Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 0
Full Time
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Head-to-Head

2
2
EC Vitoria 4 games · Avg 2.3 goals Mirassol FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Mirassol FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov SC Recife A 3–1 W
19 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
09 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
05 Nov SC Internacional H 1–0 W
01 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
24 Nov Ceará SC H 3–0 W
20 Nov Santos FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov SE Palmeiras H 2–1 W
06 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
01 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Mirassol FC
#13 Position #15
33 Points 32
28 Played 28
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 12
28 Scored 33
42 Conceded 42
-14 GD -9
1.18 PPG 1.14
32% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Vitoria and Mirassol FC get this one started.
  • 5' EC Vitoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Mirassol FC's shape.
  • 7' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Willian Oliveira.
  • 12' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Mirassol FC that had 63 games and scored 81 goals.
  • 17' With 0 assists to his name this season, Raul Caceres is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
  • 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
  • 25' EC Vitoria is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Halter on 25.
  • 30' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Lucas Ramon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Carlos Eduardo by Ze Marcos on 35 minute.
  • 40' The 36-year-old Reinaldo has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 5 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 50' Mirassol FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 53' It’s gonna be a card for Jose Aldo.
  • 58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 61 minute. Jose Aldo leaves to be changed by Neto Moura.
  • 63' The referee shows Mirassol FC player a card on 63.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Mirassol FC team. Gabriel is replaced by Renato Marques on 67 minute.
  • 72' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 77' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 78' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Alesson departs to be replaced by Cristian Renato.
  • 79' Dudu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian Oliveira on 79 minute.
  • 84' EC Vitoria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 89' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' GOAL! Matheuzinho fires home to make it 2-0!
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Mirassol FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria51% Draw28% Mirassol FC21%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
80%
Draw or Mirassol FC
49%
EC Vitoria or Mirassol FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria33% Draw52% Mirassol FC15%
Actual: EC Vitoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.7%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.