EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 35 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SC Recife | A | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Ceará SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #14 |
| 38 | Points | 41 |
| 34 | Played | 35 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 10 / 11 / 14 |
| 35 | Scored | 39 |
| 51 | Conceded | 48 |
| -16 | GD | -9 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). Mirassol FC are 14th (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Mirassol FC
| Carlos Eduardo | 7 G | |
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Barradao will turn into a battlefield for EC Vitoria and Mirassol FC.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Raul Caceres, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 7' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 7.
- 12' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Ramon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Mirassol FC that had 72 games and scored 91 goals.
- 22' EC Vitoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Mirassol FC backline.
- 25' Lucas Halter has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Ze Marcos comes on to replace Carlos Eduardo.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Mirassol FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Vitoria winning 50% of all matches.
- 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jose Aldo on 53.
- 58' Renato Kayzer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 61' Neto Moura is replacing Jose Aldo for the Mirassol FC side.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Luiz Otavio.
- 67' Mirassol FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Renato Marques is hanging Gabriel on the field on 67 minute.
- 72' A quiet spell here at Barradao. Mirassol FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 77' EC Vitoria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 78' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Alesson departs to be replaced by Cristian Renato.
- 79' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Willian Oliveira departs to be replaced by Dudu.
- 84' Joao Victor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 188 appearances.
- 89' With 0 assists to his name this season, Willian Oliveira is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Mirassol FC.
- 90' The deadlock is broken! Matheuzinho gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Vitoria 2-0 Mirassol FC.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 13
- 29
- 44
- 12
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 11
- 3
- 71
- 31
- 8
- 22
- 21
- 10
- 66
Coach
Jair Ventura
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Renato Marques 67'
- 22
- 4
-
6
Reinaldo ↓ Felipe Jonatan 61'
-
77
Alesson ↓ Cristian Renato 78'
-
21
Jose Aldo ↓ Neto Moura 61'
- 34
- 11
- 19
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↓ Chico 61'
- 8
Bench
- 41
-
16
Felipe Jonatan ↑ 61'
-
25
Neto Moura ↑ 61'
- 7
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 5
-
78
Renato Marques ↑ 67'
-
91
Chico ↑ 61'
- 44
-
17
Cristian Renato ↑ 78'
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Carlos Rene | 2 |
| Edson Carioca | 2 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Bruno Oliveira | 1 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
| Lucas Halter | 1 |
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
80%
Draw or Mirassol FC
49%
EC Vitoria or Mirassol FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.4%
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.