New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sergii Boiko (USA)
- Assistant 1 Lyes Arfa
- Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)
7 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 14.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | St. Louis City | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #8 |
| 42 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 12 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 49 | Scored | 67 |
| 45 | Conceded | 75 |
| +4 | GD | -8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 29% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 10th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
6/5
31-45
6/8
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/6
76+
5/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 16 G | 6 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York City FC and FC Cincinnati has kicked off!
- 5' Ayoub Jabbari has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 443 appearances.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' A goal from the Argentina international Nicolas Fernandez Marcau! He fires home on 20 to make it 1-0!
- 23' FC Cincinnati make a change. Teenage Hadebe trudges off to be replaced by Alvas Powell on 23 minutes.
- 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 32' GOAL! Kevin Denkey scores on 32. Assisted by Ender Echenique
- 35' Nicolas Fernandez Marcau has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
- 40' Tom Barlow has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 9 goals to his name this season.
- 45' Alvas Powell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 31 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Alvas Powell trudges off to be replaced by Andrei Chirila on 46 minutes.
- 50' Gilberto Flores catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
- 53' What a moment for Agustin Ojeda! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
- 58' New York City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 60' Gerardo Valenzuela gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Ender Echenique and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' Kevin Denkey has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
- 70' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 71' The referee has no hesitation. Kyle Smith is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 71.
- 72' New York City FC make a change. Hannes Wolf trudges off to be replaced by Keaton Parks on 72 minutes.
- 77' New York City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 79' A stunning finish from Talles Magno — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 83' Ayoub Jabbari has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Barlow on 83 minute.
- 84' Another change for New York City FC made on 84 minute. Nicolas Fernandez Marcau leaves to be changed by Arnau Farnos.
- 89' The 34-year-old Kyle Smith has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 90' A moment of madness from Brian Anunga on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 90' New York City FC make a change. Tayvon Gray trudges off to be replaced by Strahinja Tanasijevic on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 4-4.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 21
-
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Keaton Parks 72'
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Talles Magno 72'
- 49
- 5
- 24
- 34
- 22
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↓ Jonathan Shore 84'
- 7
Bench
-
19
Strahinja Tanasijevic ↑ 90'
-
55
Keaton Parks ↑ 72'
-
11
Talles Magno ↑ 72'
- 30
- 29
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↑ 84'
- 2
- 99
-
87
Arnau Farnos ↑ 84'
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 9
- 24
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 83'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Alvas Powell 23'
- 18
- 17
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↓ Brian Anunga 60'
- 66
- 11
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 23'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 60'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 60'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 83'
- 88
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Nick Hagglund | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2026-04-22
New York City FC
4–4
FC Cincinnati
D
2026-04-18
New York City FC
1–2
Charlotte FC
L
2026-04-11
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
2–0
New York City FC
L
2026-04-04
New York City FC
1–1
St. Louis City
D
2026-03-22
New York City FC
2–3
Internacional CF Miami
L
2026-03-14
New York City FC
3–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.42
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–4 not predicted4 – 4Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 19% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

