Tuesday , 25 August 2026

EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
EC Vitoria
1 – 0
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitória vs Mirassol FC — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 24 51
2 CR Flamengo 23 45
3 CA Paranaense 24 44
4 Fluminense FC 24 41
5 Cruzeiro EC 24 39
6 EC Bahia 24 37
7 RB Bragantino 23 35
8 Coritiba FBC 24 34
9 CA Mineiro 23 33
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 24 32
11 Botafogo FR 23 30
12 EC Vitoria 24 29
13 Sao Paulo FC 23 27
14 Santos FC 23 26
15 SC Internacional 24 25
16 Gremio FBPA 23 25
17 Mirassol FC 23 24
18 Clube do Remo 24 23
19 CR Vasco da Gama 23 22
20 Chapecoense AF 23 14

Head-to-Head

2
1
EC Vitoria 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-22 EC Vitoria 1–0 Mirassol FC 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC 2025-07-26 Mirassol FC 1–1 EC Vitoria

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
19 Mar Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
14 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
11 Mar EC Bahia A 1–1 D
11 Feb CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
05 Feb SE Palmeiras A 1–5 L
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
18 Mar Coritiba FBC H 0–1 L
15 Mar SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
11 Mar Santos FC H 2–2 D
11 Feb Cruzeiro EC H 2–2 D
04 Feb Clube do Remo A 2–2 D

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Mirassol FC
#12 Position #17
29 Points 24
24 Played 23
8 / 5 / 11 W / D / L 6 / 6 / 11
23 Scored 26
35 Conceded 36
-12 GD -10
1.21 PPG 1.04
33% Win % 26%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
13% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

EC Vitoria are 12th (29 pts). Mirassol FC are 17th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/2
76+
3/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/6
76+
2/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

EC Vitória Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 EC Vitória xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitória51% Draw28% Mirassol FC21%
Actual: EC Vitória win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

EC Vitória or Draw
79%
Draw or Mirassol FC
49%
EC Vitória or Mirassol FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitória32% Draw52% Mirassol FC16%
Actual: EC Vitória win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitória

Handicap EC Vitória covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.