EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 17 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SC Recife | A | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Ceará SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #19 |
| 22 | Points | 16 |
| 17 | Played | 17 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 9 |
| 21 | Scored | 18 |
| 25 | Conceded | 24 |
| -4 | GD | -6 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 35% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). Mirassol FC are 19th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Mirassol FC
| Igor Formiga | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Barradao. EC Vitoria are looking to make home advantage count against Mirassol FC.
- 5' Aitor Cantalapiedra is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
- 7' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 7.
- 12' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 22' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Lucas Halter has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 25 minutes.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jair Ventura will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Ze Marcos gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Carlos Eduardo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Mirassol FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 53' The referee calls foul for Jose Aldo. He receives a card.
- 58' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' The crowd applauds Jose Aldo as he leaves the pitch. Neto Moura steps in for Mirassol FC.
- 63' Luiz Otavio is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
- 67' The whistle greets Gabriel as he departs to be replaced by Renato Marques.
- 72' Mirassol FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 77' Lucas Ramon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 78' Mirassol FC make a change. Alesson trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Renato on 78 minutes.
- 79' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Dudu comes on to replace Willian Oliveira.
- 84' Raul Caceres has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 89' It looks like no one’s ball. Mirassol FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' Brilliant from the ! Matheuzinho makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 90.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 13
- 29
- 44
- 12
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 11
- 3
- 71
- 31
- 8
- 22
- 21
- 10
- 66
Coach
Jair Ventura
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Renato Marques 67'
- 22
- 4
-
6
Reinaldo ↓ Felipe Jonatan 61'
-
77
Alesson ↓ Cristian Renato 78'
-
21
Jose Aldo ↓ Neto Moura 61'
- 34
- 11
- 19
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↓ Chico 61'
- 8
Bench
- 41
-
16
Felipe Jonatan ↑ 61'
-
25
Neto Moura ↑ 61'
- 7
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 5
-
78
Renato Marques ↑ 67'
-
91
Chico ↑ 61'
- 44
-
17
Cristian Renato ↑ 78'
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Edson Carioca | 1 |
| Lucas Halter | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
82%
Draw or Mirassol FC
45%
EC Vitoria or Mirassol FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.5%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

