EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 21 games · 23 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SC Recife | A | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Ceará SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #16 |
| 26 | Points | 23 |
| 22 | Played | 21 |
| 7 / 5 / 10 | W / D / L | 6 / 5 / 10 |
| 22 | Scored | 24 |
| 33 | Conceded | 30 |
| -11 | GD | -6 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.10 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts). Mirassol FC are 16th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Mirassol FC
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Barradao that hosts another battle between EC Vitoria and Mirassol FC.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 7' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 7.
- 12' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Mirassol FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 22' It’s high time Jair Ventura made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' A goal from the Brazil international Lucas Halter! He fires home on 25 to make it 1-0!
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their trying to find a way past Mirassol FC's compact .
- 35' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Carlos Eduardo has done his job and it is now time for Ze Marcos to step up.
- 40' Chico, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 50' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 53' That is a card for Mirassol FC. Jose Aldo will be fuming at that decision.
- 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 61' Mirassol FC ring the changes. Jose Aldo has done his job and it is now time for Neto Moura to step up.
- 63' Mirassol FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
- 67' Renato Marques is replacing Gabriel for the Mirassol FC side.
- 72' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 77' The 27-year-old Alesson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 78' Mirassol FC ring the changes. Alesson has done his job and it is now time for Cristian Renato to step up.
- 79' Willian Oliveira makes way for Dudu at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
- 84' Willian Oliveira has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 89' EC Vitoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Mirassol FC backline.
- 90' Goal! Matheuzinho scores his 10 goal in 175 matches.
- 2-0 the final result. Mirassol FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 79
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 13
- 29
- 44
- 12
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 11
- 3
- 71
- 31
- 8
- 22
- 21
- 10
- 66
Coach
Jair Ventura
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Renato Marques 67'
- 22
- 4
-
6
Reinaldo ↓ Felipe Jonatan 61'
-
77
Alesson ↓ Cristian Renato 78'
-
21
Jose Aldo ↓ Neto Moura 61'
- 34
- 11
- 19
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↓ Chico 61'
- 8
Bench
- 41
-
16
Felipe Jonatan ↑ 61'
-
25
Neto Moura ↑ 61'
- 7
- 10
- 23
- 20
- 5
-
78
Renato Marques ↑ 67'
-
91
Chico ↑ 61'
- 44
-
17
Cristian Renato ↑ 78'
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
| Edson Carioca | 1 |
| Lucas Halter | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
80%
Draw or Mirassol FC
49%
EC Vitoria or Mirassol FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.7%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

