EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 28 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SC Recife | A | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Ceará SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #15 |
| 33 | Points | 32 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 12 |
| 28 | Scored | 33 |
| 42 | Conceded | 42 |
| -14 | GD | -9 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Mirassol FC
| Carlos Eduardo | 6 G | |
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Vitoria and Mirassol FC get this one started.
- 5' EC Vitoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Mirassol FC's shape.
- 7' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Willian Oliveira.
- 12' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Mirassol FC that had 63 games and scored 81 goals.
- 17' With 0 assists to his name this season, Raul Caceres is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
- 25' EC Vitoria is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Halter on 25.
- 30' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Lucas Ramon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Carlos Eduardo by Ze Marcos on 35 minute.
- 40' The 36-year-old Reinaldo has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 5 assists is a remarkable return.
- 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 50' Mirassol FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' It’s gonna be a card for Jose Aldo.
- 58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 61' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 61 minute. Jose Aldo leaves to be changed by Neto Moura.
- 63' The referee shows Mirassol FC player a card on 63.
- 67' It is a substitution in Mirassol FC team. Gabriel is replaced by Renato Marques on 67 minute.
- 72' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 77' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 78' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Alesson departs to be replaced by Cristian Renato.
- 79' Dudu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian Oliveira on 79 minute.
- 84' EC Vitoria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 89' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' GOAL! Matheuzinho fires home to make it 2-0!
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Mirassol FC.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 13
- 29
- 44
- 12
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 11
- 3
- 71
- 31
- 8
- 22
- 21
- 10
- 66
Coach
Jair Ventura
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Renato Marques 67'
- 22
- 4
-
6
Reinaldo ↓ Felipe Jonatan 61'
-
77
Alesson ↓ Cristian Renato 78'
-
21
Jose Aldo ↓ Neto Moura 61'
- 34
- 11
- 19
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↓ Chico 61'
- 8
Bench
- 41
-
16
Felipe Jonatan ↑ 61'
-
25
Neto Moura ↑ 61'
- 7
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 5
-
78
Renato Marques ↑ 67'
-
91
Chico ↑ 61'
- 44
-
17
Cristian Renato ↑ 78'
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Carlos Rene | 2 |
| Edson Carioca | 2 |
| Bruno Oliveira | 1 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
| Lucas Halter | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
80%
Draw or Mirassol FC
49%
EC Vitoria or Mirassol FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.7%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

