FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–3 | L |
| 31 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | Nashville SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 May | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 45 | Scored | 31 |
| 44 | Conceded | 24 |
| +1 | GD | +7 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/4
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York City FC Form
Predictions
2.41
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 4.62
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
66%
Draw or New York City FC
56%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
78%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 16% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12%
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
10%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

