1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
- Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at MEWA Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel.
- 5' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Nadiem Amiri has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 25' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 33' A moment of madness from Philipp Mwene on 33 minutes earns him a card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 34' The Sweden Alexander Bernhardsson breaks the deadlock on 34 minutes. 0-1!
- 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 44' The referee has no hesitation. David Zec is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 44.
- 49' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolai Remberg.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' John Tolkin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 68' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Philipp Mwene departs to be replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig.
- 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 75' Nelson Weiper doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 75' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. John Tolkin has done his job and it is now time for Finn Porath to step up.
- 80' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 82' Lewis Holtby has so much to prove this time. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 82 minute.
- 83' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 83 minute.
- 84' Moritz Jenz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 85' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 85.
- 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Nadiem Amiri departs to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
- The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Holstein Kiel. Honours even.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 2
- 27
- 29
-
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 90'
- 21
- 8
- 25
- 3
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Nelson Weiper 68'
Bench
- 9
- 5
- 15
- 30
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 83'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 68'
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 90'
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 68'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Phil Harres 75'
- 18
- 17
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Finn Porath 75'
- 3
- 21
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Lewis Holtby 82'
- 22
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 82'
- 20
- 31
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 68'
-
8
Finn Porath ↑ 75'
- 14
- 5
-
19
Phil Harres ↑ 75'
- 6
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Burkardt | 1 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 1 |
| Nelson Weiper | 1 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Holstein Kiel
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

