Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 32,500 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein KielBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert
14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
1. FSV Mainz 05 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Steven Skrzybski needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 33' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 33.
  • 34' What a strike from Alexander Bernhardsson! The score is 0-1.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kaishu Sano suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' David Zec was booked on 44.
  • 49' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Nicolai Remberg.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 277 games and scored 170 goals.
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 68' Nikolas Veratschnig has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philipp Mwene on 68 minute.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 75' GOAL! Nelson Weiper scores on 75. Assisted by Paul Nebel
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Finn Porath. He replaces John Tolkin on 75 minute.
  • 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 82' The whistle greets Armin Gigovic as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Holtby.
  • 83' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Jonathan Burkardt is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 83 minute.
  • 84' Moritz Jenz is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Timo Becker on 85.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Nadiem Amiri.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Hyun-seok Hong. He replaces Nadiem Amiri on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0550% Draw27% Holstein Kiel23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw48% Holstein Kiel18%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.