Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 32,500 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert

Head-to-Head

1
1
1. FSV Mainz 05 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at MEWA Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel.
  • 5' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Nadiem Amiri has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 25' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 33' A moment of madness from Philipp Mwene on 33 minutes earns him a card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 34' The Sweden Alexander Bernhardsson breaks the deadlock on 34 minutes. 0-1!
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' The referee has no hesitation. David Zec is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 44.
  • 49' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolai Remberg.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' John Tolkin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 68' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Philipp Mwene departs to be replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig.
  • 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 75' Nelson Weiper doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 75' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. John Tolkin has done his job and it is now time for Finn Porath to step up.
  • 80' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 82' Lewis Holtby has so much to prove this time. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 82 minute.
  • 83' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 83 minute.
  • 84' Moritz Jenz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
  • 85' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 85.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Nadiem Amiri departs to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
  • The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Holstein Kiel. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0550% Draw27% Holstein Kiel23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw48% Holstein Kiel18%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.