Thursday , 1 October 2026

EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Vitoria
2 – 2
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 3 Aug 2025 · 22:30 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 54' Micael
Erick 66' Y
Renato Kayzer 69' Y
Renzo Lopez 87' Y
Lucas Halter 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitória vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Barradao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

2
2
6
EC Vitoria 10 games · Avg 3.5 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras 2018-12-02 SE Palmeiras 3–2 EC Vitoria 2018-08-19 EC Vitoria 0–3 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
26 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–1 D
24 Jul SC Recife H 2–2 D
20 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
17 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
12 Jul SC Internacional A 0–1 L
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
27 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
23 Jul Fluminense FC A 2–1 W
20 Jul CA Mineiro H 3–2 W
16 Jul Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
05 Jul Chelsea FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria SE Palmeiras
#13 Position #2
33 Points 57
28 Played 28
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 3
28 Scored 47
42 Conceded 21
-14 GD +26
1.18 PPG 2.04
32% Win % 57%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Barradao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between EC Vitoria and SE Palmeiras.
  • 5' It’s high time Fabio Carille made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Raul Caceres has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Raul Caceres exits the field as Claudinho enters on 31.
  • 34' Magnificent from Renato Kayzer! That is 36 goals in 257 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
  • 44' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Raphael Veiga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 49' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 54' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
  • 59' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
  • 64' Allan makes way for Joaquin Piquerez at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 65' The deadlock is broken! Erick gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Erick is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 66.
  • 66' Vitor Roque is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thalys at the 66 minute mark.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a card for Renato Kayzer.
  • 70' GOAL! Joaquin Piquerez fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 73' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Erick is replaced by Ruben Ramos.
  • 74' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Ronald departs to be replaced by Fabricio.
  • 79' Lucas Evangelista is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
  • 80' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Carlos Eduardo comes on to replace Osvaldo.
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' Jose Manuel Lopez adds to his 6 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Renzo Lopez on 87 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
  • 90' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
  • It finishes all square. EC Vitoria and SE Palmeiras share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

EC Vitória Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Fabio Carille

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Deyverson 2
Deyverson 2
Erick 1
Luan 1
Renato Kayzer 1
Edu Dracena 1
Jose Manuel Lopez 1
Bruno Henrique 1

Head to Head

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras 2018-12-02 SE Palmeiras 3–2 EC Vitoria 2018-08-19 EC Vitoria 0–3 SE Palmeiras

EC Vitória Form

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-07-26 Mirassol FC 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2025-07-24 EC Vitoria 2–2 SC Recife D 2025-07-20 EC Vitoria 1–0 RB Bragantino L 2025-07-17 Botafogo FR 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-07-12 SC Internacional 1–0 EC Vitoria L

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA W 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-07-20 SE Palmeiras 3–2 CA Mineiro W 2025-07-16 SE Palmeiras 1–1 Mirassol FC D 2025-07-05 SE Palmeiras 1–2 Chelsea FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 EC Vitória xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitória27% Draw26% SE Palmeiras47%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

EC Vitória or Draw
53%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
73%
EC Vitória or SE Palmeiras
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitória18% Draw44% SE Palmeiras38%
Actual: EC Vitória win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 3
3.2%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitória

Handicap EC Vitória covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.