2
- 99
-
87
Arnau Farnos ↑ 84'
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 9
- 24
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 83'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Alvas Powell 23'
- 18
- 17
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↓ Brian Anunga 60'
- 66
- 11
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 23'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 60'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 60'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 83'
- 88
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2026-04-22
New York City FC
4–4
FC Cincinnati
D
2026-04-18
New York City FC
1–2
Charlotte FC
L
2026-04-11
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
2–0
New York City FC
L
2026-04-04
New York City FC
1–1
St. Louis City
D
2026-03-22
New York City FC
2–3
Internacional CF Miami
L
2026-03-14
New York City FC
3–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.63
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
49%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–4 not predicted4 – 4Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 15% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 19% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 13% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

