Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Mirassol FC — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
6 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
19 Mar Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
14 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
11 Mar EC Bahia A 1–1 D
11 Feb CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
05 Feb SE Palmeiras A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
18 Mar Coritiba FBC H 0–1 L
15 Mar SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
11 Mar Santos FC H 2–2 D
11 Feb Cruzeiro EC H 2–2 D
04 Feb Clube do Remo A 2–2 D

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Mirassol FC
#16 Position #14
38 Points 40
34 Played 34
10 / 8 / 16 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
35 Scored 39
51 Conceded 48
-16 GD -9
1.12 PPG 1.18
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
15% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). Mirassol FC are 14th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 5 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 7 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria50% Draw29% Mirassol FC21%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
79%
Draw or Mirassol FC
50%
EC Vitoria or Mirassol FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria31% Draw52% Mirassol FC17%
Actual: EC Vitoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.